GeoMemo
MON, JUN 29 · EDT
CountriesBosnia (BA)

Bosnia.

Bosnia and Herzegovina · Sarajevo · 3.7M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesBosnian (official) 52.9%, Serbian (official) 30.8%, Croatian (official) 14.6%Area51.2K km²Sanctioned entities65Active conflicts7Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
71.4
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Bosnia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Bosnia · 90-day event volume
84
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 11
DAYTON ACCORDSENERGY PROJECT2026-04-012026-05-162026-06-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
JUN 29
2026
Heatwave in Bosnia and Herzegovina
heatwave · severity 8
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.00%article coverage 90d: 548
Arms Activity
93/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.97%inflation pct: 1.69%unemployment pct: 10.69%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
87/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 65is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
85/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 78literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
16Stable
Security
37Moderate
Economic
35Moderate
Regulatory
13Stable
Operational
38Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 18 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
44.5
02Ukraine
46.8
03French Republic
48.0
04Federal Republic of Germany
52.2
05Kingdom of Spain
54.0
06Hellenic Republic
55.6
07Republic of Cyprus
58.2
08Romania
60.1
18Bosnia and Herzegovina· this country
71.4
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$29.6B
$2.0B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$9.4K
$696 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
1.7%
4.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
10.7%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
3.2M
20.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.75%
0.03% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
78.0 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
86.1%
2.7% YoY
Security11 recent events · 7 conflicts · 3 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
84
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
3
High-severity events
2026-06-29
SEV 8
Heatwave in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Heatwave
2026-06-13
SEV 8
Balkan Terminals Project
Energy Project
2026-06-11
SEV 7
Hungary-Bosnia Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-10
SEV 7
Hungary-Bosnia Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-02
SEV 2
US Ambassador to BiH
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-02
SEV 3
US policy shift
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-02
SEV 2
Dodik visits Moscow
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-01
SEV 2
EU Official Visits Balkans
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Bosnia
World War II
War · 10910 dispatches
Critical · 100
Kosovo-Serbia conflict
Civil War · 55 dispatches
Elevated · 39.4
Bosnian War
Civil War · 28 dispatches
Cold · 0
Bosnia conflict
War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas to visit Bosnia and Herzegovina - Sarajevo Times

EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas will visit Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Sarajevo TimesBosnia
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Heatwave grips Eastern Europe after Germany weather breaks records
South China Morning Post
Other
Mundial 2026: ¿Qué partidos da TyC Sports de los dieciseisavos de final?
El Intransigente
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Europe’s deadly heatwave scorches eastern flank, takes aim at Ukraine
The Hindu
Other
Why Scotland’s World Cup was a disaster
The Independent
FIFA WC Round of 32 Schedule: Argentina, France in focus as Canada reach last 16
Times of India
Knockout stage competitions begin in round of 32 at 2026 World Cup
CGTN
Así se jugarán los 16avos de final del Mundial 2026: días, horarios y el camino de Argentina
La Gaceta On Line
Canadá y Sudáfrica abren los 16avos de final: horario, TV y formaciones
Diario El Dia -
Días y horarios de todos los partidos de 16vos de final
La Nacion
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Bosnia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Edin Dzeko
personlast · Jun 26
28
Nikola Vasilj
personlast · Jun 25
27
Milorad Dodik
personlast · Jun 11
27
Sergej Barbarez
personlast · Jun 26
22
Ermin Mahmic
personlast · Jun 26
16
Mirjana Spoljaric
personlast · May 31
16
Ermedin Demirovic
personlast · Jun 27
15
Tarik Muharemovic
personlast · Jun 24
12
Ermedin Demirović
personlast · Jun 25
11
Kerim Alajbegovic
personlast · Jun 26
10
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Bosnia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.