GeoMemo
MON, OCT 19 · EDT
Countries›Bosnia (BA)

Bosnia.

Bosnia and Herzegovina · Sarajevo · 3.7M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesBosnian (official) 52.9%, Serbian (official) 30.8%, Croatian (official) 14.6%Area51.2K km²Sanctioned entities65Active conflicts7Mentions 7d4 ▼ 79%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
90.1
Stable risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Bosnia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Bosnia · 90-day event volume
56
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
DODIK-US RELAT2026-07-222026-09-052026-10-19
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 4 milestones · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Dodik-US Relations
diplomatic_tension · severity 8
Critical
OCT 17
2026
Rail Corridor Discussion
pipeline_project · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Border Crossing Delay
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 13
2026
EU Changes Approach
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 7,147
Arms Activity
99/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
76/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.23%inflation pct: 1.69%unemployment pct: 10.69%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
87/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 65is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
85/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 78literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
16Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
35Moderate
Regulatory
13Stable
Operational
13Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 34 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
45.5
02Kingdom of Spain
52.8
03Ukraine
54.5
04Federal Republic of Germany
55.9
05French Republic
57.3
06Republic of Belarus
61.9
07Republic of Cyprus
62.5
08Italian Republic
64.3
34Bosnia and Herzegovina· this country
90.1
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$29.7B
▲ $2.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$9.4K
▲ $735 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
1.7%
▼ 4.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
10.7%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
3.2M
▼ 20.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.76%
▼ 0.02% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
78.0 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
86.1%
▲ 2.7% YoY
Security12 recent events · 7 conflicts · 3 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
56
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
54
High-severity events
2026-10-17
SEV 8
Dodik-US Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Rail Corridor Discussion
Pipeline Project
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Border Crossing Delay
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-13
SEV 6
EU Changes Approach
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-12
SEV 6
Bosnia-Saudi Diplomatic Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 1
Komšić sends telegram
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-11
SEV 2
Srebrenica Protest
Protest Movement
2026-10-11
SEV 6
RS Lobbying Efforts
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Bosnia
World War II
War · 11147 dispatches
Critical · 100
Kosovo-Serbia conflict
Civil War · 90 dispatches
Elevated · 39.4
Bosnian War
Civil War · 34 dispatches
Cold · 0
Bosnia conflict
War · 4 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Politics

تقرير: ترمب يواجه "فوضى" البيت الأبيض مع اقتراب انتخابات التجديد النصفي

Internal turmoil at the White House undermined Trump's efforts to support Republican candidates ahead of midterm elections, marked by staff departures, corruption allegations against officials, and polls showing the party facing substantial losses in both chambers of Congress.

Asharq NewsUnited States · Russia · Greece
Other
DUGO, TOPLO, MIHOLJSKO LJETO: Temperature iznad prosjeka, evo kada stiže pogoršanje vremena i kiša...
Sve vijesti - RSS | Slobodna-Bosna.ba
Other
Džeko ostao ležati nakon žestokog sudara, Šalke strahovao za Dijamanta
Džeko ostao ležati nakon žestokog sudara, Šalke strahovao za Dijamanta
Other
Novi poraz Igokee, Cedevita Olimpija odnijela bodove iz Laktaša
Novi poraz Igokee, Cedevita Olimpija odnijela bodove iz Laktaša
Other
Sudar dva autobusa iz BiH na njemačkom auto-putu
Sudar dva autobusa iz BiH na njemačkom auto-putu
Kimberly Guilfoyle | The flashy diplomat
The Hindu
Požar izbio pod krovnom konstrukcijom škole u Grančarevu,...
Vijesti
Delta flood risk analysis: case study from the Neretva River (Croatia)
BIOENGINEER
Advokat Harisa Karadže: Tražit ćemo od MUP-a KS da pribave podatke iz sistema "Sparta", kako bi utvrdili gdje se nalazio
Dnevni avaz -
Aleksandra Radović napunila BKC u Sarajevu: Publika uglas pjevala njene najveće hitove
Dnevni avaz -
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Bosnia
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bonus episode: The EU enlargement game
Jessica Hendrick conducted an EU enlargement simulation in Lisbon with experts representing six candidate countries, testing how economic crises, geopolitical pressure, disinformation, and external competition from rival powers affect membership prospects and democratic values.
Sep 4, 2026
Bruegel
EU candidate countries acquis alignment dataset (2020-2025)
Researchers converted the European Commission's qualitative assessments of eight EU candidate countries' membership preparedness into numerical scores ranging from 0 to 100, enabling comparative analysis across nations and policy areas from 2020 to 2025.
Jul 1, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Bosnia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Milorad Dodik
personlast · Oct 17
103
Zeljka Cvijanovic
personlast · Oct 5
33
Denis Becirovic
personlast · Oct 5
26
Darijana Filipovic
personlast · Oct 5
24
Željka Cvijanović
personlast · Oct 17
16
Edin Džeko
personlast · Oct 17
14
Darijana Filipović
personlast · Oct 12
14
Ermedin Demirović
personlast · Oct 17
12
Savo Minić
personlast · Oct 12
12
Denis Bećirović
personlast · Oct 11
12
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Bosnia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.