GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesBelarus (BY)

Belarus.

Republic of Belarus · Minsk · 9.5M people · europe

Governmentpresidential republic in name, although in fact a dictatorshipLanguagesRussian (official) 71.4%, Belarusian (official) 26%, other 0.3% (includes small Polish- and Ukrainian-speaking minorities)Area207.6K km²Sanctioned entities940Active conflicts3CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
63.2
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Belarus becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Belarus · 90-day event volume
82
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
REFUGEE FLOW2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 4domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.80%article coverage 90d: 764
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 31total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.35%inflation pct: 5.79%unemployment pct: 3.46%
Market Stress
67/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 3negative signals 30d: 1
Sanctions Exposure
0/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 940is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
88/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 74.4literacy rate: 99.90%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
12Stable
Security
50Elevated
Economic
24Stable
Regulatory
100Critical
Operational
48Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 8 of 55
01Ukraine
44.1
02United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
44.8
03French Republic
52.0
04Federal Republic of Germany
54.6
05Kingdom of Spain
56.6
06Republic of Cyprus
62.4
07Italian Republic
63.1
08Republic of Belarus· this country
63.2
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$78.6B
$6.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$8.6K
$709 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
5.8%
0.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.5%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
9.1M
45.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.07%
0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
74.4 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
94.3%
2.7% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
82
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-21
SEV 6
High Inflation
Economic Indicator
2026-08-18
SEV 7
El Niño Flooding
Flood
2026-08-18
SEV 4
Belarus supports Russia
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-16
SEV 6
Ukraine-Belarus Border Tension
Border Incursion
2026-08-14
SEV 2
FIA Lifts Restrictions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-14
SEV 8
Migrant Crisis
Refugee Flow
2026-08-12
SEV 2
Lukashenko visits Indonesia
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-12
SEV 2
Belarus-Uzbekistan meeting
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Belarus
Iran war
Civil War · 382737 dispatches
Critical · 100
Belarus political crisis
Civil War · 77 dispatches
Low · 5.5
Belarusian democratic crisis
Civil War · 64 dispatches
Low · 5.5
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

'Classics Quoted by Xi Jinping' to air across SCO countries

"Classics Quoted by Xi Jinping" will air across SCO countries, featuring quotes from ancient Chinese classics used by Xi Jinping.

CGTNChina · Kyrgyzstan · Belarus
International Relations
Putin to Lukashenko: High Tempo of Relations Requires Constant Coordination - News.by
News.by
International Relations
Leaders of Russia, China, Iran to attend summit in Kyrgyzstan
Gulf News
International Relations
PM Modi begins four-day Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan visit for SCO summit; what's on agenda
Times of India
Geopolitical Conflict
Belarus – a constant source of threats to Ukraine ᐉ Новини от Fakti.bg - Opinions - fakti.bg
fakti.bg
Pezeshkian to meet Putin on September 1: Russian official
Mehr News Agency
Lukashenko extended condolences to Nepalese President over flood, landslide victims - СБ. Беларусь сегодня
СБ. Беларусь сегодня
Expert Sosnovsky: Interaction between Belarus and Russia is a Guarantee of Security and Development - News.by
News.by
US Open 2026: el Grand Slam que va mucho más allá del tenis y mueve millones
Clarin
How this 30m tunnel became the centre of a growing border dispute
World News
Think tanks · this country3 articles from research institutions tracking Belarus
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Analysis | Korea Chair
Analysts examined North Korea's uranium enrichment capabilities, regional relationships with Belarus, and cryptocurrency theft operations, while assessing security implications for South Korea amid broader geopolitical tensions.
Apr 23, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
North Korea’s Ties With Belarus: Limited But Not Insignificant
North Korea and Belarus strengthen ties with a friendship treaty and embassy opening.
Apr 11, 2026
Atlantic Council
Russia’s shadow war: How the Kremlin uses sabotage to wear down Europe
Russia has orchestrated a campaign of sabotage across Europe, including railway explosions and drone disruptions at major airports, to destabilize NATO allies by eroding Western unity without triggering formal military response, prompting Poland to deploy ten thousand troops under Operation Horizon.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Belarus-tagged articles · last 30 days
Aryna Sabalenka
personlast · Aug 29
325
Alexander Lukashenko
personlast · Aug 24
290
Aleksandr Lukashenko
personlast · Aug 24
34
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
personlast · Aug 27
30
Lukashenko
personlast · Aug 24
20
Maxim Ryzhenkov
personlast · Aug 23
15
Alyaksandr Lukashenka
personlast · Aug 25
13
Alexander Lukaschenko
personlast · Aug 20
8
Svetlana Alexievich
personlast · Aug 22
5
Yuri Gorlov
personlast · Aug 18
4
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Belarus will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.