International Relations
Sudan PM meets Pope Leo XIV ahead of Oxford Union debate
Sudan PM meets Pope Leo XIV ahead of Oxford Union debate
Sudan TribuneSudan · Vatican City
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Vatican City.
The Holy See (Vatican City State) · Vatican City · 1.0K people · europe
Governmentecclesiastical elective monarchy; self-described as an "absolute monarchy"LanguagesItalian, Latin, French0Active conflicts2Mentions 7d28 ▲ 87%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
70.9
Elevated risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Vatican City becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Vatican City · 90-day event volume
200
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 13
2026
Pope Denounces US-Israeli Aggression
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Pope Honors Iran Envoy
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
US Secretary Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
US Secretary of State Visits Vatican
diplomatic_visit · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Rubio's Vatican Mission
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 10
2026
Rubio Meets Pope and Meloni
diplomatic_visit · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
Rubio Meets Pope
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
US-Vatican Talks
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
Pope Criticizes Arms Trade
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
Pope meets US Secretary
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 7actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.20%article coverage 90d: 629
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
— · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: —inflation pct: —unemployment pct: —
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
— · 10% wt
life expectancy: —literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political——
Security31Moderate
Economic50Elevated
Regulatory0Stable
Operational32Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 18 of 55
0147.6
0250.2
0355.1
0458.0
0559.8
0661.6
0762.8
0867.3
1870.9
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 0 indicators
World Bank hasn’t published 10-year indicators for Vatican City in our corpus yet. Data will populate on the next daily refresh.
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
200
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
3
High-severity events
2026-05-13
Pope Denounces US-Israeli Aggression
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-13
Pope Honors Iran Envoy
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-12
US Secretary Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
US Secretary of State Visits Vatican
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
Rubio's Vatican Mission
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-10
Rubio Meets Pope and Meloni
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-09
Rubio Meets Pope
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-08
US-Vatican Talks
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Vatican City
Vatican-USA diplomatic crisis
Cold War · 16878 dispatches
Critical · 100
Crusades
War · 3 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
Pope Leo pushes back as Trump feud deepens despite Rubio visit - MSN
MSN
International Relations
Rubio to meet with Pope Leo amid highly public, personal policy standoff between pontiff, president - MSN
MSN
International Relations
Is the Vatican standing up to Trump?
Al Jazeera
International Relations
Miami archbishop urges diplomacy as Rubio meets with Pope Leo
AOL
MAGA pastor leaps to Trump’s defence in row with Pope
The Independent
Rubio to meet with Pope Leo amid highly public, personal policy standoff between pontiff, president - MSN
MSN
Pope Leo praised for "speaking truth to power" in clashes with Donald Trump
Daily Record - News
‘There are no unbelievers left,’ Vatican nuncio in Ukraine says
EWTN News
Pope asks God to ‘enlighten’ world leaders in veiled rebuke to Trump - Yahoo
Yahoo
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Vatican City-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Vatican City will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.