GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesTajikistan (TJ)

Tajikistan.

Republic of Tajikistan · Dushanbe · 10.6M people · central-asia

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesTajik (official) 84.4%, Uzbek 11.9%, Kyrgyz 0.8%Area144.1K km²Sanctioned entities13Active conflicts2Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
96.5
Stable risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Tajikistan becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Tajikistan · 90-day event volume
21
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 8
TAJIKISTAN, S.SUMMIT MEETING2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 240
Arms Activity
99/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
86/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 8.40%inflation pct: 6.00%unemployment pct: 7.04%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
97/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 13is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
71/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.9literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
29Moderate
Security
0Stable
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
3Stable
Operational
11Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Central Asia
Rank 3 of 6
01Russian Federation
45.7
02Republic of Kazakhstan
74.8
03Republic of Tajikistan· this country
96.5
04Republic of Uzbekistan
98.6
05Kyrgyz Republic
100.0
06Turkmenistan
100.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$14.4B
$2.2B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.4K
$184 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB
Unemployment
WB· 2024
7.0%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
10.6M
201.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.85%
0.55% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
71.9 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
55.8%
1.4% YoY
Security8 recent events · 2 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
21
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-16
SEV 2
Iran-Tajikistan Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-14
SEV 5
UN General Assembly
Summit Meeting
2026-08-14
SEV 4
Tajikistan President at UN
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-13
SEV 2
UNICEF Aid to Tajikistan
Humanitarian Aid
2026-08-12
SEV 2
Tajik-Japan Diplomatic Meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-07
SEV 1
None
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-03
SEV 2
Tajikistan, S. Korea Deputy FM Meet
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-03
SEV 2
China-Tajikistan Workshop
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Tajikistan
West Asia conflict
War · 27796 dispatches
Critical · 100
Tajikistan civil war
Civil War · 1 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

What changed in 25 years? The SCO story in numbers

The Shanghai Cooperation Organization expanded from six founding members to 27 members and partners over 25 years, significantly broadening its scope across trade, connectivity, security, healthcare, and agriculture sectors.

CGTNChina · India · Kazakhstan
International Relations
Xi’s Central Asia, Middle East trip to link security, development and cooperation
ISNA News Agency
International Relations
Promoting high-quality SCO development a priority in China's diplomacy
CGTN
Geopolitical Politics
Modi Central Asia Tour Signals Aggressive Indian Geopolitical Realignment - streamlinefeed.co.ke
streamlinefeed.co.ke
Other
Suspect in 2019 Fairfax County murder deported himself to Tajikistan in July, Homeland Security says
Washington Times
SCO credits Shanghai Spirit for organization's success
CGTN
IBTO to launch training program for Tajik blood transfusion experts
Tehran Times
Tehran, Dushanbe open virtual exhibition highlighting shared decorative arts
Tehran Times
The incredible rise of RAF and why the UFC needs wrestling league to thrive
The Independent
چاپ اسکناس با تصویر ابن‌سینا در تاجیکستان؛ ببینید
Khabar Online
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Tajikistan
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
The Infrastructure Trap: What Beijing Has Learned from Moscow’s Playbook in Central Asia
China is deepening infrastructure dependencies across Central Asia through Belt and Road Initiative investments in energy and digital sectors, mirroring Soviet-era tactics to gain geopolitical leverage over the region's five nations.
Apr 19, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Tajikistan-tagged articles · last 30 days
Emomali Rahmon
personlast · Aug 22
26
Sirojiddin Muhriddin
personlast · Aug 26
11
Idibek Kalandar
personlast · Aug 21
4
Dalir Jum’a
personlast · Aug 18
2
Abdulloi Doniyor Toshpulodzoda
personlast · Aug 28
1
Saadi Sharifi
personlast · Aug 23
1
Arslanbekh Makhmudov
personlast · Aug 23
1
Rahim Saidzod
personlast · Aug 20
1
Rustam Emomali
personlast · Aug 20
1
Nizamuddin Zahedi
personlast · Aug 20
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Tajikistan will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.