GeoMemo
MON, JUN 29 · EDT
CountriesSerbia (RS)

Serbia.

Republic of Serbia · Belgrade (Beograd) · 6.7M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesSerbian (official) 88.1%, Hungarian 3.4%, Bosnian 1.9%Area77.5K km²Sanctioned entities107Active conflicts6Mentions 7d3 ▲ 200%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
77.4
Elevated risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Serbia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Serbia · 90-day event volume
100
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
SERBIA-RUSSIA BREAKUP OF2026-04-012026-05-162026-06-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
JUN 28
2026
Xi Jinping Visits Serbia
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
JUN 26
2026
Heatwave in Serbia
heatwave · severity 5
Moderate
JUN 23
2026
Serbia-Iran Phone Call
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 4actor only events: 11domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.80%article coverage 90d: 808
Arms Activity
57/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 13total value usd: $10.35Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
79/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.95%inflation pct: 4.67%unemployment pct: 7.24%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 1negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
79/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 107is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
90/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76literacy rate: 99.30%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
10Stable
Security
39Moderate
Economic
13Stable
Regulatory
21Stable
Operational
26Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 33 of 55
01Ukraine
44.2
02United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
45.7
03French Republic
50.4
04Federal Republic of Germany
52.2
05Kingdom of Spain
54.1
06Hellenic Republic
55.5
07Republic of Cyprus
58.2
08Romania
60.1
33Republic of Serbia· this country
77.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$90.1B
$8.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$13.7K
$1.4K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.7%
7.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
7.2%
1.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.6M
36.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.60%
0.39% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.0 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
87.7%
2.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 6 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
100
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-06-28
SEV 4
Xi Jinping Visits Serbia
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-26
SEV 5
Heatwave in Serbia
Heatwave
2026-06-23
SEV 2
Serbia-Iran Phone Call
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-22
SEV 8
Breakup of Yugoslavia
Conflict Escalation
2026-06-12
SEV 6
EU Warns Serbia
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-12
SEV 3
Serbia Keeps Policy Rate
Economic Indicator
2026-06-11
SEV 7
Serbia-Russia Ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-11
SEV 6
Serbia Defies EU
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Serbia
World War II
War · 10910 dispatches
Critical · 100
Kosovo-Serbia conflict
Civil War · 55 dispatches
Elevated · 39.4
Bosnian War
Civil War · 28 dispatches
Cold · 0
Serbian conflict
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Politics

Serbians keep up protests after President Vucic says he will step down

Serbians continue protesting after President Vucic announces his resignation amid ongoing demonstrations.

South China Morning PostSerbia
Geopolitical Politics
Thousands protest in Serbia even after President Aleksandar Vucic says he'll resign
CBC | Top Stories News
Geopolitical Politics
Serbia’s protesters press on even after Vucic promises to step aside
Al Jazeera
Geopolitical Politics
Protesters in Serbia doubt Vucic resignation will bring change
Al Jazeera
Defense & Arms Transfers
How is China shaping up in the global competition to sell air defence weapons?
South China Morning Post
Arranca Wimbledon 2026 con siete historias para seguir de cerca
La Nacion
Monday’s sport: What’s on and where can I watch it?
The Independent
Η εξέγερση των Φλαμίνγκο: Η γενιά των Αλβανών που δεν θέλει να… αποδημήσει – «Για να μείνουμε, θα φύγετε εσείς»
Efimerida Syntakton
Tổng thống Serbia Vucic sắp từ chức, mở đường bầu cử sớm
Thanh Nien
European heatwave causes 1,000 excess deaths in France
Al Jazeera
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Serbia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Novak Djokovic
personlast · Jun 28
344
Aleksandar Vucic
personlast · Jun 28
74
Aleksandar Vučić
personlast · Jun 27
53
Iva Jovic
personlast · Jun 16
30
Dusan Vlahovic
personlast · Jun 26
24
Nikola Tesla
personlast · Jun 8
16
Dejan Milosavljev
personlast · Jun 15
14
Slobodan Milosevic
personlast · Jun 28
9
Bora Milutinovic
personlast · Jun 24
9
Ratko Mladic
personlast · Jun 8
9
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Serbia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.