Intelligence · Dashboard
Global risk & conflict monitor.
A quantitative cross-section of 625 tracked conflicts, 33,011 strategic events (30d), 17 arms transfers, 81,053 sanctioned entities, and 10 Bayesian threat indices. Ingested every 3 hours.
Active Conflicts?What this KPI meansActive conflicts — conflicts we are currently tracking with the status
How we count: row count from the
active, escalating, or ongoing.How we count: row count from the
strategic_conflicts table, filtered by status. The sparkline will fill once we track active-count history (not yet recorded daily).413
of 625 tracked
Strategic Events · 30d?What this KPI meansStrategic events — LLM-extracted, scored events of geopolitical significance (air strikes, troop deployments, assassinations, cyber attacks, arms sales, diplomatic pacts…).
How we count: rows in
How we count: rows in
strategic_events with event_date ≥ today − 30 days. Arrow = 14-day trajectory (first-half mean vs second-half mean). “High-σ” = significance score ≥ 80.33,011
3,444 in last 7d · 781 high-σ
Arms Transfers · 30d?What this KPI meansArms transfers— announced, delivered, or contracted weapons & defense transfers: missiles, aircraft, armored vehicles, drones, ammunition, and the like.
How we count: rows in
How we count: rows in
strategic_transfers with announced_date ≥ today − 30 days. Arrow = 14-day trajectory.17
6 in last 7d
Sanctions Δ · 30d?What this KPI meansSanctions delta — persons, organizations, and companies newly added to any tracked sanctions list in the last 30 days (OFAC, EU, UK, UN, national lists).
How we count:
How we count:
SUM(added_count) from sanctions_daily_deltas over the window. Arrow = 14-day additions trajectory.+1,996
81,053 entities total
σ Anomalies?What this KPI meansσ anomalies — how many of our tracked Bayesian threats are running unusually hot or cold vs. their own recent baseline.
How we count: threats where
How we count: threats where
|current_probability − prior_probability| ≥ 0.10. When the count spikes, many threats are moving at once — a signal that the global situation is changing, not just one region.0
of 10 threats
Top Risk Countries · 30d trajectorystability 0–100 · lower = less stable
0128.1 /100Critical0231.1 /100Critical0334.2 /100Critical0437.1 /100Critical0538.8 /100Critical0639.1 /100Critical0739.8 /100Critical0840.0 /100Critical0941.8 /100Critical1042.7 /100CriticalActive ConflictsGeoMemo Intel · top 6
Iran war100 / Crit
civil_war · active
Persian Gulf conflict100 / Crit
maritime · active
Middle East conflict100 / Crit
civil_war · active
Mexico drug cartel violence100 / Crit
civil_war · active
Israel-Hamas war100 / Crit
civil_war · active
India-Pakistan conflict100 / Crit
proxy · resolved
Arms Transfers · last 30 days17 · top 6 recent
fighter
PK → SA · Sep 1 · delivered
Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey established a mutual defense agreement similar to NATO, potentially reducing U.S. Middle East involvement and creating regional stability independent of American military commitments in the region.
Source: Defense Priorities — The Saudi Arabia-Pakistan-Turkey deal provides the U.S. with an opportunity
Javelin anti-tank$292M
US → IN · Aug 28 · contracted
Warsh advises the Fed to focus on prices due to US inflation exceeding targets.
Source: indiagazette — Update: Warsh says Fed should focus on prices as U.S. inflation remains above target
military drones$6.6B
— → TW · Aug 26 · proposed
Taiwan's President pushes a $6.6 billion military drone bill ahead of a crucial vote.
Source: The Hindu — Taiwan President pushes $6.6 billion military drone bill ahead of crucial vote
Wi-fi patents
CN → US · Huawei · Aug 26 · contracted
Huawei and HP resolved their Wi-Fi patent dispute through a multi-year cross-licensing agreement, allowing HP to use Huawei's Wi-Fi patents on personal computers for a fee following Huawei's 2025 lawsuit.
Source: China Economic Review — Huawei, HP settle Wi-fi patent dispute with cross-licensing deal
civilian nuclear program
US → SA · U.S. Energy Secretary · Aug 24 · proposed
President Trump submitted a classified civil nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review, conditioning its approval on Saudi normalization with Israel through the Abraham Accords, raising concerns about uranium enrichment and proliferation risks.
Source: The Hindu — Trump submits civil nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review
Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles
GB → UA · MBDA · Aug 24 · contracted
The UK provides Ukraine with Storm Shadow technology to develop its own long-range weapon.
Source: The New Voice of Ukraine — UK gives Ukraine Storm Shadow know-how to develop its own long-range weapon
Sanctions Activity · last 30 days+1996 added · 81,053 total
Banque Misr UAEadded
Company · — · Aug 29
Reza Mohammad Taeediadded
Person · AE · Aug 29
Reza Mohammad Taeedi
Person · AE · snapshot Aug 29
Sanctions program: SDGT - Executive Order 13224 (Terrorism)
Source: OpenSanctions · OFAC
Kameng Trading Limitedadded
Organization · CN · Aug 29
Kameng Trading Limited
Organization · CN · snapshot Aug 29
Sanctions program: IRAN-EO13902 - Executive Order 13902 (Iran)
Source: OpenSanctions · OFAC
Haykum Abbas Jumaa Abbas Reza Al Barqaniadded
Person · — · Aug 29
Haykum Abbas Jumaa Abbas Reza Al Barqani
Person · — · snapshot Aug 29
Sanctions program: ""
Source: OpenSanctions · IQ
Haykum Abbas Jumaa Abbas Reza Al Barqaniadded
Person · — · Aug 28
Haykum Abbas Jumaa Abbas Reza Al Barqani
Person · — · snapshot Aug 28
Sanctions program: ""
Source: OpenSanctions · IQ
Live Events Feed · last 7 days3,444 events · top 14 by significance
AUG 30, 2026σ 90MMconflict_escalation
Communal violence broke out in Rakhine State
AUG 29, 2026σ 90HTassassination
Haitian President Jovenel Moise was assassinated at his home.
AUG 29, 2026σ 90RS → BAconflict_escalation
Ratko Mladic orchestrated the massacre of over 8,000 Bosnian Muslims in Srebrenica
AUG 29, 2026σ 90IL → PSair_strike
Israeli strike kills three Palestinians in West Bank's Jenin.
AUG 25, 2026σ 90RUnuclear_test
Russia successfully tests the Poseidon nuclear torpedo system, according to President Vladimir Putin.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80RUdrone_strike
Drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have significantly damaged refinery capacity.
AUG 29, 2026σ 80US → RUconflict_escalation
The US-led Western alliance has been waging a proxy war against Russia in Ukraine.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80ES → PEassassination
Atahualpa was assassinated by Francisco Pizarro and his men.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80MXnaval_operation
Mexican authorities seized the Challenge Procyon ship with approximately 10 million liters of hydrocarbons in Tampico.
AUG 29, 2026σ 80IL → TRconflict_escalation
Israel's Foreign Ministry accuses Turkish President Erdogan of antisemitism and attempting to divert attention from his actions in Turkey and the region.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80SAnaval_operation
Houthis declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia and Saudi-linked shipping in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80PK → INmilitary_exercise
Pakistan launches Operation Gibraltar, sending thousands of trained infiltrators across the Ceasefire Line into Jammu and Kashmir
AUG 30, 2026σ 80US → IRair_strike
The US and Israel bombed Iran in the opening days of war.
AUG 30, 2026σ 80USsatellite_launch
NASA launches Roman Space Telescope to create a new 'Atlas of the Universe'