GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesBrunei (BN)

Brunei.

Brunei Darussalam · Bandar Seri Begawan · 491.9K people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentabsolute monarchy or sultanateLanguagesMalay (Bahasa Melayu) (official), English, Chinese dialectsArea5.8K km²Sanctioned entities1Active conflicts1Mentions 7d6 ▼ 33%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
100.0
Stable risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Brunei becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Brunei · 90-day event volume
47
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
ASEAN UNITY2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 6 milestones · hover for context
MAY 8
2026
EU-ASEAN Meeting
diplomatic_visit · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
ASEAN Summit 2026
summit_meeting · severity 1
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Brunei-Vietnam meeting
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
ASEAN Summit 2026
summit_meeting · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
EU-ASEAN Meeting
diplomatic_visit · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
ASEAN Unity Under Pressure
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 361
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
84/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.05%inflation pct: -0.39%unemployment pct: 5.18%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 1is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
79/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 75.5literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
21Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
9Stable
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
0Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 22 of 22
01Taiwan
51.0
02Union of Burma
52.3
03People's Republic of China
55.8
04Democratic People's Republic of Korea
58.2
05Republic of Indonesia
63.6
06Japan
64.1
07Republic of the Philippines
65.4
08Republic of Korea
66.9
22Brunei Darussalam· this country
100.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$15.3B
$245.7M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$33.2K
$263 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
-0.4%
0.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.2%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
462.7K
3.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
3.58%
0.60% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
75.5 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
96.3%
2.7% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
47
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-08
SEV 3
EU-ASEAN Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-08
SEV 1
ASEAN Summit 2026
Summit Meeting
2026-05-07
SEV 2
Brunei-Vietnam meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-07
SEV 2
ASEAN Summit 2026
Summit Meeting
2026-05-07
SEV 5
EU-ASEAN Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-07
SEV 6
ASEAN Unity Under Pressure
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-05
SEV 2
Asean-EU Ministerial Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-04
SEV 4
Kallas Meets Asean
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Brunei
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26845 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Beijing Emerges as Global Diplomatic Hub With US, Tajik and Brunei Leaders’ Visits

Beijing hosted high-level diplomatic visits from US President Trump and Tajik leader Rahmon this week, with Trump-Xi talks addressing trade and strategic competition, while China-Tajikistan signed over eight billion dollars in new economic contracts, reinforcing Beijing's global diplomatic centrality.

Caspian PostChina · United States · Tajikistan
Geopolitical Economics
The UAE bids adieu to OAPEC after exiting OPEC and OPEC+
American Journal of Transportation
Geopolitical Economics
Why the UAE broke up with OPEC - a story of ambition and mistrust
vocal.media
International Relations
Beijing becomes centre of global diplomacy as China hosts US, Tajik and Brunei leaders
Latest news from Azerbaijan
International Relations
ASEAN’s AI moment: Why we must work together or risk falling behind - BusinessWorld - BusinessWorld Online
BusinessWorld - BusinessWorld Online
'Ngoại giao dầu mỏ' của Úc
Tuoi Tre
Building ASEAN's resilience to fuel further economic growth - The World Economic Forum
The World Economic Forum
Indonesia Proposes ASEAN Oil Hub to Strengthen Energy Security
New Fortune Times
AFP: No Chinese aggressive actions during Balikatan 2026 exercises
GMA News Online / News
AFP: 35 Chinese vessels spotted in West Philippine Sea in past week
GMA News Online / News
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Brunei
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Southeast Asia’s Agency Amid the New Oil Crisis
Southeast Asia faces an energy security crisis amid the new oil crisis due to dependence on Middle Eastern oil.
Apr 8, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Brunei-tagged articles · last 30 days
Hassanal Bolkiah
personlast · May 9
23
Erywan Yusof
personlast · May 9
14
Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah
personlast · May 10
9
Sultan of Brunei
personlast · May 4
7
Haji Hassanal Bolkiah
personlast · May 8
6
Crown Prince of Brunei
personlast · Apr 30
5
Haji Al-Muhtadee Billah
personlast · May 9
4
Dato Erywan Pehin Yusof
personlast · May 4
4
Prince Haji Al-Muhtadee Billah ibni His Majesty Sultan Haji Hassanal Bolkiah Mu’izzaddin Waddaulah
personlast · Apr 30
4
Crown Prince Al-Muhtadee Billah
personlast · May 10
3
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
US-China conflict100
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Brunei will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.