GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
CountriesEquatorial Guinea (GQ)

Equatorial Guinea.

Republic of Equatorial Guinea · Malabo; note - Malabo is on the island of Bioko; some months of the year, the government operates out of Bata on the mainland region. · 1.8M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 67.6%, other (includes Fang, BubiArea28.1K km²Sanctioned entities3Active conflicts1Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
91.8
Stable risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Equatorial Guinea becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Equatorial Guinea · 90-day event volume
29
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
EXPLOSION IN2026-02-152026-04-012026-05-15
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
MAY 14
2026
US-Equatorial Guinea Deportation Dispute
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 108
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
74/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 0.91%inflation pct: 2.92%unemployment pct: 8.29%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 1negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 3is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
53/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.9literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
47Moderate
Security
0Stable
Economic
16Stable
Regulatory
1Stable
Operational
0Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 43 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
38.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
42.6
03Republic of South Sudan
48.7
04Arab Republic of Egypt
48.8
05State of Libya
49.0
06Federal Republic of Somalia
58.8
07Democratic Republic of the Congo
59.6
08Western Sahara
60.7
43Republic of Equatorial Guinea· this country
91.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 15 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$12.8B
$428.2M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$6.7K
$68 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.9%
0.1% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
8.3%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
1.9M
45.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.98%
0.54% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
63.9 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
63.3%
0.2% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
29
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
108
High-severity events
2026-05-14
SEV 6
US-Equatorial Guinea Deportation Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-04-26
SEV 2
Pope Francis visits Equatorial Guinea
Diplomatic Visit
2026-04-23
SEV 2
Prisoners demand freedom in Equatorial Guinea
Protest Movement
2026-04-23
SEV 3
Pope León XIV advocates for prisoner rights
Humanitarian Aid
2026-04-23
SEV 6
Pope's visit to Equatorial Guinea
Political Crisis
2026-04-23
SEV 2
Pope Calls for Equality in Equatorial Guinea
Humanitarian Aid
2026-04-22
SEV 6
Pope denounces colonization of Africa's minerals
Conflict Escalation
2026-04-22
SEV 8
Explosion in military camp
Terrorist Attack108 killed
Active conflicts involving Equatorial Guinea
Gulf of Guinea piracy
Maritime · 996 dispatches
High · 70.1
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Equatorial Guinea-tagged articles · last 30 days
Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo
personlast · May 13
37
Teodorín Obiang
personlast · May 12
6
Teodoro Obiang
personlast · May 11
6
Teodoro Obiang Nguema
personlast · May 12
4
Teodoro Nguema Obiang Mangue
personlast · May 12
3
Mairano Nve
personlast · May 12
3
Reginaldo Biyogo Mba Ndong Anguesomo
personlast · May 10
3
Gabriel Obiang Mbaga Lima
personlast · May 5
2
Diosdado Marques
personlast · Apr 29
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Equatorial Guinea will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.