🇦🇿 Azerbaijan. Republic of Azerbaijan · Baku (Baki, Baky) · 10.7M people · middle-east
Government presidential republic Languages Azerbaijani 96.1%, other 1.4%; less than 1%: Russian, Avar Area 86.6K km² Sanctioned entities 132 Active conflicts 5 Mentions 7d 7 ▼ 61% CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score ?How the stability score is computed A weighted composite of seven pillars — conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records. Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable ≥ 75.
68.7
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence brief No brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Azerbaijan becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Azerbaijan · 90-day event volume
207
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
AZERBAIJAN-UZB 2026-06-02 2026-07-17 2026-08-30 Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiers Hover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timeline Last 7 days · 7 milestones · hover for context
Poland-Azerbaijan Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
AI Impact on Finance
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
Aliyev Congratulates Tokayev
diplomatic_visit · severity 1
Moderate
Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan Joint Projects
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Aliyev Congratulates Zelensky
diplomatic_visit · severity 1
Moderate
Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan State Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan Talks
summit_meeting · severity 3
Moderate
Stability components 7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2 domestic conflicts: 0 max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 9 actor only events: 12 domestic events: 0 severe domestic: 0 instability rate: 1.00% article coverage 90d: 1,218
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 30 total value usd: $16.80B conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
83/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.16% inflation pct: 2.21% unemployment pct: 5.65%
Market Stress
75/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 20 negative signals 30d: 5
Sanctions Exposure
74/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 132 is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
88/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 74.6 literacy rate: 99.80%
Risk matrix 5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparison Same-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Middle East
Rank 13 of 19
02 Islamic Republic of Iran 34.1 05 Syrian Arab Republic 43.6 07 United Arab Emirates 57.0 13 Republic of Azerbaijan· this country 68.7 Economy World Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024 $74.4B
▲ $2.0B YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024 4.99%
▲ 0.07% YoY
Security 12 recent events · 5 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
207
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
10
High-severity events
SEV 4 Poland-Azerbaijan Tension
Diplomatic Tension
SEV 2 AI Impact on Finance
Economic Indicator
SEV 1 Aliyev Congratulates Tokayev
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 2 Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan Joint Projects
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 1 Aliyev Congratulates Zelensky
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 2 Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan State Visit
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 3 Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan Talks
Summit Meeting
SEV 4 Azerbaijan-Uzbekistan Trade
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Azerbaijan
Iran war
War · 382318 dispatches
Critical · 100
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 67398 dispatches
Critical · 100
Israel-Hamas war
Civil War · 34254 dispatches
Critical · 100
Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
Civil War · 2977 dispatches
Elevated · 31.9
Latest dispatches 10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
Polish ambassador summoned to Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry - 1News.az Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry summons the Polish ambassador.
1News.az Poland · Azerbaijan
International Relations
Azerbaijan summons Polish ambassador, hands him protest note - Report.az
Report.az
Geopolitical Politics
Azerbaijan adds Iran to list of countries where diplomatic missions operate in wartime conditions - Report.az
Report.az
International Relations
MFA: Moldova looks forward to strengthen ties with Azerbaijan - Report.az
Report.az
International Relations
Kocharyan case highlights widening gap between Armenia and Russia - Latest news from Azerbaijan
Latest news from Azerbaijan
Trump’s Route Begins to Re-Make the South Caucasus - Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)
Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)
Azerbaijan's Deputy FM Yalchin Rafiyev attends OIC foreign ministers' extraordinary meeting - Report.az
Report.az
Arsenal 2026/27 Champions League fixtures: League phase opponents revealed for Gunners
The Independent
Man Utd 2026/27 Champions League fixtures: League phase opponents revealed for Red Devils
The Independent
Champions League bước vào mùa bóng mới
Thanh Nien
Think tanks · this country 12 articles from research institutions tracking Azerbaijan
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Brussels and Baku Are Talking Again: What Next?
European Council President António Costa and Azerbaijan's leadership resumed diplomatic talks in March, negotiating a bilateral agreement and partnership priorities to strengthen energy cooperation and regional connectivity while supporting the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process.
May 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Europe needs Ukraine as it looks to counter growing Russian threat
European leaders increasingly view Ukraine as a vital security partner rather than aid recipient, recognizing its advanced military capabilities and modern warfare expertise as essential to counter Russia's growing threat and compensate for uncertain American support commitment.
May 1, 2026
Atlantic Council
Breaking with OPEC, the UAE is now a free agent. What this means for markets and regional unity
The UAE withdrew from OPEC on May 1, citing production quota constraints that hindered its expansion plans to 5 million barrels daily by 2027, potentially allowing faster oil market rebalancing and attracting foreign investment while signaling broader regional political fragmentation.
Apr 30, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
There Is No Shortcut for Europe in Armenia
Carnegie analysts argue Europe must support Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan's peace efforts and democratic reforms with sustained institutional backing, not just electoral endorsements, to avoid repeating Georgia's cautionary tale of personalized leadership focus.
Apr 30, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
The Much-Touted Middle Corridor Transport Route Could Prove a Dead End
The Middle Corridor transport route faces obstacles despite increased cargo volume.
Apr 30, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Türkiye in the Emerging World Order
Turkey maintains strategic independence by balancing NATO membership with engagement with Russia and China, providing Ukraine military support including drones while avoiding Western sanctions to protect its economic and energy interests.
Apr 10, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity
Armenia and Azerbaijan committed to the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity in August 2025, a 43-kilometer connectivity corridor designed to restore regional economic ties and create an alternative east-west transit route independent of Russian and Chinese infrastructure dominance.
Apr 9, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity
Following a White House summit in August 2025, Armenia and Azerbaijan committed to TRIPP, a 43-kilometer connectivity corridor designed to reconnect Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan exclave while respecting Armenian sovereignty, aiming to complete rail infrastructure by 2028 and transform decades of regional conflict into economic cooperation.
Apr 5, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
Rewiring the South Caucasus: TRIPP and the New Geopolitics of Connectivity
Following direct White House dialogue in August 2025, Armenia and Azerbaijan committed to TRIPP, a 43-kilometer connectivity corridor through southern Armenia designed to restore Azerbaijan's link to its Nakhchivan exclave while promoting regional economic cooperation and creating an alternative east-west transit route independent of Russian and Chinese infrastructure.
Apr 4, 2026
Top entities Most-mentioned actors in Azerbaijan-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · related Upcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+ Methodology · how this profile is builtThis profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Azerbaijan will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.