🇱🇾 Libya. State of Libya · Tripoli (Tarabulus) · 7.4M people · africa
Government in transition Languages Arabic (official), Italian, English (all widely understood in the major cities); Tamazight (Nafusi Area 1.8M km² Sanctioned entities 134 Active conflicts 6 Mentions 7d 4 ▼ 76% CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score ?How the stability score is computed A weighted composite of seven pillars — conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records. Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable ≥ 75.
57.0
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence brief No brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Libya becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Libya · 90-day event volume
115
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
REFUGEE FLOW 2026-07-23 2026-09-06 2026-10-20 Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiers Hover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timeline Last 7 days · 4 milestones · hover for context
UN Aid to Libya
humanitarian_aid · severity 4
Moderate
Libya Peace Talks
diplomatic_visit · severity 6
Elevated
Libya-Iran Diplomatic Talks
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Tripoli Floods
flood · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components 7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2 domestic conflicts: 0 max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
83/100 · 15% wt
target events: 16 actor only events: 0 domestic events: 0 severe domestic: 4 instability rate: 0.40% article coverage 90d: 3,823
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 56 total value usd: $77.72B conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
64/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.90% inflation pct: 2.13% unemployment pct: 19.09%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 1 negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
73/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 134 is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
69/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.1 literacy rate: —
Risk matrix 5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparison Same-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 7 of 56
01 Republic of the Sudan 39.5 02 Federal Republic of Nigeria 43.8 03 Federal Republic of Somalia 45.5 04 Republic of South Sudan 50.7 05 Arab Republic of Egypt 50.8 06 Democratic Republic of the Congo 53.5 07 State of Libya· this country 54.5 08 Republic of South Africa 60.2 Economy World Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024 $48.5B
▲ $4.5B YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2023 3.57%
▲ 0.77% YoY
Security 12 recent events · 6 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
115
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
68
High-severity events
SEV 4 UN Aid to Libya
Humanitarian Aid
SEV 6 Libya Peace Talks
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 2 Libya-Iran Diplomatic Talks
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 6 Tripoli Floods
Flood 3 killed
SEV 2 Shaibani Visits Libya
Diplomatic Visit
SEV 9 Bangladeshi migrants fleeing to Europe
Refugee Flow
SEV 4 Libya-Turkey Maritime Deal
Diplomatic Tension
SEV 2 Justice Ministers Meet
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Libya
Iran war
War · 454354 dispatches
Critical · 100
West Asia conflict
War · 34280 dispatches
Elevated · 34.3
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 23007 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sahel insurgency
Insurgency · 16749 dispatches
Critical · 77.5
Latest dispatches 10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
المؤسسة الوطنية للنفط تسهم في نجاح دخول الوحدة الأولى بمحطة كهرباء الخليج البخارية . National Oil Corporation contributes to the successful entry of the first unit at the Gulf Steam Power Plant.
وكالة الأنباء الليبية Libya
Critical Tech & Minerals
الاستشعار عن بعد وعلوم الفضاء والهيئة الليبية للبحث العلمي يسعيان لإعادة تفعيل محطة مرزق .
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
Other
وزير الصحة يتفقد مصابي جهاز مكافحة التهديدات الأمنية ويتابع احتياجاتهم العلاجية
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
Other
البريقة لتسويق النفط تعلن استئناف العمل بنقطة التعبئة الفورية بطريق المطار .
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
Other
وصول الناقلة (درنة) محمّلة بـ1,300 طن متري من الغاز المسال إلى ميناء بنغازي .
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
مراسل وال : جامعة الزيتونة بترهونة تتحصل على المركز الثالث للعام الثاني في تصنيف (كيو إس) للجامعات العربية 2027.
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
لجنة وطنية تضع الأسس القانونية والتنظيمية لإنشاء مركز للتحكيم الدولي في ليبيا
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
طقس : ارتفاع في درجات الحرارة خلال فترة النهار على مناطق الشمال البلاد .
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
نقابة المعلمين تطالب مجلس النواب باعتماد جدول المرتبات الموحد دون تأجيل جديد
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
مراسل وال : اطلاق حملة نظافة عامة لكافة شوارع وميادين مدينة هون .
وكالة الأنباء الليبية
Think tanks · this country 11 articles from research institutions tracking Libya
Atlantic Council
The US just sanctioned the International Criminal Court. What’s next?
The Trump administration sanctioned the International Criminal Court on Friday, blocking its access to banking and technology services, threatening to paralyze investigations into global crimes while supporters argue this undermines decades of institutional progress.
Oct 10, 2026
Stimson Center
North Africa Regional Outlook: October 7, 2026
The Stimson Center examines North Africa's humanitarian crises, shifting geopolitical partnerships with Russia and Gulf states, Morocco's energy transition, and emerging threats including Sudan's potential partition, water scarcity, migration pressures, and AI-driven cybercrime affecting regional stability.
Oct 8, 2026
Stimson Center
The Game of Middle Powers in North Africa
Regional middle powers including Russia, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia are expanding geopolitical influence across North Africa through economic investments, security cooperation, and political alliances, challenging traditional European dominance while pursuing strategic control over territories and trade routes.
Jun 15, 2026
Brookings
How the Iran war will change the Middle East
Experts analyze how the 2026 Iran war undermined Trump's objectives, strengthened Iran's regional position, destabilized Gulf alliances, damaged U.S. credibility, and deepened Middle Eastern divisions contrary to administration goals.
Jun 10, 2026
Stimson Center
What the Red Sea Conflict Between the U.S. and the Houthis Taught Iran
The U.S. two-month Operation Rough Rider against Iran-backed Houthis in the Red Sea narrowed its freedom of navigation objective to mere force protection for American vessels, allowing the militant group to emerge with reputation intact and control Red Sea shipping by political identity.
May 15, 2026
Stimson Center
North Africa Regional Outlook: May 13, 2026
Escalating Mali attacks expose deepening Sahel instability while Iran's war disrupts global markets; Europe intensifies Mediterranean energy partnerships with Libya, Algeria, and Egypt amid shifting regional geopolitics and security crises.
May 15, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Violent Extremism in the Sahel
Violent extremist groups including JNIM, ISGS, and ISWAP have expanded significantly across the Sahel region due to weakening international counterterrorism support and regional leadership, intensifying humanitarian crises and security threats to the United States and Europe.
May 2, 2026
Stimson Center
North Africa Regional Outlook: April 22, 2026
Sudan's prolonged humanitarian crisis deepens amid regional instability, while U.S.-Iran tensions fuel energy volatility and supply chain disruptions, prompting Europe to reassess Mediterranean security strategies and North African partnerships across the Sahel.
Apr 22, 2026
Atlantic Council
Libya’s future depends on constructive, not destructive, international involvement
Since Libya's 2011 collapse into civil war between competing militias and jihadists, external powers supporting rival factions have worsened the conflict, though Turkey's intervention preventing Russian influence offers a potential pathway toward constructive international engagement for lasting peace.
Apr 5, 2026
Top entities Most-mentioned actors in Libya-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · related Upcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+ Methodology · how this profile is builtThis profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Libya will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.