GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesBrazil (BR)

Brazil.

Federative Republic of Brazil · Braslia · 221.4M people · south-america

Governmentfederal presidential republicLanguagesPortuguese (official and most widely spoken language); less common languages include Spanish (border areas and schools), German, ItalianArea8.5M km²Sanctioned entities43Active conflicts7Mentions 7d63 ▲ 7%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
71.6
Elevated risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Brazil becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Brazil · 90-day event volume
655
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 13
2026
Brazil Warns of AI Risk
disinformation_campaign · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Brazil Summit
summit_meeting · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Brazil Rare Earth Deal
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Dengue Epidemic
disease_outbreak · severity 8
Critical
MAY 13
2026
Climate Change Impact
heatwave · severity 7
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Dengue Control Efforts
health_emergency · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Brazil Financial System
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 12
2026
Brazil-Argentina Cooperation
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 4actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 3,477
Arms Activity
33/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 20total value usd: $10.50Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.42%inflation pct: 4.37%unemployment pct: 6.80%
Market Stress
79/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 693negative signals 30d: 143
Sanctions Exposure
91/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 43is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
87/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76literacy rate: 94.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
13Stable
Security
48Moderate
Economic
21Stable
Regulatory
9Stable
Operational
30Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South America
Rank 6 of 14
01Republic of Colombia
42.0
02Argentine Republic
47.0
03Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela
48.7
04Plurinational State of Bolivia
69.0
05Republic of Ecuador
70.1
06Federative Republic of Brazil· this country
71.6
07Republic of Peru
76.3
08Republic of Chile
77.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$2.2T
$5.3B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$10.3K
$67 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.4%
0.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
6.8%
1.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
212.0M
857.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.97%
0.03% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.0 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
84.5%
0.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 7 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
655
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
580
High-severity events
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Brazil Warns of AI Risk
Disinformation Campaign
2026-05-13
SEV 2
Brazil Summit
Summit Meeting
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Brazil Rare Earth Deal
Economic Indicator
2026-05-13
SEV 4
Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
Economic Indicator
2026-05-13
SEV 8
Dengue Epidemic
Disease Outbreak
2026-05-13
SEV 7
Climate Change Impact
Heatwave
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Dengue Control Efforts
Health Emergency
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Brazil Financial System
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Brazil
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60768 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26845 dispatches
Critical · 100
Internal conflict in Argentina
· 21527 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-Venezuela conflict
Proxy · 21169 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

BRICS needs to defend rights of nations against sanctions and coercion: Iran - IRNA English

Iran urges BRICS to defend nations' rights against sanctions and coercion.

IRNA EnglishIran · Brazil · Russia
International Relations
Summit Brazil-USA brings leaders together to debate geopolitics, trade and AI - Valor International
Valor International
Geopolitical Economics
The Ex-China Files: ETFs to Watch Amid Trump’s High-Stakes Visit
ETF Trends
International Relations
India-Russia discuss energy, trade and global tensions as BRICS ministers gather in Delhi
The Economic Times
Geopolitical Economics
IEA Warns Hormuz Crisis Could Trigger First Global Oil Demand Contraction Since Pandemic
gCaptain
Diplomatic Dialogues: New Delhi Hosts BRICS Foreign Ministers' Conclave
Devdiscourse
Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa: how they stack up on reusing waste
The Conversation
India-Russia discuss energy, trade and global tensions as BRICS ministers gather in Delhi
The Economic Times
NEW REPORT: The next phase in Venezuela's oil revival
BNamericas
Loma Negra apagará un horno clave en Olavarría por la crisis de la construcción
La Gaceta On Line
Think tanks · this country20 articles from research institutions tracking Brazil
Atlantic Council
Chinese electric vehicle exports rise amid the oil crisis, posing a dilemma for importing countries
China's surging electric vehicle exports, driven by oil crisis concerns, present democracies a difficult choice between addressing energy shortages and managing cybersecurity risks from internet-connected Chinese vehicles that could exploit vulnerabilities or enable remote disablement of fleets.
May 4, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Amid wartime disruptions, most emerging-market central banks will follow the Fed
The IMF downgraded emerging-market growth forecasts to 3.9 percent from 4.2 percent for 2026 due to Iran war disruptions, while raising inflation expectations to 5.5 percent, prompting most emerging-market central banks to pause rate cuts and align closely with Federal Reserve policy decisions.
Apr 23, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
China’s High-Tech Drive in 10 Charts
China's R&D spending surpassed the United States at $1.03 trillion in 2024, significantly enhancing its global innovation ranking to tenth worldwide, though institutional weaknesses limit its competitive advantage.
Apr 12, 2026
Atlantic Council
Why the US cannot afford to lose dollar dominance
The Atlantic Council warns that US dollar dominance, reinforced with superpower status for eight decades, risks decline as America's economic share shrinks, potentially triggering reduced global influence and higher defense financing costs.
Apr 12, 2026
Chatham House
From the Editor
Trump's January 2025 return and subsequent Iran strikes have profoundly reshaped global geopolitics, triggering fundamental reassessments of defense spending, trade priorities, and international alliances across Britain, Canada, and Latin America.
Apr 11, 2026
Brookings
Future Development Reads: The IMF and World Bank annual meetings
At recent IMF and World Bank meetings in Washington, D.C., global economic growth improved for the first time in a decade, though the IMF projects forty-three developing nations will diverge from wealthy countries' income trajectories over the next five years, prompting debate over international financial institutions' future capital needs and relevance.
Apr 8, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
A Year After ‘Liberation Day,’ Experts Review the Costs of Trump’s Tariffs
One year after Trump's April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariff declaration reaching historic 1909 levels, experts assess that only seventeen trade deals materialized despite unprecedented negotiating leverage, leaving American consumers and businesses facing sustained economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability.
Apr 7, 2026
Atlantic Council
How the Iran war could shift energy policies around the world
Iran conflict closure of Strait of Hormuz disrupts global oil and gas flows, creating acute energy shortages across Southeast Asia, Europe, and Africa while positioning Western Hemisphere producers to capitalize on renewed demand for secure diversified energy supplies.
Apr 4, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Geology is not destiny: Brazil must establish an infrastructure to exploit its critical minerals wealth
The United States prioritizes critical minerals from trading partners, signing eleven agreements in February across mineral-rich nations; Brazil, holding 95 percent of global niobium reserves and substantial rare earth deposits, lacks processing infrastructure to compete effectively against China's dominant refining capacity.
Apr 4, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Brazil
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Brazil-tagged articles · last 30 days
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
personlast · May 13
360
Lula
personlast · May 13
284
Jair Bolsonaro
personlast · May 13
255
Agostina Páez
personlast · May 11
209
Lula da Silva
personlast · May 13
206
Neymar
personlast · May 13
170
Casemiro
personlast · May 13
126
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
personlast · May 13
123
Matheus Cunha
personlast · May 13
97
Thiago Avila
personlast · May 13
92
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Brazil will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.