GeoMemo
MON, JUN 29 · EDT
CountriesHungary (HU)

Hungary.

Hungary · Budapest · 9.9M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesHungarian (official) 98.8%, English 25.3%, German 12.6%Area93.0K km²Sanctioned entities33Active conflicts3Mentions 7d2 ▼ 71%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
74.2
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Hungary becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Hungary · 90-day event volume
658
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
HUNGARY LIFTSHEATWAVE2026-04-012026-05-162026-06-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 2 milestones · hover for context
JUN 27
2026
Record-Breaking Heat Wave
heatwave · severity 7
Elevated
JUN 23
2026
Visegrád Four Revival
summit_meeting · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 8domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 2,359
Arms Activity
87/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 4total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
77/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 0.56%inflation pct: 3.70%unemployment pct: 4.50%
Market Stress
44/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 16negative signals 30d: 9
Sanctions Exposure
93/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 33is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
82/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76.7literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
18Stable
Security
33Moderate
Economic
36Moderate
Regulatory
7Stable
Operational
34Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 24 of 55
01Ukraine
44.2
02United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
45.7
03French Republic
50.4
04Federal Republic of Germany
52.2
05Kingdom of Spain
54.1
06Hellenic Republic
55.5
07Republic of Cyprus
58.2
08Romania
60.1
24Hungary· this country
74.2
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$222.7B
$9.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$23.3K
$1.1K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.7%
13.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
4.5%
0.4% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
9.6M
30.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.16%
0.11% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.7 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
93.8%
2.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 7 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
658
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-06-27
SEV 7
Record-Breaking Heat Wave
Heatwave
2026-06-23
SEV 2
Visegrád Four Revival
Summit Meeting
2026-06-22
SEV 4
EU-Hungary Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-21
SEV 2
Hungary Population Support
Economic Indicator
2026-06-20
SEV 4
Hungary Blocks Ukraine EU
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-19
SEV 6
Hungary-Russia Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-19
SEV 3
Hungary Opposes Fast-Track EU Membership
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-18
SEV 2
Hungary Inflation
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Hungary
Russia-Ukraine war
War · 21308 dispatches
Critical · 100
World War II
War · 10909 dispatches
Critical · 100
Cold War
Cold War · 10 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis

At least 191 mn Europeans face 35C on Sunday

At least 191 million Europeans will face 35C temperatures on Sunday, affecting several countries including Poland and Germany.

The Local GermanyPoland · Hungary · Czech Republic
Geopolitical Politics
La caída de la credibilidad de las democracias*
La Gaceta On Line
International Relations
From silk to solar, international journalists see Xinjiang firsthand
CGTN
Geopolitical Politics
Tens of thousands brave record heatwave to celebrate Budapest Pride after Viktor Orbán’s ousting
The Independent
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
At least 193 million in Europe to face temperatures above 35C on Saturday
The Local France
Quote of the day by George Soros: "The main difference between me and other people who have amassed this kind of money is…”
Times of India
Can the Wall around the Patriots in the European Parliament Be Torn Down? - Hungarian Conservative
Hungarian Conservative
Hungary recalls 37 heads of mission in diplomatic overhaul - TVP World
TVP World
At least 193 million in Europe to face temperatures above 35C on Saturday
The Local Germany
Heatwave grips Europe, smashing records and triggering health alerts
Gulf News
Think tanks · this country13 articles from research institutions tracking Hungary
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Hungary After Orbán: The Hard Road Back to Democracy
Hungarian voters ousted Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after sixteen years in April, ending democratic backsliding and corruption. Opposition leader Peter Magyar now faces the uncertain challenge of reversing illiberal policies and restoring democratic governance amid institutional damage.
Apr 28, 2026
Bruegel
Europe beyond unanimity on security
The EU should adopt majority voting in foreign policy and establish a new European Security Treaty to prevent future veto abuse by populist leaders like Orban, strengthening collective defence capabilities in an increasingly volatile geopolitical environment.
Apr 28, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Pro-Russian Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria won parliament's first majority since 1997, likely to sound like Viktor Orban on foreign policy but act more like Robert Fico, supporting EU defense initiatives while voicing domestic disagreements.
Apr 20, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Bulgaria’s election and what it means for Europe
Pro-Russian Rumen Radev's new party won Bulgaria's first parliamentary majority since 1997, likely positioning the country as a less disruptive EU thorn than Hungary, though he may rhetorically oppose EU policies while supporting Ukraine sanctions and defense integration.
Apr 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Could Bulgaria replace Hungary as Putin’s proxy inside the EU?
Viktor Orbán's electoral defeat raises Ukrainian hopes for stronger EU support, yet Bulgaria's April 19 parliamentary election threatens to install pro-Russian former president Rumen Radev, potentially replacing Hungary as Putin's primary European Union proxy.
Apr 17, 2026
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Hungarian Elections: Ramifications for Central Europe
Peter Magyar's Tisza party defeated Viktor Orban's Fidesz in Hungary's April 2026 elections, potentially reshaping Central European geopolitics through revised foreign policy toward Ukraine, NATO, and the EU, with significant implications for Poland, Czech Republic, and Slovakia's political alignment.
Apr 17, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Four principles for an EU-Hungary reset
Hungary's new government under Peter Magyar won a supermajority and seeks EU reset; Brussels must strategically release €32 billion in frozen funds while leveraging geopolitical realignment toward European interests.
Apr 16, 2026
Chatham House
Hungary election: Orbán has been defeated - but will Orbánism survive?
Hungarian voters decisively rejected Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule, with Péter Magyar's Tisza party winning nearly 70 percent of parliamentary seats due to economic stagnation concerns, though Orbánism may persist in opposition.
Apr 14, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Orbán’s Fall in Hungary Opens a Door for Europe - and Closes One for Russia
Hungarian opposition leader Péter Magyar's party won a supermajority, defeating Viktor Orbán after sixteen years, enabling constitutional reforms and potentially strengthening European support for Ukraine while reducing Russian influence in the region.
Apr 14, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Hungary
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Hungary-tagged articles · last 30 days
Viktor Orbán
personlast · Jun 27
1,276
Viktor Orban
personlast · Jun 23
1,223
Peter Magyar
personlast · Jun 27
745
Péter Magyar
personlast · Jun 27
646
Dominik Szoboszlai
personlast · Jun 19
101
Péter Szijjártó
personlast · Jun 20
79
Magyar
personlast · Jun 13
56
Orban
personlast · Jun 17
45
Anita Orbán
personlast · Jun 4
42
Tamás Sulyok
personlast · Jun 3
38
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Hungary will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.