GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
Countries›Australia (AU)

Australia.

Commonwealth of Australia · Canberra · 27.5M people · australia-oceania

Governmentfederal parliamentary democracy under a constitutional monarchy; a Commonwealth realmArea7.7M km²Sanctioned entities27Active conflicts10Mentions 7d242 ▼ 13%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
60.1
High risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Australia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Australia · 90-day event volume
5,043
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 13
2026
Australia Budget Changes
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
NSW Premier Criticizes
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Arafura Rare Earths
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Arafura Offtake Agreement
trade_deal · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Fortescue to pay $108m
humanitarian_aid · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Flu Outbreak in Australia and New Zealand
disease_outbreak · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Ransom Paid to Hackers
cyberattack · severity 8
Critical
MAY 13
2026
Millennium Drought
drought · severity 8
Critical
MAY 13
2026
Rate Hike Warning
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
First Nations Children in Care
refugee_flow · severity 8
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
0/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 5domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
92/100 · 15% wt
target events: 21actor only events: 24domestic events: 0severe domestic: 2instability rate: 0.20%article coverage 90d: 16,567
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 135total value usd: $2178.57Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.37%inflation pct: 3.17%unemployment pct: 3.94%
Market Stress
69/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 4,500negative signals 30d: 1,405
Sanctions Exposure
95/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 27is sanctioning power: yes
Humanitarian Proxy
96/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 83.1literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
4Stable
Security
72Elevated
Economic
25Stable
Regulatory
5Stable
Operational
44Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · australia-oceania
Rank 1 of 30
01Commonwealth of Australia· this country
60.1
02Republic of the Marshall Islands
66.0
03New Zealand
77.7
04Solomon Islands
79.5
05Overseas Lands of French Polynesia
81.5
06Republic of Nauru
83.6
07Territory of New Caledonia and Dependencies
84.5
08Federated States of Micronesia
86.1
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$1.8T
▲ $22.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$64.6K
▼ $454 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.2%
▼ 2.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.9%
▲ 0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
27.2M
▲ 536.9K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.88%
▲ 0.02% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
83.1 yrs
▲ 0.0 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
96.1%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Security12 recent events · 10 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
5043
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
32453
High-severity events
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Australia Budget Changes
Economic Indicator
2026-05-13
SEV 2
NSW Premier Criticizes
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-13
SEV 2
Arafura Rare Earths
Economic Indicator
2026-05-13
SEV 3
Arafura Offtake Agreement
Trade Deal
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Fortescue to pay $108m
Humanitarian Aid
2026-05-13
SEV 5
Flu Outbreak in Australia and New Zealand
Disease Outbreak
2026-05-13
SEV 8
Ransom Paid to Hackers
Cyberattack
2026-05-13
SEV 8
Millennium Drought
Drought
Active conflicts involving Australia
Iran war
War · 249538 dispatches
Critical · 100
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60705 dispatches
Critical · 100
Middle East conflict
Civil War · 42328 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26844 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

FX Alert: The Carry Trade Casino Is Still Open but Fire Exits Are Starting to Glow

Investors continue chasing yield through low-volatility carry trades in Australian and Norwegian currencies despite mounting inflation pressures, geopolitical risks, and structural market fragility that could trigger rapid unwinding if volatility spikes.

Investing.com AustraliaUnited States · Australia · Japan
Geopolitical Economics
FX Outlook: Surprisingly Low Volatility Keeps Carry Trade Dominant
Investing.com Nigeria
Global Markets
Why Are Defensive Sectors Like Utilities Gaining Attention in Australia?
Kalkine
Global Markets
5 Key Reasons Behind Australia's Biggest Bank Sell-Off: CBA Shares Crash 10% in $25 Billion Wipeout
International Business Times Australia
Global Markets
Asia Mixed Amid Xi-Trump Tensions
Baystreet.ca
BHP’s copper pivot pays off as prices near record highs
investordaily.com.au
Budget turns Australia into ‘belle of the ball’ for global bond buyers
AFR
India-Vietnam Strategic Partnership 2026: Indo-Pacific, Defence Cooperation & China Challenge
StudyIQ
Can Australia turn cobalt into a viable battery supply chain?
Mining Technology
New facilities strengthen Australia’s critical minerals capability
Geoscience Australia
Think tanks · this country13 articles from research institutions tracking Australia
Chatham House
Global health reform cannot wait for a new world order. Middle powers must act now
The U.S. withdrawal from WHO creates a $600 million funding gap, forcing the organization to cut its 2026-27 budget by 20 percent, prompting middle powers to urgently reform global health governance through variable coalitions addressing pandemic preparedness, antimicrobial resistance, and digital health.
May 11, 2026
Stimson Center
All-In on AI: How the United States and Taiwan Are Deepening Their Chip Partnership
The United States and Taiwan formalized the Pax Silica Declaration in January 2026, deepening their semiconductor partnership to secure the AI supply chain, with Taiwan's advanced chip manufacturing capabilities proving essential to both nations' technological and economic security.
May 8, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
The U.S. Economy Was Shaky Before the Iran War. Now It’s in Real Trouble.
The U.S. economy faces mounting pressure from spiking inflation, Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure disrupting global oil supplies, tech layoffs, and trade policy uncertainty, threatening growth ahead of November midterm elections when affordability remains voters' top concern.
May 5, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Rare Earth Export Restrictions One Year Later
China's April 2025 rare earth export restrictions disrupted global defense and industrial supply chains, prompting the Trump administration to deploy unprecedented domestic industrial policy including billions in financing and international partnerships, yet true resilience remains contingent on sustained execution and diversified production outside Beijing's control.
Apr 28, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Japan’s Pacific Moment: Recalibrating Japan’s Pacific Islands Engagement
Japan is expanding its Pacific Islands engagement through increased development aid and security cooperation to counter Chinese influence, maintain regional stability, and strengthen its Indo-Pacific position amid U.S. commitment uncertainties.
Apr 16, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Minerals Diplomacy Meets Market Reality: The Case of Pakistan
The United States is pivoting toward Pakistan's critical minerals, particularly Balochistan's copper and lithium, to diversify supply chains; however, security risks, Chinese influence, and governance challenges significantly limit viable Western investment potential.
Apr 16, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Safeguarding Critical Infrastructure: Key Challenges in Global Cybersecurity
AI-powered cyberattacks on critical infrastructure have become increasingly sophisticated, breaching traditional defenses in mere seconds, prompting international experts at the Global Technology Summit 2025 to identify four key challenges: inconsistent CI definitions across nations, gaps in international cooperation, inadequate public-private information sharing, and supply chain vulnerabilities.
Apr 14, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Trump’s 2026 State of the Union: Foreign Policy Issue Guide
Trump's second-term State of the Union address prioritizes "America First" foreign policy, reshaping trade relations, China competition, and national security through tariffs and strategic reorientation of global alliances.
Apr 12, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
China’s Rare Earth Campaign Against Japan
China imposed export restrictions on Japan, including rare earth elements, in response to Japan's comments on Taiwan, escalating tensions between the two nations.
Apr 6, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Australia →
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Australia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Anthony Albanese
personlast · May 13
2,879
Jim Chalmers
personlast · May 13
1,026
Angus Taylor
personlast · May 13
921
Pauline Hanson
personlast · May 13
792
Investors
personlast · May 13
666
Chris Bowen
personlast · May 13
626
Richard Marles
personlast · May 13
512
Penny Wong
personlast · May 13
468
Ben Roberts-Smith
personlast · May 12
467
Mark Butler
personlast · May 13
411
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Australia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.