GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesGuernsey (GG)

Guernsey.

Bailiwick of Guernsey · Saint Peter Port · 67.9K people · europe

Governmentparliamentary democracy (States of Deliberation)Area78 km²Sanctioned entities1Active conflicts0CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
92.8
Stable risk
12-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guernsey becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guernsey · 90-day event volume
0
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 1
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
· 20% wt
gdp growth pct: inflation pct: unemployment pct:
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 1is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
· 10% wt
life expectancy: literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
Security
0Stable
Economic
50Elevated
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 41 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
47.6
02Ukraine
50.2
03Federal Republic of Germany
55.1
04Hellenic Republic
58.0
05Kingdom of Spain
59.8
06French Republic
61.6
07Republic of Cyprus
62.8
08Romania
67.3
41Bailiwick of Guernsey· this country
92.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 0 indicators
World Bank hasn’t published 10-year indicators for Guernsey in our corpus yet. Data will populate on the next daily refresh.
Security0 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
0
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Guernseyin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Latest dispatches1 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Food bank stocks 'low as client numbers increase'

A Guernsey food bank's stock is extremely low as client numbers increase, prompting a rare appeal for donations.

BBCGuernsey
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Guernsey-tagged articles · last 30 days
Stef Loveridge
personlast · May 11
3
Zoe Gosling
personlast · May 11
3
David McGreevy
personlast · May 11
3
Sarah McGreevy
personlast · May 11
3
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Guernsey will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.