Other
Egypt’s Handball team reaches Mediterranean Games final after defeating Algeria
Egypt's handball team reaches Mediterranean Games final after defeating Algeria 27-25.
Egypt IndependentEgypt · Algeria · Greece
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Algeria.
People's Democratic Republic of Algeria · Algiers · 47.7M people · africa
Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesArabic (official), French (lingua franca), Tamazight (official) (dialects include Kabyle (Taqbaylit)Area2.4M km²Sanctioned entities64Active conflicts7Mentions 7d7 ▲ 133%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
68.4
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefGenerated Aug 30, 2026 · CLAUDE-HAIKU-4-5-20251001 · 1 sources
The other side. See this brief from Algeria's frame — local-language sources elevated, Western framing flagged.
BLUF · Bottom Line Up Front
Algeria wildfire crisis claims 12+ lives; Su-57 procurement signals military modernization amid regional tensions
Severe wildfires sweeping northeast Algeria have resulted in at least 12 deaths across multiple provinces over 48 hours, indicating a significant environmental and humanitarian crisis. Concurrently, Algeria's procurement of Russian Su-57 fifth-generation fighters represents Moscow's second successful export of this platform, demonstrating Algiers' strategic pivot toward Russian military capabilities amid regional geopolitical competition.
Confidence HIGHDivergence LOWSingle-source claims 1
Algeria · 90-day event volume
69
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Key Judgments
01
Algeria wildfire crisis poses immediate humanitarian and infrastructure threat
Multiple provinces in northeast Algeria are experiencing concurrent wildfires of severity 8, with confirmed fatalities reaching at least 12 as of 29 August 2026. The scale and persistence of fires across multiple provinces suggests conditions are conducive to rapid spread, likely driven by seasonal weather patterns and terrain vulnerability. Response capacity and resource allocation will be critical determinants of casualty trajectory.
high confidence2 sourcesEN
02
Su-57 procurement indicates Algeria's strategic alignment with Russia and military modernization priority
Algeria's acquisition of Russian Su-57 fifth-generation fighters makes it Russia's second export customer for the platform, following an earlier unspecified buyer. This procurement reflects Algiers' deliberate choice to bolster air superiority capabilities through Russian platforms rather than alternative Western or Chinese systems (J-35). The decision signals sustained defense spending on advanced capabilities and deeper Moscow-Algiers military-technical cooperation.
high confidence1 sourceEN
03
Russia expands military export influence through Algeria Su-57 deal amid great power competition
The Algeria Su-57 export represents Moscow's counter-strategy to Chinese J-35 proliferation in Central Asia and North Africa, demonstrating active competition for regional military influence. Successive export customers for the Su-57 indicate Russia is achieving normalized export operations and customer confidence in the platform's capabilities and support ecosystem. This trend reinforces Russia's position as a preferred defense supplier for non-aligned regional powers.
moderate confidence1 sourceEN
Watchlist · next 48 hours
01
Escalation or containment of wildfire crisis in northeast Algeria provinces
Indicator · Official casualty figures exceeding 20; spread to additional provinces; deployment of military/international firefighting assets; government emergency declarations
55%
02
Public announcement of Su-57 contract details and delivery timeline
Indicator · Official Algerian Defense Ministry or Russian defense ministry statement; contract value and platform quantity disclosed; delivery schedule announced
45%
03
Regional reactions to Algeria's Su-57 procurement among North African and Mediterranean competitors
Indicator · Statements from Morocco, Tunisia, or France regarding military balance implications; counter-procurement announcements; NATO or EU responses
40%
04
Environmental assessment of wildfire damage and climate implications for Algerian agriculture/infrastructure
Indicator · Release of acreage burned figures; environmental ministry damage assessments; water source contamination reports; displacement figures
50%
+How we produced this brief
Generated under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards by CLAUDE-HAIKU-4-5-20251001. Evidence pack drawn from 3 dispatches over the trailing 48 hours, plus structured intelligence-event rows, extracted quantities, and threat-evidence records.
Local-language reporting is incorporated where available (FA), with explicit divergence flagging where local and Western framing diverge. Every claim ships with a calibrated confidence statement.
Event timelineLast 7 days · 7 milestones · hover for context
AUG 29
2026
Mali PM Visits Algeria
diplomatic_visit · severity 5
Moderate
AUG 29
2026
Algeria Wildfire
wildfire · severity 8
Critical
AUG 28
2026
Wildfires in Algeria
wildfire · severity 8
Critical
AUG 27
2026
Algeria Wildfires
wildfire · severity 8
Critical
AUG 27
2026
Wildfires in Algeria
wildfire · severity 8
Critical
AUG 26
2026
Algeria Wildfire
wildfire · severity 6
Elevated
AUG 24
2026
Algeria-France Diplomatic Crisis
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 2actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.20%article coverage 90d: 1,411
Arms Activity
23/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 23total value usd: $470.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
74/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.70%inflation pct: 4.05%unemployment pct: 11.65%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
87/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 64is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
81/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76.5literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political19Stable
Security50Elevated
Economic16Stable
Regulatory13Stable
Operational27Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 16 of 56
0137.1
0241.8
0344.8
0445.3
0548.4
0653.7
0758.4
0859.9
1668.4
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$269.3B
▲ $21.4B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$5.8K
▲ $383 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.0%
▼ 5.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 202411.7%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202446.8M
▲ 650.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20247.97%
▲ 0.58% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202476.5 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202477.4%
▲ 1.2% YoY
Security12 recent events · 7 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
69
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
23
High-severity events
2026-08-29
Mali PM Visits Algeria
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-29
Algeria Wildfire
Wildfire12 killed
2026-08-28
Wildfires in Algeria
Wildfire
2026-08-27
Algeria Wildfires
Wildfire12 killed54 wounded
2026-08-27
Wildfires in Algeria
Wildfire12 killed54 wounded
2026-08-26
Algeria Wildfire
Wildfire12 killed54 wounded
2026-08-24
Algeria-France Diplomatic Crisis
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-22
Spanish president visits Algeria
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Algeria
US-China conflict
Cold War · 28403 dispatches
Critical · 100
West Asia conflict
War · 27797 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22904 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sahel insurgency
Insurgency · 16745 dispatches
High · 72.6
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
Saudi Arabia expresses solidarity with Algeria over deadly forest fires
Saudi Gazette
Defense & Arms Transfers
دومین مشتری خارجی جنگندههای نسل پنجم سوخو-۵۷ روسیه پس از الجزایر
Ettela'at Online
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Algeria wildfire death toll expected to rise as survivors say nothing left
Al Jazeera
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Al-Azhar offers condolences to Algeria over wildfire victims
Egypt Independent
Tuareg rebels free more Malian soldiers in prisoner swap, sources say
Al Jazeera
UAE expresses solidarity with Algeria after deadly wildfires
Gulf News
Brighton cruise into Conference League after win over Tromso
The Independent
En Algérie, des incendies dans le Nord-Est font au moins douze morts
Mediapart
Forest fires kill at least 12 people in Algeria as severe heatwave grips North Africa
Saudi Gazette
Think tanks · this country6 articles from research institutions tracking Algeria
Stimson Center
Algeria as a Geopolitical Actor: Strategic Dynamics and Regional Implications
May 15, 2026
Stimson Center
North Africa Regional Outlook: May 13, 2026
May 15, 2026
Middle East Institute
What Does the UAE’s Departure Mean for OPEC+?
May 8, 2026
Stimson Center
North Africa Regional Outlook: April 22, 2026
Apr 22, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
“Greening” the Maghreb or Exploiting It?
Apr 16, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
Economic Statecraft as Geopolitical Strategy: New Dimensions of Moroccan-Algerian Rivalry
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Algeria-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Algeria will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.