Oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive day as investors navigated conflicting U.S. and Iranian signals about Strait of Hormuz access, with Brent crude climbing 0.5% to $91.44 and shipping through the critical chokepoint slowing significantly.
June Goh
Oil prices fell sharply this week as Saudi Aramco resumed loadings at Ras Tanura and more tankers exited the Strait of Hormuz, easing supply concerns despite geopolitical tensions and modest overall traffic recovery from pre-war levels.
Asian oil refiners gain competitive advantage by exporting petroleum products to Europe and the US amid Middle East conflict and Russian diesel ban, capitalizing on strong margins and adequate crude inventories while geopolitical uncertainty may quickly shift regional dynamics.
Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran threaten global oil supply stability and may surge crude prices.
The UAE pumped 3.8 million barrels per day in June after quitting OPEC in May to escape production caps, marking its highest output since April 2020 and validating its decision to pursue unrestricted production amid shifting oil market dynamics.
Oil prices plummeted 10% weekly as crude shipments resumed through the Strait of Hormuz following a ceasefire agreement, with Brent closing at $71.99 per barrel, easing supply shortage concerns amid geopolitical tensions.
Chinese crude oil demand collapse will suppress very large crude carrier rates through July, with analysts projecting sustained weakness in tanker demand and pricing in the near term.
Brent crude fell over five percent as President Trump sent mixed signals on a US-Iran peace deal, with oil markets hoping for reopened shipping lanes to release stranded crude supplies and restore global energy stability.
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global bunker fuel supply, driving prices up 60 percent in Singapore and threatening to increase shipping costs, consumer prices, and disrupt supply chains worldwide that depend on maritime transport for 80 percent of traded goods.
Singapore's oil product stocks fell to nine-month lows at 44.83 million barrels as US-Iran conflict disrupted Middle East crude exports, forcing refineries to switch to lighter crude and fuel traders to source supplies from alternative regions including India and Oman.
Oil prices surge nearly 6 percent as violence flares in the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices remain flat after Trump's plan for the Strait of Hormuz fails to calm markets.
Oil prices recovered from earlier declines following reports of renewed closures at the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global petroleum chokepoint through which roughly one-third of seaborne oil transits, raising supply concerns.
Trump and Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz reopening for commercial traffic following a ceasefire, though the U.S. maintains its naval blockade on Iranian ships pending nuclear negotiations, aiming to stabilize global oil markets.
Global flight cancellations and route reductions are expected due to rising fuel costs amid the US, Israel, and Iran conflict.
China is rapidly expanding oil storage capacity by 169 million barrels across 11 sites through 2026, driven by energy security concerns following Russia's Ukraine invasion, to support its position as the world's largest crude importer.
Oil prices surged 5% Monday as the US-Iran ceasefire deteriorated following America's seizure of an Iranian cargo ship and Tehran's rejection of peace talks, while shipping through the critical Hormuz Strait nearly halted, disrupting global oil flows.
Crude oil prices fell more than three percent Friday as tankers exited the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Aramco resumed loadings after a four-month halt, easing supply concerns despite broader geopolitical tensions in the region.
Oil surged above $85 as US Strategic Petroleum Reserve depletion and US-Iranian tensions near the Strait of Hormuz tightened supplies, with analysts warning crude could reach $100 if escalation continues instead of easing.
US-Iran military escalation threatens Gulf stability as crude oil prices could spike toward USD 110 per barrel if geopolitical tensions intensify, while analysts warn Asian refiners face potential supply disruptions despite improved preparedness.
How war on Iran changed the global energy sector forever
An attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz prompted the UN to halt evacuation efforts, causing Brent crude to surge approximately 4 percent to $74.89 per barrel, threatening regional shipping recovery and global oil supply stability.
Following Iran-Israel conflict closure of the Strait of Hormuz in February, spot crude premiums have eased from record highs despite 500 million barrels of lost supply, as refiners reduced output and tapped inventories to manage disruption.
Shipping industry fears fuel shortages as Iran war squeezes bunker fuel supply.
Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure has disrupted bunker fuel supplies, raising shipping costs by 60 percent in Singapore and threatening to increase consumer prices globally as 80 percent of international trade moves by sea.
Oil prices surged past $110 as escalating US-Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz triggered supply disruption fears, with analysts warning geopolitical risks could push crude toward $120 per barrel amid damaged infrastructure and shipping delays.
Oil prices remain flat despite Trump's plan to guide vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
The UAE's May 1 withdrawal from OPEC allows it to independently increase oil production, benefiting China-which relies on imports for seventy percent of its energy needs and faces supply constraints from Iran and Venezuela-while potentially lowering global crude prices and enabling yuan-denominated transactions.
Oil futures surged to four-year highs as Middle East conflict escalated with Yemen's Houthis threatening Red Sea shipping routes, with WTI rising 3.3% to $102.88 amid concerns over regional supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
Oil surged near four-year highs as Middle East tensions escalated with Houthi involvement, threatening critical Red Sea shipping routes and raising global inflation concerns despite Trump's diplomatic efforts and threats against Iranian infrastructure.
Global airlines are reducing flights due to high fuel prices and potential supply disruptions caused by Middle East conflict.
Middle East conflict sparks oil shock fears, Asian airlines raise fares
Oil prices rise as attacks in the Middle East dampen hopes for a Strait of Hormuz reopening.
China's oil imports have fallen sharply, averaging 8 million barrels per day since April.
Oil prices surge to a 1-month high amid US-Iran attacks and Strait of Hormuz tensions.
The UAE exited OPEC+ in May and raised crude production to 3.8 million barrels daily by June, its highest since April 2020, by offering discounted prices that attracted Chinese refineries and new buyers amid regional supply constraints.
War on Iran accelerates the global energy sector's shift to renewables and alternative routes.
Crude oil prices fell to four-month lows as improved tanker movement through the Strait of Hormuz and expected Iranian exports eased supply concerns. Brent crude dropped 1.8 percent to $75.71 per barrel, while WTI fell 1.5 percent to $72.13.
Oil prices fell 5.5% Monday as markets anticipated a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent crude dropping below $100 per barrel for the first time in a month, though analysts expect prices to remain elevated through summer.
Shipping industry fears fuel shortages may drive up global prices due to Iran war disruptions.
President Trump announced a plan to clear stranded vessels from the Strait of Hormuz, but oil markets remained flat as traders doubted the initiative would resolve the energy crisis caused by reduced maritime traffic and Iranian threats to shipping.
Renewed violence in the Strait of Hormuz between US and Iran forces drove Brent crude oil prices up nearly 6 percent to $114.44 per barrel Monday, amid concerns about ceasefire stability and potential infrastructure damage.
Oil prices remain flat despite Trump's plan to guide vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
China may benefit from the UAE's Opec withdrawal with increased oil supply and lower prices.
CNA Explains: How the Houthis could threaten the Red Sea and shape the Iran war
Despite Iran's conditional ceasefire lifting a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, ship traffic remained nearly frozen at only seven vessels transiting in 24 hours compared to pre-war averages of 130 daily, significantly impacting global oil and gas supply chains that require months for recovery.
Iran war disruptions halted Middle East oil exports through Strait of Hormuz, destabilizing the Dubai benchmark that prices roughly one-fifth of global crude supply and driving costs to nearly $170 per barrel, forcing Asian refiners and market participants to seek alternative pricing methods.
