GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesBulgaria (BG)

Bulgaria.

Republic of Bulgaria · Sofia · 6.7M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesBulgarian (official) 77.3%, Turkish 7.9%, Romani 3.5%Area110.9K km²Sanctioned entities262Active conflicts1Mentions 7d5 ▲ 25%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
93.7
Stable risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Bulgaria becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Bulgaria · 90-day event volume
83
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
BULGARIA-RUSSIBULGARIA-EU RE2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 5 milestones · hover for context
MAY 9
2026
Bulgaria Approves Cabinet
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
Bulgaria-Russia-EU Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
Bulgaria-Russia Ties
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
Bulgaria-Ukraine Relations
diplomatic_tension · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Bulgaria-EU Relations
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
97/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.50%article coverage 90d: 340
Arms Activity
97/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 6total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.39%inflation pct: 2.45%unemployment pct: 4.20%
Market Stress
88/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 24negative signals 30d: 3
Sanctions Exposure
48/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 262is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
80/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.8literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
21Stable
Security
1Stable
Economic
15Stable
Regulatory
52Elevated
Operational
14Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 26 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
47.6
02Ukraine
50.2
03Federal Republic of Germany
55.1
04Hellenic Republic
58.0
05Kingdom of Spain
59.8
06French Republic
61.6
07Republic of Cyprus
62.8
08Romania
67.3
26Republic of Bulgaria· this country
76.6
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$113.3B
$11.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$17.6K
$1.7K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.4%
7.0% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
4.2%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.4M
5.2K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.15%
0.20% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
75.8 yrs
0.0 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
82.4%
2.0% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
83
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-09
SEV 4
Bulgaria Approves Cabinet
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-08
SEV 5
Bulgaria-Russia-EU Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-08
SEV 4
Bulgaria-Russia Ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-08
SEV 5
Bulgaria-Ukraine Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-07
SEV 6
Bulgaria-EU Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-06
SEV 2
Bulgaria Foreign Policy
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-05
SEV 2
Bulgaria Foreign Policy
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-01
SEV 5
Bulgaria Income Rise
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Bulgaria
World War II
War · 10797 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Defense & Arms Transfers

Mapped: Where U.S. Troops Are Stationed in Europe

US troops are stationed across Europe, with Germany hosting nearly 36,000 troops.

Visual CapitalistUnited States · Germany · Italy
Defense & Arms Transfers
Ƙasashen Afirka 10 da suka fi sayen makaman yaƙi
BBC
Defense & Arms Transfers
SAHA Expo 2026 revealed Türkiye’s growing defense power | Daily Sabah
Daily Sabah
Defense & Arms Transfers
U.S. Special Operations Command Europe launches Trojan Footprint 2026 multinational SOF exercise
Defence Industry Europe
Other
Eurovision 2026: Η αποθέωση του Akyla από το BBC και οι δύο ημιτελικοί
To Vima
Λευκάδα: Δύο δορυφορικά συστήματα έφερε το πλωτό drone – Υπό διερεύνηση οι δύο Βούλγαροι ψαράδες
Ta Nea
Nicușor Dan to Host NATO and Ukrainian Leaders in Bucharest
bgnes.com
Eurovision 2026: Αύριο ο Α’ ημιτελικός με τη συμμετοχή του Ακύλα
Protothema
After Orbán’s Ouster, a New Euroskeptic Takes Power in Bulgaria
Bloomberg
Mundial 2026: de qué grupo salieron los últimos diez campeones de cada Mundial
Clarin
Think tanks · this country4 articles from research institutions tracking Bulgaria
Council on Foreign Relations
Iran and the U.S. Exchange Retaliation Threats
Iran and the U.S. escalated threats after America seized an Iranian cargo ship, with Tehran denying participation in peace talks while Trump warned of attacking Iranian infrastructure, as a two-week ceasefire nears its Tuesday deadline.
Apr 20, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Pro-Russian Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria won parliament's first majority since 1997, likely to sound like Viktor Orban on foreign policy but act more like Robert Fico, supporting EU defense initiatives while voicing domestic disagreements.
Apr 20, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Pro-Russian Rumen Radev's new party won Bulgaria's first parliamentary majority since 1997, likely positioning the country as a less disruptive EU thorn than Hungary, though he may rhetorically oppose EU policies while supporting Ukraine sanctions and defense integration.
Apr 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Could Bulgaria replace Hungary as Putin’s proxy inside the EU?
Viktor Orbán's electoral defeat raises Ukrainian hopes for stronger EU support, yet Bulgaria's April 19 parliamentary election threatens to install pro-Russian former president Rumen Radev, potentially replacing Hungary as Putin's primary European Union proxy.
Apr 17, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Bulgaria-tagged articles · last 30 days
Kristalina Georgieva
personlast · May 12
1,033
Rumen Radev
personlast · May 12
249
Boyko Borissov
personlast · May 10
86
Delyan Peevski
personlast · May 10
36
Baba Vanga
personlast · May 6
33
Radev
personlast · May 11
26
Georgieva
personlast · May 11
21
Andrey Gyurov
personlast · May 9
15
Maria Simeonova
personlast · May 5
13
Vessela Tcherneva
personlast · Apr 29
13
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
World War II100
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Bulgaria will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.