🇧🇷 Brazil. Federative Republic of Brazil · Braslia · 221.4M people · south-america
Government federal presidential republic Languages Portuguese (official and most widely spoken language); less common languages include Spanish (border areas and schools), German, Italian Area 8.5M km² Sanctioned entities 43 Active conflicts 7 Mentions 7d 63 ▲ 7% CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score ?How the stability score is computed A weighted composite of seven pillars — conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records. Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable ≥ 75.
71.6
Elevated risk
26-day trend
Intelligence brief No brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Brazil becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Brazil · 90-day event volume
655
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-13 2026-03-30 2026-05-13 Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiers Hover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timeline Last 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
Brazil Warns of AI Risk
disinformation_campaign · severity 6
Elevated
Brazil Summit
summit_meeting · severity 2
Moderate
Brazil Rare Earth Deal
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
Dengue Epidemic
disease_outbreak · severity 8
Critical
Climate Change Impact
heatwave · severity 7
Elevated
Dengue Control Efforts
health_emergency · severity 6
Elevated
Brazil Financial System
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
Brazil-Argentina Cooperation
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components 7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2 domestic conflicts: 0 max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 4 actor only events: 1 domestic events: 0 severe domestic: 0 instability rate: 0.10% article coverage 90d: 3,477
Arms Activity
33/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 20 total value usd: $10.50B conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.42% inflation pct: 4.37% unemployment pct: 6.80%
Market Stress
79/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 693 negative signals 30d: 143
Sanctions Exposure
91/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 43 is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
87/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76 literacy rate: 94.70%
Risk matrix 5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparison Same-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South America
Rank 6 of 14
01 Republic of Colombia 42.0 03 Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela 48.7 04 Plurinational State of Bolivia 69.0 05 Republic of Ecuador 70.1 06 Federative Republic of Brazil· this country 71.6 Economy World Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024 $2.2T
▼ $5.3B YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024 0.97%
▼ 0.03% YoY
Security 12 recent events · 7 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
655
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
580
High-severity events
SEV 6 Brazil Warns of AI Risk
Disinformation Campaign
SEV 2 Brazil Summit
Summit Meeting
SEV 6 Brazil Rare Earth Deal
Economic Indicator
SEV 4 Brazil Probes $2.8B Deal
Economic Indicator
SEV 8 Dengue Epidemic
Disease Outbreak
SEV 7 Climate Change Impact
Heatwave
SEV 6 Dengue Control Efforts
Health Emergency
SEV 6 Brazil Financial System
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Brazil
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60768 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26845 dispatches
Critical · 100
Internal conflict in Argentina
· 21527 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-Venezuela conflict
Proxy · 21169 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches 10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
BRICS needs to defend rights of nations against sanctions and coercion: Iran - IRNA English Iran urges BRICS to defend nations' rights against sanctions and coercion.
IRNA English Iran · Brazil · Russia
International Relations
Summit Brazil-USA brings leaders together to debate geopolitics, trade and AI - Valor International
Valor International
Geopolitical Economics
The Ex-China Files: ETFs to Watch Amid Trump’s High-Stakes Visit
ETF Trends
International Relations
India-Russia discuss energy, trade and global tensions as BRICS ministers gather in Delhi
The Economic Times
Geopolitical Economics
IEA Warns Hormuz Crisis Could Trigger First Global Oil Demand Contraction Since Pandemic
gCaptain
Diplomatic Dialogues: New Delhi Hosts BRICS Foreign Ministers' Conclave
Devdiscourse
Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa: how they stack up on reusing waste
The Conversation
India-Russia discuss energy, trade and global tensions as BRICS ministers gather in Delhi
The Economic Times
NEW REPORT: The next phase in Venezuela's oil revival
BNamericas
Loma Negra apagará un horno clave en Olavarría por la crisis de la construcción
La Gaceta On Line
Think tanks · this country 20 articles from research institutions tracking Brazil
Atlantic Council
Chinese electric vehicle exports rise amid the oil crisis, posing a dilemma for importing countries
China's surging electric vehicle exports, driven by oil crisis concerns, present democracies a difficult choice between addressing energy shortages and managing cybersecurity risks from internet-connected Chinese vehicles that could exploit vulnerabilities or enable remote disablement of fleets.
May 4, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Amid wartime disruptions, most emerging-market central banks will follow the Fed
The IMF downgraded emerging-market growth forecasts to 3.9 percent from 4.2 percent for 2026 due to Iran war disruptions, while raising inflation expectations to 5.5 percent, prompting most emerging-market central banks to pause rate cuts and align closely with Federal Reserve policy decisions.
Apr 23, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
China’s High-Tech Drive in 10 Charts
China's R&D spending surpassed the United States at $1.03 trillion in 2024, significantly enhancing its global innovation ranking to tenth worldwide, though institutional weaknesses limit its competitive advantage.
Apr 12, 2026
Atlantic Council
Why the US cannot afford to lose dollar dominance
The Atlantic Council warns that US dollar dominance, reinforced with superpower status for eight decades, risks decline as America's economic share shrinks, potentially triggering reduced global influence and higher defense financing costs.
Apr 12, 2026
Chatham House
From the Editor
Trump's January 2025 return and subsequent Iran strikes have profoundly reshaped global geopolitics, triggering fundamental reassessments of defense spending, trade priorities, and international alliances across Britain, Canada, and Latin America.
Apr 11, 2026
Brookings
Future Development Reads: The IMF and World Bank annual meetings
At recent IMF and World Bank meetings in Washington, D.C., global economic growth improved for the first time in a decade, though the IMF projects forty-three developing nations will diverge from wealthy countries' income trajectories over the next five years, prompting debate over international financial institutions' future capital needs and relevance.
Apr 8, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
A Year After ‘Liberation Day,’ Experts Review the Costs of Trump’s Tariffs
One year after Trump's April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariff declaration reaching historic 1909 levels, experts assess that only seventeen trade deals materialized despite unprecedented negotiating leverage, leaving American consumers and businesses facing sustained economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability.
Apr 7, 2026
Atlantic Council
How the Iran war could shift energy policies around the world
Iran conflict closure of Strait of Hormuz disrupts global oil and gas flows, creating acute energy shortages across Southeast Asia, Europe, and Africa while positioning Western Hemisphere producers to capitalize on renewed demand for secure diversified energy supplies.
Apr 4, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Geology is not destiny: Brazil must establish an infrastructure to exploit its critical minerals wealth
The United States prioritizes critical minerals from trading partners, signing eleven agreements in February across mineral-rich nations; Brazil, holding 95 percent of global niobium reserves and substantial rare earth deposits, lacks processing infrastructure to compete effectively against China's dominant refining capacity.
Apr 4, 2026
Top entities Most-mentioned actors in Brazil-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · related Upcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+ Methodology · how this profile is builtThis profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Brazil will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.