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Charity reflects on changing needs over 25 years
Help a Guernsey Child has provided over £1.2m in support over 25 years.
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Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Guernsey.
Bailiwick of Guernsey · Saint Peter Port · 67.9K people · europe
Governmentparliamentary democracy (States of Deliberation)Area78 km²Sanctioned entities3Active conflicts0CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
92.8
Stable risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guernsey becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guernsey · 90-day event volume
0
total events · 90 daily data points
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 23
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
— · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: —inflation pct: —unemployment pct: —
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 3is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
— · 10% wt
life expectancy: —literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political——
Security0Stable
Economic50Elevated
Regulatory1Stable
Operational10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 42 of 55
0145.5
0252.8
0353.5
0455.3
0557.3
0661.9
0764.3
0864.5
4292.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 0 indicators
World Bank hasn’t published 10-year indicators for Guernsey in our corpus yet. Data will populate on the next daily refresh.
Security0 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
0
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Guernseyin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Guernsey will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.