GeoMemo
TUE, OCT 20 · EDT
Countries›Serbia (RS)

Serbia.

Republic of Serbia · Belgrade (Beograd) · 6.7M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesSerbian (official) 88.1%, Hungarian 3.4%, Bosnian 1.9%Area77.5K km²Sanctioned entities109Active conflicts6Mentions 7d3 ▼ 75%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
66.9
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Serbia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Serbia · 90-day event volume
174
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
WAR CRIME2026-07-232026-09-062026-10-20
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Serbia Funds Diaspora
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
OCT 17
2026
Serbia-Kosovo Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
OCT 17
2026
Serbia-Russia Alliance
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 9actor only events: 5domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 10,184
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 30total value usd: $13.88Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.95%inflation pct: 4.67%unemployment pct: 7.24%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
78/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 109is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
90/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76literacy rate: 99.30%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
10Stable
Security
50Elevated
Economic
33Moderate
Regulatory
22Stable
Operational
35Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 13 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
45.5
02Kingdom of Spain
52.8
03Ukraine
53.5
04Federal Republic of Germany
55.3
05French Republic
57.3
06Republic of Belarus
61.9
07Italian Republic
64.3
08Republic of Cyprus
64.5
13Republic of Serbia· this country
66.9
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$90.1B
▲ $8.7B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$13.7K
▲ $1.4K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.7%
▼ 7.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
7.2%
▼ 1.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.6M
▼ 36.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.67%
▲ 0.46% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.0 yrs
▼ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
87.7%
▲ 2.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 6 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
174
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
3
High-severity events
2026-10-17
SEV 6
Serbia Funds Diaspora
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 6
Serbia-Kosovo Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Serbia-Russia Alliance
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 9
Crimes against Serbs and Jews
War Crime
2026-10-11
SEV 6
Kosovo PM Criticizes Serbia
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 6
Kosovo Reality Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 4
Vulin on Putin's Support
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 7
Serbia-Russia Alliance
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Serbia
World War II
War · 11147 dispatches
Critical · 100
Kosovo-Serbia conflict
Civil War · 90 dispatches
Elevated · 39.4
Bosnian War
Civil War · 34 dispatches
Cold · 0
Serbian conflict
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Budva sigurna u Vojvodini, za Budućnost kobna druga četvrtina...

Budva wins against Vojvodina, while Budućnost loses due to a poor second quarter.

VijestiMontenegro · Serbia
Other
Vedat Muriqi në formë të shkëlqyer, shtatë gola në tetë ndeshje me Fenerbahcen
Telegrafi
Other
Haradinaj e quan Kurtin 'sundimtar': Protestuesve u dha gaz lotsjellës e dajak
Telegrafi
Other
Policia identifikon një 36-vjeçar në Ferizaj pas një videoje që ngriti dyshime për dhunë në familje
Telegrafi
Other
Haradinaj: LVV-ja po i sulmon Dautin e Saminë sepse nuk po i nënshtrohen
Telegrafi
Zjarrfikësit e Prizrenit parandalojnë përhapjen e zjarrit në zonën pyjore të Kojushës
Telegrafi
Kryeziu-Hyseni thumbon PDK-në: Na bënë presion të votohet Ligji për Specialen, tani thonë se duhet të kthehet mbrapsht
Telegrafi
Prishtina e Orges Shehit nuk njeh humbje, fitorja ndaj Ballkanit rrit ambiciet për titull
Telegrafi
Spektakl na obali Save: Sting dolazi u Beograd
Spektakl na obali Save
Ryanair Exits 13 Airports, Invests $200 Million in Rimini
tovima
Think tanks · this country3 articles from research institutions tracking Serbia
Atlantic Council
Xi Jinping visited Europe to divide it. What happens next could determine if he succeeds.
Chinese leader Xi Jinping visited France, Serbia, and Hungary in May to divide Europe and reverse its de-risking strategy against China, with success depending on upcoming EU parliamentary elections and policy shifts under new leadership.
Sep 26, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bonus episode: The EU enlargement game
Jessica Hendrick conducted an EU enlargement simulation in Lisbon with experts representing six candidate countries, testing how economic crises, geopolitical pressure, disinformation, and external competition from rival powers affect membership prospects and democratic values.
Sep 4, 2026
Bruegel
EU candidate countries acquis alignment dataset (2020-2025)
Researchers converted the European Commission's qualitative assessments of eight EU candidate countries' membership preparedness into numerical scores ranging from 0 to 100, enabling comparative analysis across nations and policy areas from 2020 to 2025.
Jul 1, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Serbia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Novak Djokovic
personlast · Oct 17
630
Aleksandar Vucic
personlast · Sep 29
126
Aleksandar Vučić
personlast · Oct 18
125
Luka Vuskovic
personlast · Oct 10
40
Ratko Mladic
personlast · Oct 17
37
Ratko Mladić
personlast · Oct 11
34
Nikola Tesla
personlast · Oct 18
24
Aleksandar Pavlović
personlast · Oct 17
20
Dejan Stankovic
personlast · Oct 17
9
Ivica Dačić
personlast · Oct 17
9
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Serbia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.