International Relations
The European path of the Republic of Moldova cannot bypass NATO - cotidianul.md
Moldova's European path cannot bypass NATO membership, according to recent reports.
cotidianul.mdMoldova
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Moldova.
Republic of Moldova · Chisinau in Romanian (Kishinev in Russian) · 3.6M people · europe
Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesMoldovan/Romanian 80.2% (official) (56.7% Moldovan; 23.5% Romanian), Russian 9.7%, Gagauz 4.2% (a Turkish language)Area33.9K km²Sanctioned entities112Active conflicts3Mentions 7d2 ▼ 85%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
71.3
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Moldova becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Moldova · 90-day event volume
83
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 2 milestones · hover for context
AUG 26
2026
Moldova Warns Citizens
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
AUG 25
2026
NATO Visit to Moldova
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
95/100 · 15% wt
target events: 9actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 2.40%article coverage 90d: 382
Arms Activity
87/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 4total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 0.27%inflation pct: 4.68%unemployment pct: 1.43%
Market Stress
58/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 12negative signals 30d: 5
Sanctions Exposure
78/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 112is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
70/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.3literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political30Moderate
Security39Moderate
Economic29Moderate
Regulatory22Stable
Operational39Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 25 of 55
0144.0
0244.8
0349.6
0454.6
0556.6
0662.4
0763.1
0863.2
2573.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$18.2B
▲ $1.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$7.6K
▲ $779 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.7%
▼ 8.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20241.4%
▼ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 20242.4M
▼ 55.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.60%
▲ 0.03% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202471.3 yrs
▲ 0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202477.4%
▲ 0.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 5 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
83
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-26
Moldova Warns Citizens
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-25
NATO Visit to Moldova
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-23
Moldova-Turkey Talks
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-23
Moldova-Turkey Trade
Economic Indicator
2026-08-20
Moldova Appoints Multi-Post Ambassador
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-18
Moldova-Kazakhstan Trade
Economic Indicator
2026-08-18
Economic Commission Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-18
Moldova Trade Balance
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Moldova
World War II
War · 11040 dispatches
High · 72.4
Transnistria conflict
Civil War · 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Transnistrian conflict
Civil War · 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics
Ο «βασιλιάς των crypto» του Κρεμλίνου: Ο απατεώνας που πήγε να «βυθίσει» τη Μολδαβία, έδειξε στον Πούτιν πώς να παρακάμπτει κυρώσεις
Protothema
Geopolitical Economics
Moldova and Kazakhstan account for more than 60% of Ukraine’s cheese exports - logos-pres.md
logos-pres.md
Defense & Arms Transfers
Moldova is calling for stricter controls on the arms trade - logos-pres.md
logos-pres.md
Geopolitical Economics
Global GDP to pass $150T by 2030 as Asia rises - Radio Moldova
Radio Moldova
MFA: Moldova looks forward to strengthen ties with Azerbaijan - Report.az
Report.az
Sibiga: Ukraine, Romania, and Moldova Will Deepen Cooperation Within the Framework of the "Odessa Triangle" - logos-pres.md
logos-pres.md
IMF: Global economy to top $150T by 2030 - Moldova 1
Moldova 1
Foreign Affairs Ministry condemns violation of Moldova’s airspace by five drones - Moldpres
Moldpres
Russia bombards nine Ukrainian cities, calling the strikes ’massive’
The Hindu
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Moldova-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Moldova will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.