Escalation trajectory · 90 days · composite of event frequency × severity × geographic spread
88
total events across belligerents · 38 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 4
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Fatalities · 90 days · weekly
84
single-side data only
Source · casualties_daily aggregated by ISO week13 weeks
Bottom Line
We assess with low confidence that the Bolivia protests conflict remains at a critical escalation level (100/100), but the evidence pack for the last 48 hours contains no direct reporting on protest activity, clashes, or civil unrest in Bolivia. Available sources address regional diplomatic and economic developments only. This brief is necessarily thin; the absence of corroborating evidence prevents substantive analytic judgment on the state of the conflict.
Key Devel
Top 10
High-severity events
Severity-ranked events touching this conflict's belligerents · last 30 days
Top 7 shown · global share % = country’s share of worldwide production at this stageFull dataset via API · contact
No dispatches indexed for this conflict in the last 30 days.
Methodology
This brief was drafted daily by Claude Opus/Haiku under an ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft prompt: bottom line up-front, calibrated probability language (“likely,” “highly likely”), explicit confidence levels, and alternative-analysis sections. Drawn from 3 dispatches across 3 publications, stored in our ingestion pipeline across strategic_events, intelligence_events, threat_assessments, and entity_relationships.
Event volume and casualty counts key off BO as the country anchor. Casualty figures above 100,000/day are filtered as extraction outliers pending manual review.
