Brent crude oil reached nearly $110 per barrel Friday, driven by Middle East tensions and Russian supply concerns, causing U.S. gasoline prices to surge to $4.30 per gallon, up significantly from $3.05 annually.
Ewa Manthey
The US conducted fresh strikes on Iranian military targets, causing crude oil futures to surge Wednesday morning, with Brent crude rising 4.23 percent to $95.44 amid escalating Persian Gulf tensions and concerns over critical shipping route disruptions.
Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped sharply to 33 vessels from 50 the prior week amid U.S.-Iran tensions and uncertainty over Middle East negotiations, raising crude oil prices and escalating shipping safety risks.
ING analysts note oil prices extended gains as US-Iran tensions escalated and Persian Gulf tanker flows faced pressure, with large inventory drawdowns and ending SPR releases leaving markets vulnerable to supply disruptions.
Iranian attacks on UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent crude above $85 and US oil past $80, potentially halting UAE fuel price cuts if elevated levels persist through monthly reviews despite forecasters maintaining lower 2026 outlooks.
Oil prices plunged to $72 per barrel on July 9 as Federal Reserve inflation warnings and rate hike concerns overwhelmed Middle East geopolitical risks, triggering broad commodity market selloffs across gold and metals amid reduced economic growth expectations.
Crude oil prices fell on expectations of supply surplus as Strait of Hormuz traffic recovered, yet analysts may overstate oversupply risks since tankers were previously stuck, not newly loaded, and regional production remains disrupted from ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Brent crude fell nearly 40% last quarter on U.S.-Iran peace deal optimism, but analysts warn premature celebration as Hormuz tanker traffic remains depressed and diplomatic talks stalled, suggesting geopolitical risks persist.
Gold fell below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since November, ending a three-year bull market driven by stronger dollar valuations and expectations of higher interest rates, which reduced demand among investors and central banks.
South Korea's Kospi plummeted over 5% as Asian shares fell following declines in U.S. artificial intelligence stocks, with Broadcom sinking 12.6% after disappointing guidance, triggering broader technology sector concerns.
President Trump's warning that Iran's "clock is ticking" triggered Asian stock declines across major markets and oil price surges, as geopolitical tensions over stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations raised concerns about global energy supply disruptions.
President Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire response, triggering a 4% oil surge amid Middle East tensions, while Asian stocks showed mixed performance with South Korea gaining 4.1% and Japan declining 0.4%.
Oil prices fluctuated as markets assessed the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, with traders balancing potential Iranian sanctions relief against geopolitical tensions, impacting global energy market stability and investment decisions.
Gold surged 3.6% past $4,700 per ounce Wednesday as US-Iran peace deal hopes eased inflation concerns, potentially enabling Federal Reserve rate cuts that benefit non-yielding assets like bullion.
Goldman Sachs reports global oil inventories fell to an eight-year low of 101 days of demand, with rapid depletion exposing markets to shocks as Strait of Hormuz tensions escalate and refined product stocks plummet to critically low levels.
European natural gas futures reversed early losses to gain 1.3% as Iran rejected Trump's Hormuz shipping plan, with markets concerned about potential supply disruptions affecting global LNG flows and Europe's winter energy security.
Asian stocks declined Tuesday tracking Wall Street losses, while oil prices fell after earlier gains amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, with regional markets thin due to holiday closures and ceasefire talks stalled.
Global stock markets rebounded Friday after technology losses, with Asian indices climbing sharply while Indonesia's market plunged over eleven percent following an MSCI downgrade warning, amid optimism about artificial intelligence's economic benefits.
An unidentified projectile struck a cargo vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, damaging its engine room and injuring crew, pushing Brent crude above $91 per barrel amid escalating US-Iran tensions and regional instability.
Iran war live: Trump strikes key port control tower after escalating attacks
The U.S. military disabled an Iran-linked oil tanker near Kharg Island using hellfire missiles, enforcing a renewed naval blockade against Iranian ports, escalating U.S. Iran tensions and pushing oil prices above eighty dollars per barrel.
President Trump reinstated a naval blockade of Iranian ports, causing crude oil futures to surge significantly across global markets, with Brent crude rising 1.78 percent and WTI climbing 2 percent, reflecting geopolitical tensions over Strait of Hormuz control and shipping fees.
Oil prices surged over 5% Wednesday after Iran attacked commercial ships, escalating regional tensions and prompting shipowners to pause Strait of Hormuz transits, revealing markets had underestimated geopolitical risks to oil supply stability.
Aluminium and copper prices fell 17.5 percent and 6 percent respectively over one month, but analysts say downside remains limited due to persistent supply deficits and tight market fundamentals supporting longer-term price stability.
Asian stock markets posted mixed results Monday as artificial intelligence-related sell-offs dragged Japan's Nikkei down one percent and South Korea's Kospi down two percent, while geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran added economic uncertainty.
Portfolio managers have tripled short positions in Brent Crude since March, betting supply disruptions will resolve despite the Middle East crisis causing thirteen million barrels daily losses and depleting global inventories at record pace.
Asian stock markets rose Friday as U.S. and Iran negotiated a tentative 60-day ceasefire extension, reducing geopolitical tensions and oil prices, though analysts cautioned recovery timelines remain uncertain amid ongoing regional uncertainty.
Brent crude surged 6% weekly as President Trump escalated pressure on Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, though only 30 vessels transited versus the typical 140 daily average, raising concerns about potential military escalation and global oil supply disruptions.
Asian stocks showed mixed results Monday as oil surged over 4% following Trump's rejection of Iran's ceasefire response, with Tokyo declining 0.4% while Seoul gained 4.1%, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting energy markets.
Oil prices wavered below $100 per barrel as markets assessed U.S.-Iran peace negotiations; Brent crude fell 1.8% Thursday despite hopes that a potential deal could reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease supply constraints.
Goldman Sachs reports global oil inventories have fallen to an eight-year low of 101 days of demand, with rapid depletion exposing markets to further shocks amid Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions.
Goldman Sachs reports global oil inventories fell to an eight-year low of 101 days of demand, with Strait of Hormuz tensions accelerating depletion rates and potentially exposing markets to further supply shocks.
European natural gas futures reversed early losses to gain 1.3% as Iran rejected Trump's Hormuz shipping plan, amid broader supply concerns from blocked Strait traffic and damaged Qatari infrastructure threatening expensive winter refilling.
Oil Jumps on Supply Shock as Middle East War Disrupts Flows
SoftBank shares plummeted 11.2 percent as OpenAI and Anthropic leaders called for slowing AI development for safety reasons, dragging Asian markets mixed while oil prices surged 3 percent amid Middle East tensions.
Money managers reduced bullish crude oil bets for a second consecutive week, cutting WTI net longs by 7,257 lots and Brent by 20,361 lots, signaling cautious sentiment despite ongoing geopolitical supply risks.
US forces struck Iranian military targets, degrading air defense and missile capabilities, yet crude oil futures declined marginally despite geopolitical tensions threatening Strait of Hormuz shipping and global supply vulnerability amid depleting inventories.
Despite escalating US-Iran military strikes, oil prices fell modestly with Brent crude dropping 0.4 percent to $84.55 per barrel, while Asian stock markets declined largely due to semiconductor selloffs and interest rate hikes, though US futures edged higher.
Oil prices surged 4% following intensified U.S.-Iran military escalation over the weekend, with Brent Crude reaching $79 per barrel amid supply concerns and claims that the Strait of Hormuz closure could disrupt global energy markets significantly.
Oil futures posted their fourth consecutive weekly loss as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and increased flows from Gulf producers, including Saudi Arabia's 10 million barrel shipments, eased supply concerns and pressured prices into the low seventies.
Oil prices fell to pre-war levels as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowly recovers.
Crude oil prices fell significantly last week as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz recovered, with Brent trading at 73.78 dollars per barrel, though analysts warn the recovery may be temporary as trapped vessels finish departing and Venezuela faces earthquake-induced production disruptions.
Asian markets declined Wednesday as technology stocks fell on Wall Street following U.S. airstrikes against Iran, with South Korea's Kospi dropping 4.5% and Japan's Nikkei falling 1.9%, while oil prices remained volatile amid uncertainty over regional stability.
Asian shares advanced following modest Wall Street gains while oil prices climbed above $100 per barrel amid ongoing Iran war uncertainty and stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations, though inflation hit a four-year low at 1.4%.
London Metal Exchange copper prices surged above $14,000 per ton, driven by Chinese demand recovery, Middle Eastern sulfur supply constraints affecting production, and increased correlation with soaring artificial intelligence stock prices.
President Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire response, triggering oil prices to surge over 4% amid Middle East tensions, while Asian stocks showed mixed results with South Korea gaining 4.1% and Japan declining 0.4%.
Oil prices waver as the market weighs chances of a US-Iran deal, with Brent crude dropping below $100 per barrel.
Saudi Arabia reduced its June crude price by four dollars per barrel, less than the five to twelve dollars traders expected, maintaining the second-highest premium in history amid Strait of Hormuz closure risks forcing costly Red Sea route alternatives.
Goldman Sachs warns global oil inventories have fallen to an eight-year low of 101 days of demand, with rapid depletion exposing markets to further shocks, particularly as Strait of Hormuz tensions escalate and refined product stocks critically decline.
US-Iran tensions escalated as the military sank Iranian boats and launched "Project Freedom" to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, causing Asian stocks to decline and oil prices to fluctuate, with Brent crude falling to $113.22 per barrel.
