GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesEthiopia (ET)

Ethiopia.

Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia · Addis Ababa · 121.4M people · africa

Governmentfederal parliamentary republicLanguagesOromo (official regional working language) 33.8%, Amharic (official national language) 29.3%, Somali (official regional working language) 6.2%Area1.1M km²Sanctioned entities10Active conflicts10Mentions 7d4 ▼ 67%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
58.8
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Ethiopia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Ethiopia · 90-day event volume
171
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
ETHIOPIA DEBT2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 4 milestones · hover for context
AUG 29
2026
Thai FM visits Ethiopia
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
AUG 26
2026
Ethiopia Inflation
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
AUG 25
2026
Ethiopia Debt Crisis
economic_indicator · severity 8
Critical
AUG 24
2026
Russia-Ethiopia AI Cooperation
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
0/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 5domestic conflicts: 1max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
97/100 · 15% wt
target events: 8actor only events: 3domestic events: 3severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.60%article coverage 90d: 894
Arms Activity
17/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 25total value usd: $200.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
78/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 7.61%inflation pct: 21.04%unemployment pct: 3.36%
Market Stress
73/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 15negative signals 30d: 4
Sanctions Exposure
98/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 10is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
56/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 67.6literacy rate: 60.50%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
44Moderate
Security
68Elevated
Economic
24Stable
Regulatory
2Stable
Operational
42Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 8 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
37.1
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Republic of South Sudan
44.8
04Federal Republic of Somalia
45.3
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.4
06State of Libya
53.7
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia· this country
59.9
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$149.7B
$13.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.1K
$78 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
21.0%
9.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.4%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
132.1M
3.4M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.65%
0.23% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
67.6 yrs
0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
21.9%
1.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 10 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
171
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
16
High-severity events
2026-08-29
SEV 2
Thai FM visits Ethiopia
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-26
SEV 6
Ethiopia Inflation
Economic Indicator
2026-08-25
SEV 8
Ethiopia Debt Crisis
Economic Indicator
2026-08-24
SEV 2
Russia-Ethiopia AI Cooperation
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-22
SEV 8
Tigray Conflict Escalation
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-22
SEV 6
Tigray-Ethiopia Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-21
SEV 5
Ethiopia Somaliland
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-19
SEV 8
Drought in Tselemt
Drought16 killed
Active conflicts involving Ethiopia
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 67407 dispatches
Critical · 100
Middle East conflict
Civil War · 56253 dispatches
Critical · 100
Somalia conflict
Civil War · 24581 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22904 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Addisu Gobena, Peres Jepchirchir smash course record in historic Sydney Marathon wins

Addisu Gobena and Peres Jepchirchir won the Sydney Marathon, smashing course records.

Gulf NewsEthiopia · Kenya · Lesotho
Geopolitical Politics
Saudi Arabia deports more than 14,900 after nationwide residency crackdown
Gulf News
Geopolitical Economics
Ethiopia turns overlooked beeswax into a growing source of income
CGTN
Geopolitical Conflict
What Is Driving the SAF’s War of Narratives Against Ethiopia? - horn review
horn review
Geopolitical Conflict
1,450 illegals arrested while crossing border to Saudi Arabia in a week
Saudi Gazette
Ethiopia Central Bank Flags 17 Unlicensed Remittance Operators. - Dawan Africa
Dawan Africa
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs of Thailand Meets with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ethiopia - กระทรวงการต่างประเทศ
Thailand Foreign Ministry
Ethiopia-U.S. Strategic Defense Partnership - horn review
horn review
Ahead of Brics Summit next month, India works to bridge divide over West Asia conflict
Hindustan Times
Ethiopian Foreign Minister congratulates Ararat Mirzoyan - Armenpress
Armenpress
Think tanks · this country7 articles from research institutions tracking Ethiopia
Council on Foreign Relations
China and Climate: China Restricts Fuel Exports, Solar Exports Surge
China restricted fuel exports to secure domestic energy supplies during regional instability, while simultaneously exporting record sixty-eight gigawatts of solar capacity in March, positioning itself as a clean energy leader as global markets shift away from Middle Eastern dependence.
May 19, 2026
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Food Insecurity and Terrorism: What Famine Means for Somalia
Somalia faces a severe food crisis threatening 26 million people by February 2023, driven by persistent drought, internal conflict, and Ukraine's war disrupting wheat imports, requiring urgent humanitarian intervention and long-term governance reforms.
Apr 4, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
BRICS Expansion, the G20, and the Future of World Order
BRICS expansion welcomes five new members, making the emerging powers coalition more globally representative but internally divided, potentially reshaping global order dynamics amid East-West geopolitical rivalry.
Apr 3, 2026
Chatham House
South Africa’s G20 presidency is a chance for the West to engage with Global South priorities
South Africa assumes its first G20 presidency with agenda prioritizing Global South equity and African development, though geopolitical tensions and declining economic influence limit its capacity to deliver tangible financial commitments on climate and debt relief.
Apr 3, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Civil War in Sudan | Global Conflict Tracker
Sudan's two warring factions have killed an estimated four hundred thousand people since April 2023, displacing over eleven million in the world's worst humanitarian crisis, while failed mediation efforts leave thirty million requiring urgent assistance.
Apr 3, 2026
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Trump's threatened tariffs projected to harm economies of US and the BRICS
President Trump's threatened 100 percent tariffs on BRICS nations seeking currency alternatives would harm economic growth and increase inflation in the US and targeted countries, according to economic modeling analysis.
Apr 3, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
The Difficult Realities of the BRICS’ Dedollarization Efforts-and the Renminbi’s Role
BRICS policymakers are accelerating efforts to increase global use of non-dollar currencies, particularly China's renminbi, as expanded membership and frustrations with dollar dominance motivate emerging market strategic partners to pursue dedollarization despite significant structural obstacles.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Ethiopia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
personlast · Aug 26
729
Abiy Ahmed
personlast · Aug 30
174
Yomif Kejelcha
personlast · Aug 29
105
Tigst Assefa
personlast · Aug 29
59
Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
personlast · Aug 30
47
Tedros Ghebreyesus
personlast · Aug 29
27
Gedion Timothewos
personlast · Aug 30
23
Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
personlast · Aug 21
16
Tewolde Gebremariam
personlast · Aug 20
10
Haile Gebrselassie
personlast · Aug 23
9
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Ethiopia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.