GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
Countries›Ethiopia (ET)

Ethiopia.

Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia · Addis Ababa · 121.4M people · africa

Governmentfederal parliamentary republicLanguagesOromo (official regional working language) 33.8%, Amharic (official national language) 29.3%, Somali (official regional working language) 6.2%Area1.1M km²Sanctioned entities10Active conflicts8Mentions 7d20 ▼ 26%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
71.1
Elevated risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Ethiopia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Ethiopia · 90-day event volume
208
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
ETHIOPIA-EGYPT2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 12
2026
Bilateral Structured Dialogue
summit_meeting · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
Ethiopia-US Relations
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
Ethiopia-US Diplomatic Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
Regional Instability
diplomatic_tension · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Ethiopia-US Dialogue
diplomatic_visit · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Ethiopia-Sudan Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Founding of OAU
diplomatic_visit · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
New Dams on Blue Nile
energy_project · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Ethiopia-Egypt Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 10
2026
Cross-Border Conflict Prevention
peace_agreement · severity 3
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 10domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.20%article coverage 90d: 631
Arms Activity
53/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 14total value usd: $200.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
78/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 7.61%inflation pct: 21.04%unemployment pct: 3.36%
Market Stress
58/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 84negative signals 30d: 35
Sanctions Exposure
98/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 10is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
56/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 67.6literacy rate: 60.50%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
44Moderate
Security
40Moderate
Economic
30Moderate
Regulatory
2Stable
Operational
30Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 16 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
38.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
42.6
03Republic of South Sudan
48.7
04Arab Republic of Egypt
48.8
05State of Libya
49.0
06Federal Republic of Somalia
58.8
07Democratic Republic of the Congo
59.6
08Western Sahara
60.7
16Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia· this country
71.1
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$149.7B
▲ $13.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.1K
▲ $78 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
21.0%
▼ 9.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.4%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
132.1M
▲ 3.4M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.65%
▼ 0.23% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
67.6 yrs
▲ 0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
21.9%
▲ 1.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 8 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
208
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
345
High-severity events
2026-05-12
SEV 3
Bilateral Structured Dialogue
Summit Meeting
2026-05-12
SEV 4
Ethiopia-US Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-12
SEV 2
Ethiopia-US Diplomatic Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-12
SEV 5
Regional Instability
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-11
SEV 5
Ethiopia-US Dialogue
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 4
Ethiopia-Sudan Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-11
SEV 5
Founding of OAU
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 5
New Dams on Blue Nile
Energy Project
Active conflicts involving Ethiopia
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60546 dispatches
Critical · 100
Middle East conflict
War · 42314 dispatches
Critical · 100
Somalia conflict
Civil War · 24216 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 8095 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Hosting BRICS Foreign Ministers Amid Crises, India Steps Up As A Bridge In A Divided World

India hosts BRICS Foreign Ministers' meeting May 14-15 amid Europe and West Asia conflicts, enabling eleven emerging economies representing 40 percent of global population to coordinate diplomatic responses on sanctions, supply chains, and multipolar governance reform.

ETV BharatIndia · Brazil · Russia
Geopolitical Economics
Energy: Why Salaam’s Fuelstor hub marks a new era for eastern Africa
Citizen Digital
International Relations
Ethiopia–U.S. Structured Dialogue Emerges from Washington Diplomatic Visit
horn review
International Relations
News Analysis: GERD, Sudan, Red Sea security among latest U.S.-Ethiopia diplomatic engagement
Addis Standard
Geopolitical Economics
African Mining Week (AMW) 2026 to Spotlight Domestic Funding Avenues as Sovereign Wealth Funds Hit $164B
Social News XYZ
Indonesia, Ethiopia Deepen Strategic Ties Through Trade and Investment
Tempo.co English
Indonesia, Ethiopia Deepen Strategic Ties Through Trade and Investment
Tempo.co English
Ethiopia’s $51.8bn debt burden tests IMF reform push as US support returns
The Africa Report
Top e-visa travel list for Indian travellers as passport update shifts rankings in May
Gulf News
China’s Foreign Minister to skip BRICS Delhi meet for ‘scheduling reasons’
The Hindu
Think tanks · this country6 articles from research institutions tracking Ethiopia
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Food Insecurity and Terrorism: What Famine Means for Somalia
Somalia faces a severe food crisis threatening 26 million people by February 2023, driven by persistent drought, internal conflict, and Ukraine's war disrupting wheat imports, requiring urgent humanitarian intervention and long-term governance reforms.
Apr 4, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
BRICS Expansion, the G20, and the Future of World Order
BRICS expansion welcomes five new members, making the emerging powers coalition more globally representative but internally divided, potentially reshaping global order dynamics amid East-West geopolitical rivalry.
Apr 3, 2026
Chatham House
South Africa’s G20 presidency is a chance for the West to engage with Global South priorities
South Africa assumes its first G20 presidency with agenda prioritizing Global South equity and African development, though geopolitical tensions and declining economic influence limit its capacity to deliver tangible financial commitments on climate and debt relief.
Apr 3, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Civil War in Sudan | Global Conflict Tracker
Sudan's two warring factions have killed an estimated four hundred thousand people since April 2023, displacing over eleven million in the world's worst humanitarian crisis, while failed mediation efforts leave thirty million requiring urgent assistance.
Apr 3, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Trump's threatened tariffs projected to harm economies of US and the BRICS
President Trump's threatened 100 percent tariffs on BRICS nations seeking currency alternatives would harm economic growth and increase inflation in the US and targeted countries, according to economic modeling analysis.
Apr 3, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
The Difficult Realities of the BRICS’ Dedollarization Efforts-and the Renminbi’s Role
BRICS policymakers are accelerating efforts to increase global use of non-dollar currencies, particularly China's renminbi, as expanded membership and frustrations with dollar dominance motivate emerging market strategic partners to pursue dedollarization despite significant structural obstacles.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Ethiopia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
personlast · May 13
297
Abiy Ahmed
personlast · May 13
89
Yomif Kejelcha
personlast · May 11
81
Tigst Assefa
personlast · May 10
52
Abebe Selassie
personlast · May 13
28
Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
personlast · May 13
22
Tedros Ghebreyesus
personlast · May 10
13
Meles Zenawi
personlast · Apr 16
11
Ruth Negga
personlast · May 13
10
Hadush Kebatu
personlast · May 11
10
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Ethiopia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.