International Relations
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Lenta.ruRussia · Moldova
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Moldova.
Republic of Moldova · Chisinau in Romanian (Kishinev in Russian) · 3.6M people · europe
Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesMoldovan/Romanian 80.2% (official) (56.7% Moldovan; 23.5% Romanian), Russian 9.7%, Gagauz 4.2% (a Turkish language)Area33.9K km²Sanctioned entities112Active conflicts3Mentions 7d6 ▲ 100%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
73.5
Elevated risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Moldova becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Moldova · 90-day event volume
103
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 6 milestones · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Ukrainian guards cross Moldova border
border_incursion · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
EU Initiative for Moldova
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Moldova-Germany Cooperation
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Trade Deficit Increase
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Moldova-Russia tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 8
Critical
OCT 17
2026
Drones crash in Moldova
drone_strike · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 12actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.60%article coverage 90d: 2,164
Arms Activity
87/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 4total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 0.27%inflation pct: 4.68%unemployment pct: 1.43%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
78/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 112is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
70/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.3literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political30Moderate
Security33Moderate
Economic33Moderate
Regulatory22Stable
Operational36Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 22 of 55
0145.5
0252.8
0354.5
0455.9
0557.3
0661.9
0762.5
0864.3
2273.5
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$18.2B
▲ $1.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$7.6K
▲ $779 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.7%
▼ 8.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20241.4%
▼ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 20242.4M
▼ 55.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.60%
▲ 0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202471.3 yrs
▲ 0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202477.4%
▲ 0.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 5 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
103
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
4
High-severity events
2026-10-17
Ukrainian guards cross Moldova border
Border Incursion
2026-10-17
EU Initiative for Moldova
Economic Indicator
2026-10-17
Moldova-Germany Cooperation
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-17
Trade Deficit Increase
Economic Indicator
2026-10-17
Moldova-Russia tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
Drones crash in Moldova
Drone Strike1 wounded
2026-10-11
EU Expansion Challenges
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-10
Russian Drones Enter Moldova
Drone Strike
Active conflicts involving Moldova
World War II
War · 11147 dispatches
Critical · 100
Transnistrian conflict
Civil War · 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Transnistria conflict
Civil War · 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
INTERVIU Matei Dima, scenarist și actor în „Teambuilding 2”: „Poți să critici dur un film, fără să îi desconsideri pe oamenii care s-au bucurat de el”
HotNews.ro
Geopolitical Conflict
Ukrainian guards busted on wrong side of Moldovan border (VIDEO)
RT - Daily news
Other
Economic expert: Digital taxi platforms are helping to boost tax revenue for the Republic of Moldova’s budget - logos-pres.md
logos-pres.md
Geopolitical Economics
EU Initiative Offers Moldova’s Local Authorities Up to $20,000 - logos-pres.md
logos-pres.md
В Молдове задержали двух украинских пограничников: в ГПСУ рассказали подробности инцидента на Днестре
Новости на zn.ua ru
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Ziarul Unirea
Back-to-back pins take young wrestler Amruta Pujari to U-23 world silver
edexlive
În Moldova s-a studiat practica UE privind soluționarea litigiilor electorale
LOGOPRESS
Televiziunea din Gagauzia a ajuns sub suspiciune
LOGOPRESS
Think tanks · this country10 articles from research institutions tracking Moldova
Atlantic Council
Russia has rejected another Black Sea ceasefire. What next?
Oct 9, 2026
Atlantic Council
The deterrence gap: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?
Oct 7, 2026
Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Treasury Launches Assault on Russian Shadow Banking Infrastructure Supporting Iran
Oct 6, 2026
Bruegel
Vasile Tofan
Sep 15, 2026
Hudson Institute
NATO Is Preparing for the Wrong War. Putin Is Eyeing Moldova
Sep 11, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bonus episode: The EU enlargement game
Sep 4, 2026
Bruegel
EU candidate countries acquis alignment dataset (2020-2025)
Jul 1, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Moldova: The EU frontrunner outrunning Russia
May 15, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
EU Enlargement: Challenges and Opportunities
May 4, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Moldova-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Moldova will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.