🇵🇱 Poland. Republic of Poland · Warsaw · 38.7M people · europe
Government parliamentary republic Languages Polish (official) 98.2%, Silesian 1.4%, other 1.1% Area 312.7K km² Sanctioned entities 107 Active conflicts 4 Mentions 7d 13 ▼ 66% CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score ?How the stability score is computed A weighted composite of seven pillars — conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable ≥ 75.
69.1
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence brief No brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Poland becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Poland · 90-day event volume
511
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
HEATWAVE 2026-03-31 2026-05-15 2026-06-28 Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiers Hover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timeline Last 7 days · 11 milestones · hover for context
Heatwave in Poland
heatwave · severity 5
Moderate
Polish Heatwave
heatwave · severity 7
Elevated
Ukraine Recovery Conference
summit_meeting · severity 4
Moderate
Ukraine Reconstruction Conference
summit_meeting · severity 6
Elevated
Ukraine Recovery Conference
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Poland-Ukraine Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
EU Leaders Visit Poland
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
Poland strips Zelenskyy of honor
diplomatic_tension · severity 7
Elevated
Ukrainian Delegation to Poland
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
Poland-Ukraine Diplomatic Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components 7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1 domestic conflicts: 0 max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
85/100 · 15% wt
target events: 49 actor only events: 13 domestic events: 0 severe domestic: 3 instability rate: 1.60% article coverage 90d: 3,194
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 221 total value usd: $363.85B conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.03% inflation pct: 3.79% unemployment pct: 2.81%
Market Stress
71/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 34 negative signals 30d: 10
Sanctions Exposure
79/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 107 is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
85/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 78.4 literacy rate: —
Risk matrix 5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparison Same-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 12 of 55
02 United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales 45.7 04 Federal Republic of Germany 52.2 12 Republic of Poland· this country 66.6 Economy World Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024 $917.8B
▲ $105.3B YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024 4.15%
▲ 0.88% YoY
Security 12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
511
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
2
High-severity events
SEV 5 Heatwave in Poland
Heatwave
SEV 4 Ukraine Recovery Conference
Summit Meeting
SEV 6 Ukraine Reconstruction Conference
Summit Meeting
SEV 2 Ukraine Recovery Conference
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 6 Poland-Ukraine Tension
Diplomatic Tension
SEV 4 EU Leaders Visit Poland
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 7 Poland strips Zelenskyy of honor
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Poland
Iran war
War · 323881 dispatches
Critical · 100
Russia-Ukraine war
War · 21308 dispatches
Critical · 100
World War II
War · 10910 dispatches
Critical · 100
Poland conflict
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches 10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
Ministry of Foreign Affairs will introduce cyberattaché position in diplomatic missions - Warsaw Business Journal Ministry of Foreign Affairs introduces cyberattaché position in diplomatic missions.
Warsaw Business Journal Poland
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
France records 1,000 excess deaths as Europe's record heat intensifies
Saudi Gazette
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
More than 1,300 excess deaths recorded in Europe heatwave: WHO
The Local France
International Relations
Morning Mail: One Nation election finances face scrutiny, Trump’s new Iran threats, why your super already invests in AI
The Guardian
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
More than 1,300 excess deaths recorded in Europe heatwave: WHO
The Local Germany
Συμφώνησε με τους Chicago Fire και πάει στο MLS ο Λεβαντόφσκι
Ta Nea
Στους Chicago Fire θα συνεχίσει την καριέρα του ο Λεβαντόφσκι, γράφει ο Φαμπρίτσιο Ρομάνο
Protothema
US-Fußball: Berichte: Lewandowski vor Wechsel in die USA
Die Zeit
More than 1,300 excess deaths recorded in Europe heatwave: WHO
The Hindu
European heatwave causes 1,000 excess deaths in France
Al Jazeera
Think tanks · this country 7 articles from research institutions tracking Poland
European Council on Foreign Relations
Laying the groundwork: Why EU-Japan industrial relations should begin at the bilateral level
Germany's defence minister visited Japan in March 2026, signaling deepened EU-Japan security cooperation amid shared geopolitical threats. However, Europe's fragmented industrial system necessitates bilateral partnerships with Germany and Poland before broader EU-wide defence collaboration materializes effectively.
Apr 20, 2026
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Hungarian Elections: Ramifications for Central Europe
Peter Magyar's Tisza party defeated Viktor Orban's Fidesz in Hungary's April 2026 elections, potentially reshaping Central European geopolitics through revised foreign policy toward Ukraine, NATO, and the EU, with significant implications for Poland, Czech Republic, and Slovakia's political alignment.
Apr 17, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Four principles for an EU-Hungary reset
Hungary's new government under Peter Magyar won a supermajority and seeks EU reset; Brussels must strategically release €32 billion in frozen funds while leveraging geopolitical realignment toward European interests.
Apr 16, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
What Happens After Hungary’s Election? Four Scenarios to Watch
Hungary's election outcome is uncertain, with four possible scenarios unfolding after the April 12 vote.
Apr 6, 2026
Bruegel
How Europe should respond to the Iran gas shock - and how it shouldn’t
The European Union must proactively prepare for prolonged elevated gas prices and potential supply tightening resulting from Iran conflict disruptions, as higher prices could add approximately 100 billion euros to annual import costs despite EU's current insulation from immediate supply threats.
Apr 4, 2026
Bruegel
US Foreign Military Sales
The US Foreign Military Sales database documents military equipment transfers to foreign governments from April 2008 through February 2026, revealing Europe's emergence as the primary purchaser since 2017, while Ukraine's notifications quintupled between 2024 and 2025.
Apr 3, 2026
Atlantic Council
Russia’s shadow war: How the Kremlin uses sabotage to wear down Europe
Russia has orchestrated a campaign of sabotage across Europe, including railway explosions and drone disruptions at major airports, to destabilize NATO allies by eroding Western unity without triggering formal military response, prompting Poland to deploy ten thousand troops under Operation Horizon.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entities Most-mentioned actors in Poland-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · related Upcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+ Methodology · how this profile is builtThis profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Poland will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.
