Other
Paraguay shock Germany in shootout win for one of all-time World Cup upsets
Paraguay defeats Germany 4-3 in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw.
Al JazeeraParaguay · Germany · France
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Bulgaria.
Republic of Bulgaria · Sofia · 6.7M people · europe
Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesBulgarian (official) 77.3%, Turkish 7.9%, Romani 3.5%Area110.9K km²Sanctioned entities267Active conflicts1Mentions 7d2 ▼ 87%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
94.9
Stable risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Bulgaria becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Bulgaria · 90-day event volume
127
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
JUN 24
2026
Bulgaria Upgraded
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.70%article coverage 90d: 763
Arms Activity
97/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 7total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.39%inflation pct: 2.45%unemployment pct: 4.20%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
47/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 267is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
80/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.8literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political21Stable
Security1Stable
Economic10Stable
Regulatory53Elevated
Operational11Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 34 of 55
0144.2
0245.7
0350.4
0452.2
0554.1
0655.5
0758.2
0860.1
3477.9
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$113.3B
▲ $11.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$17.6K
▲ $1.7K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20242.4%
▼ 7.0% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20244.2%
▼ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 20246.4M
▼ 5.2K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20242.15%
▲ 0.20% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202475.8 yrs
▲ 0.0 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202482.4%
▲ 2.0% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
127
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-06-24
Bulgaria Upgraded
Economic Indicator
2026-06-23
Bulgaria Market Upgrade
Economic Indicator
2026-06-20
Bulgaria Criticized
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-20
Radović Visit to Bulgaria
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-20
IMF & World Bank Meeting
Summit Meeting
2026-06-19
Bulgaria Blocks Sanctions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-19
Bulgaria Threatens Veto
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-19
Tal Dilian's company exports surveillance tech
Espionage
Active conflicts involving Bulgaria
World War II
War · 10910 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
Justice Department seizes 400 sites streaming World Cup illegally
Washington Times
Geopolitical Politics
Diplomatic staff protest in front of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs - БНР Новини
БНР Новини
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Two boys 'left in hot car to sleep' in Cyprus sadly die
Daily Record - News
Other
Two young boys tragically die in hot car after 'being left inside to sleep'
The Mirror
Books of the Month: What to read in July, from David Sedaris to the stylish finale of Colson Whitehead’s Harlem Trilogy
The Independent
U.S. seizes nearly 400 websites that were illegally streaming World Cup, DOJ says
The Hindu
Cabo Verde, el rival de Argentina: convocó a un futbolista por LinkedIn y sueña con seguir haciendo historia
La Gaceta On Line
Κατάσχεση σχεδόν 400 ιστοσελίδων για παράνομη μετάδοση αγώνων του Μουντιάλ 2026
Protothema
Biggest match of her life: Australian Maya Joint to face Serena Williams in her Wimbledon comeback
The Age - Latest News
Think tanks · this country4 articles from research institutions tracking Bulgaria
Council on Foreign Relations
Iran and the U.S. Exchange Retaliation Threats
Apr 20, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Apr 20, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Apr 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Could Bulgaria replace Hungary as Putin’s proxy inside the EU?
Apr 17, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Bulgaria-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
World War II100+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Bulgaria will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.