Other
„Ich habe aus Klopapier Schachfiguren gemacht“: Was Maxim Znak in der Haft in Belarus gerettet hat
Maxim Znak wrote 18 books in a Belarusian prison, but only one survived confiscation.
SNBelarus
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Belarus.
Republic of Belarus · Minsk · 9.5M people · europe
Governmentpresidential republic in name, although in fact a dictatorshipLanguagesRussian (official) 71.4%, Belarusian (official) 26%, other 0.3% (includes small Polish- and Ukrainian-speaking minorities)Area207.6K km²Sanctioned entities954Active conflicts3Mentions 7d5 ▲ 67%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
61.9
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Belarus becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Belarus · 90-day event volume
50
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 5 milestones · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Politically motivated persecution
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
OCT 17
2026
Belarus economy grows
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Omani envoy to Belarus
diplomatic_visit · severity 1
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Russia Plans Missile Launchers in Belarus
conflict_escalation · severity 8
Critical
OCT 16
2026
Bitget Restrictions
sanctions_imposed · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 2actor only events: 3domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 4,448
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 31total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.35%inflation pct: 5.79%unemployment pct: 3.46%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
0/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 954is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
88/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 74.4literacy rate: 99.90%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political12Stable
Security50Elevated
Economic30Moderate
Regulatory100Critical
Operational51Elevated
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 6 of 55
0145.5
0252.8
0354.5
0455.9
0557.3
0661.9
0762.5
0864.3
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$78.6B
▲ $6.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$8.6K
▲ $709 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20245.8%
▲ 0.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.5%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 20249.1M
▼ 45.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20241.98%
▲ 0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202474.4 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202494.3%
▲ 2.7% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
50
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-10-17
Politically motivated persecution
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
Belarus economy grows
Economic Indicator
2026-10-17
Omani envoy to Belarus
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-17
Russia Plans Missile Launchers in Belarus
Conflict Escalation
2026-10-16
Bitget Restrictions
Sanctions Imposed
2026-10-11
Lukashenko Silent on Debt
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
Belarus links EU protests
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
Belarus-Russia Relations
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Belarus
Iran war
War · 454320 dispatches
Critical · 100
Belarus political crisis
Civil War · 78 dispatches
Elevated · 39.8
Belarusian democratic crisis
Civil War · 64 dispatches
Elevated · 39.8
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict
Panevėžio ir Šiaulių apskrityse paskelbtas raudonas oro pavojus
Bernardinai.lt
International Relations
Pashinyan denies that contacts with Putin, Łukašenka signal shift in Armenia’s foreign policy - Позірк
Позірк
Other
Прикордонники Бещадів вилучили два автомобілі з підробленими документами та крадене авто
112.UA - Новини України
Other
Roma vs Milan: Kyvåg, Renzotti Lift Milan, But Tre Fontane Na Serious Test
NNN
Туск попередив про нову ескалацію гібридної війни Росії проти Європи цієї зими
112.UA - Новини України
Zelensky: VS werken aan ontmoeting met Moskou
RD.nl
Zelensky: VS werken aan ontmoeting met Moskou
Noordhollands Dagblad
Александр Горбенко: турнир «Победа» объединил спорт, технологии и искусство
Новости
Zelensky: VS werken aan ontmoeting met Moskou
De Gooi- en Eemlander
Think tanks · this country8 articles from research institutions tracking Belarus
Atlantic Council
The deterrence gap: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?
Oct 7, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Belarus Wants More From the West Than a ‘Massive Deal’ on Potash
Sep 26, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
In the bear’s paw: How Europeans can loosen Russia’s grip on Belarus
Aug 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Belarus is quietly preparing to play a larger role in Russia’s Ukraine war
Jul 4, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Russian Annexation of Belarus
Jun 3, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Analysis | Korea Chair
Apr 23, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
North Korea’s Ties With Belarus: Limited But Not Insignificant
Apr 11, 2026
Atlantic Council
Russia’s shadow war: How the Kremlin uses sabotage to wear down Europe
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Belarus-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Belarus will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.