GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesUS Virgin Islands (VI)

US Virgin Islands.

Virgin Islands · Charlotte Amalie · 103.8K people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentunincorporated organized territory of the US with local self-government; republican form of territorial government with separate executive, legislative, and judicial branchesArea1.9K km²Active conflicts0CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
84.6
Moderate risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefGenerated May 11, 2026 · CLAUDE-HAIKU-4-5-20251001 · 4 sources
The other side. See this brief from US Virgin Islands's frame — local-language sources elevated, Western framing flagged.
BLUF · Bottom Line Up Front

No credible intelligence threats identified for Virgin Islands in last 48 hours.

Review of available intelligence sources from 2026-05-09 to 2026-05-11 contains no reportable developments, threat indicators, or events affecting Virgin Islands. All provided articles address geopolitical developments in Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, and Middle East regions with no nexus to VI security, governance, or interests.

Confidence HIGHDivergence LOWSingle-source claims 0
US Virgin Islands · 90-day event volume
0
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-122026-03-292026-05-12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Key Judgments
01
No VI-relevant intelligence available in current reporting cycle.
Provided intelligence articles and threat assessments address North Korea-Russia military cooperation, China-Taiwan tensions, US-China diplomatic engagement, and Asian economic developments. None reference Virgin Islands territory, population, infrastructure, or strategic interests. Standard monitoring should continue for any developments with indirect economic or security implications through US federal channels.
high confidence4 sourcesEN
Watchlist · next 48 hours
01
Receipt of VI-specific intelligence reporting.
Indicator · Articles or assessments directly referencing Virgin Islands, USVI government, local security incidents, or territorial infrastructure developments.
15% 20pp
+How we produced this brief

Generated under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards by CLAUDE-HAIKU-4-5-20251001. Evidence pack drawn from 4 dispatches over the trailing 48 hours, plus structured intelligence-event rows, extracted quantities, and threat-evidence records.

Local-language reporting is incorporated where available (EN), with explicit divergence flagging where local and Western framing diverge. Every claim ships with a calibrated confidence statement.

Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 105
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
53/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -1.31%inflation pct: unemployment pct: 11.42%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
91/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 80.8literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
9Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
48Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 7 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
43.2
02Republic of Haiti
54.6
03Republic of Panama
67.0
04Barbados
72.2
05Republic of Honduras
77.8
06Republic of Guatemala
83.8
07Virgin Islands· this country
84.6
08Country of Sint Maarten
86.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 8 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2022
$4.7B
$165.0M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2022
$44.3K
$1.7K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB
Unemployment
WB· 2024
11.4%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
104.4K
540.0 YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
80.8 yrs
0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB
Security0 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
0
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for US Virgin Islandsin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict

Pakistan extends countrywide austerity drive after U.S., Iran fail to strike deal

Pakistan's Prime Minister extended nationwide austerity measures until June 13, 2026, following the U.S.-Iran failed peace negotiations over West Asia conflict, implementing fuel cuts and vehicle groundings to manage energy supply disruptions.

The HinduPakistan · US Virgin Islands · Iran
Geopolitical Economics
Geopolitical tension now seen as top economic risk in Bank of Canada survey
Global News
Geopolitical Economics
Hormuz blockade offers hard lessons for trade-reliant China
Washington Times
Defense & Arms Transfers
As Iran war hits U.S. weapons stocks, allies fear impact on Ukraine
The Washington Post
International Relations
Iran, trade, and Taiwan are cited as key keywords for China's "Beijing Summit" between U.S. Presiden.. - 매일경제
Maeil Business Newspaper
Asian Stocks Rise Despite Middle East Tensions as Chipmakers Boost Markets
econotimes
North Korea and Russia deepen ties as South Korea-U.S. alliance strains
Korea JoongAng Daily
Latest Headlines
Nikkei Asia
Tajikistan: News & Insights
Nikkei Asia
China's Strategic Edge in the U.S.-Iran Crisis
Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking US Virgin Islands
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
India’s Oil Security Strategy: Structural Vulnerabilities and Strategic Choices
Analyst Vrinda Sahai examines India's inadequate oil security strategy, revealing vulnerabilities exposed by 2026 West Asia escalation that disrupted supply chains through the Strait of Hormuz, threatening India's 89 percent import dependency and necessitating diversified procurement, expanded reserves, and accelerated energy transition policies.
Apr 16, 2026
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of US Virgin Islands will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.