GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
CountriesOman (OM)

Oman.

Sultanate of Oman · Muscat · 4.0M people · middle-east

Governmentabsolute monarchyLanguagesArabic (official), English, BaluchiArea309.5K km²Sanctioned entities40Active conflicts3Mentions 7d23 ▼ 12%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
81.6
Moderate risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Oman becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Oman · 90-day event volume
319
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
AL-SISI VISITS2026-02-152026-04-012026-05-15
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 18
2026
SCENARIO
Oman Sustainability Week
energy_project · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 18
2026
SCENARIO
Oman Energy Transition
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 14
2026
Cargo Ship Attacked
cyberattack · severity 7
Elevated
MAY 14
2026
Oman Economic Growth
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 14
2026
Dhow Attacked
cyberattack · severity 7
Elevated
MAY 14
2026
Indian Ship Attacked
naval_engagement · severity 8
Critical
MAY 14
2026
Indian ship attacked
drone_strike · severity 8
Critical
MAY 14
2026
Oman Emissions Baseline
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Oman Mediates Talks
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Al-Sisi visits Oman
diplomatic_visit · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 21actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.00%article coverage 90d: 2,164
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.63%inflation pct: 0.59%unemployment pct: 3.20%
Market Stress
60/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 55negative signals 30d: 22
Sanctions Exposure
92/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 40is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
93/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 80.2literacy rate: 97.30%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
7Stable
Security
31Moderate
Economic
27Moderate
Regulatory
8Stable
Operational
31Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Middle East
Rank 15 of 19
01Islamic Republic of Iran
34.8
02Republic of Yemen
35.5
03Lebanese Republic
35.8
04Republic of Turkey
37.7
05Syrian Arab Republic
43.8
06Republic of Iraq
44.7
07State of Kuwait
53.0
08State of Israel
55.7
15Sultanate of Oman· this country
78.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$107.1B
$962.5M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$20.3K
$743 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.6%
0.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.2%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
5.3M
232.3K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
5.59%
0.07% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
80.2 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
95.3%
0.0% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
319
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
63
High-severity events
2026-05-18
Scenario
SEV 2
Oman Sustainability Week
Energy Project
2026-05-18
Scenario
SEV 2
Oman Energy Transition
Economic Indicator
2026-05-14
SEV 7
Cargo Ship Attacked
Cyberattack
2026-05-14
SEV 5
Oman Economic Growth
Economic Indicator
2026-05-14
SEV 7
Dhow Attacked
Cyberattack
2026-05-14
SEV 8
Indian Ship Attacked
Naval Engagement
2026-05-14
SEV 8
Indian ship attacked
Drone Strike
2026-05-14
SEV 5
Oman Emissions Baseline
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Oman
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 61171 dispatches
Critical · 100
Omani conflict
Civil War · 125 dispatches
Elevated · 46.5
Oman drone attacks
Insurgency · 125 dispatches
Elevated · 46.5
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Global Markets

Sensex, Nifty open flat; 9 ​of 16 ⁠major sectors log losses

Indian shares rose modestly Friday as IT stocks rebounded and Tata Motors gained post-results, though nine of sixteen sectors declined amid Middle East tensions and rising crude oil prices pressuring broader market sentiment.

Indian ExpressIndia · UAE · Oman
Critical Tech & Minerals
Building trusted networks in the AI and 6G era
Economy Middle East
Geopolitical Conflict
Tensions flare near Strait of Hormuz as a ship is seized and another is sunk
NPR
Geopolitical Economics
India Plans ₹40,000 Crore Subsea Gas Pipeline from Oman to Gujarat
Adda247
Geopolitical Conflict
UAE condemns attack on Indian-flagged vessel off Oman
Gulf Business
Oman Unveils Altered Roadmap For Net-Zero Emissions By 2050
MEP Middle East
Day 77 of US-Israel War on Iran: China Offers to Negotiate an End to Conflict, Promises Not to Supply Iran With Military Equipment
TheWire.in
Murban and the new geography of oil power
Economy Middle East
Oil rises after Trump says he is losing patience with Iran
Reuters
‘Unacceptable’: India Slams Attack on Indian Cargo Vessel That Sank near Oman due to suspected drone or missile attack
TFIGlobal
Think tanks · this country14 articles from research institutions tracking Oman
Middle East Institute
What Does the UAE’s Departure Mean for OPEC+?
The UAE ended its nearly 60-year OPEC membership in May 2024, citing production quota constraints that left it underutilizing capacity compared to peers, requiring OPEC+ to recalibrate strategy through membership expansion or increased production from existing members.
May 8, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Can Space Be Disrupted Like the Strait of Hormuz?
Iran's disruption of the Strait of Hormuz through minimal force demonstrates how nations with ballistic missile technology could similarly threaten low-Earth orbit satellites, potentially destabilizing global space commerce valued at approaching one trillion dollars by 2034.
May 7, 2026
Hudson Institute
Is There a China Strategy Behind the Iran War?
Washington analysts argue U.S. Operation Epic Fury against Iran strategically undermines China's Middle East influence and deters Beijing from Taiwan ambitions, yet this misreads China's actual regional priorities, which prioritize Arab Gulf states over Iran.
May 6, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Clashes in the Strait of Hormuz Test Ceasefire
U.S. forces sank multiple Iranian boats after Iran attacked commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening a fragile ceasefire and challenging American efforts to restart global shipping through this critical waterway.
May 5, 2026
Hudson Institute
Is There a China Strategy Behind the Iran War?
Washington analysts argue Operation Epic Fury against Iran signals deterrence toward China, yet this misreads Beijing's actual priorities: the Arab Gulf states-not Iran-represent China's most crucial regional relationships, with vastly greater investments and energy diversification partnerships.
May 5, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Disappearing Gulf Capital: The Iran War Risk Wall Street Isn’t Watching
Gulf sovereign wealth funds managing $4-6 trillion reduced U.S. investments due to Iran war disruptions, potentially straining American tech companies and financial intermediaries that rely heavily on Middle Eastern capital flows for growth and operations.
May 1, 2026
Atlantic Council
Breaking with OPEC, the UAE is now a free agent. What this means for markets and regional unity
The UAE withdrew from OPEC on May 1, citing production quota constraints that hindered its expansion plans to 5 million barrels daily by 2027, potentially allowing faster oil market rebalancing and attracting foreign investment while signaling broader regional political fragmentation.
Apr 30, 2026
Chatham House
Conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is spilling into the Indian Ocean
Conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is spilling into the Indian Ocean
Apr 25, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Three Scenarios for the Gulf States After the Iran War
Four Middle East experts present three potential outcomes for Gulf states post-Iran conflict: optimistic collective defense cooperation, realistic incremental security measures, and cautionary fragmentation scenarios, as GCC members navigate Iranian threats and exclusion from major negotiations.
Apr 16, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Oman
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Oman-tagged articles · last 30 days
Badr Albusaidi
personlast · May 12
62
Badr Al-Busaidi
personlast · May 12
42
Omani Foreign Minister
personlast · May 5
27
Haitham bin Tariq al-Said
personlast · May 7
23
Sultan Haitham bin Tariq
personlast · May 13
21
Haitham bin Tariq
personlast · May 7
15
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
personlast · May 8
13
Sultan Haitham
personlast · May 8
11
Abdullah Baabood
personlast · May 1
11
Badr al Busaidi
personlast · May 12
10
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Oman will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.