GeoMemo
MON, OCT 19 · EDT
Countries›Chad (TD)

Chad.

Republic of Chad · N'Djamena · 19.7M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesFrench (official), Arabic (official), Sara (in south)Area1 km²Sanctioned entities7Active conflicts4Mentions 7d1 ▼ 80%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
71.0
Elevated risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Chad becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Chad · 90-day event volume
39
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 9
CHAD FOODHOSTAGES FREEDREFUGEE FLOW2026-07-222026-09-052026-10-19
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Darfur Refugees
refugee_flow · severity 7
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 3actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.50%article coverage 90d: 718
Arms Activity
73/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 8total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.95%inflation pct: 8.90%unemployment pct: 1.05%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 7is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
24/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 55.2literacy rate: 30.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
76Critical
Security
41Moderate
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
1Stable
Operational
35Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 13 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
39.5
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
43.8
03Federal Republic of Somalia
45.5
04Republic of South Sudan
50.7
05Arab Republic of Egypt
50.8
06Democratic Republic of the Congo
53.5
07State of Libya
54.5
08Republic of South Africa
60.2
13Republic of Chad· this country
71.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 15 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$19.9B
▲ $1.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$981
▲ $31 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
8.9%
▼ 1.9% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
1.1%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
20.3M
▲ 980.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.98%
▲ 0.86% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
55.2 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
12.6%
▲ 0.6% YoY
Security9 recent events · 4 conflicts · 9 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
39
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
10
High-severity events
2026-10-17
SEV 7
Darfur Refugees
Refugee Flow
2026-10-11
SEV 4
Chad Condemns Houthi Attack
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-09
SEV 1
Central African technicians visit Chad
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-08
SEV 6
Hostages freed in Chad
Conflict Escalation
2026-10-08
SEV 6
Chad Water Crisis
Humanitarian Aid
2026-10-07
SEV 2
Chad Minister Advocates
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-05
SEV 6
Cholera outbreak
Disease Outbreak
2026-10-04
SEV 2
Ali Kolotou Elected
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Chad
Iran war
War · 454320 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 23007 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 17235 dispatches
Critical · 100
Chad religious conflict
Civil War · 88 dispatches
Elevated · 30.8
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict

UN official demands immediate halt to drone strikes in Sudan

UN official Rosemary DiCarlo demands an immediate halt to drone strikes in Sudan.

Arab News PakistanSudan · United States · Egypt
Geopolitical Conflict
UN official demands immediate halt to drone strikes in Sudan
Arab News
Other
N’Djamena : la commune du 1er arrondissement et l’IDM « B » assainissent l’école Sultan Kasser dans le cadre de l’opération Zéro déchet
Tchadinfos
Geopolitical Politics
Logone occidental : bras de fer entre le sénateur Mbaïgolmem Sébastien et l’administration provinciale au sujet des conflits entre agriculteurs et éleveurs
Tchadinfos
International Relations
Une vingtaine de journalistes africains en immersion en Chine
Gabonactu
Un dernier hommage à Mbaïhilamé Zéphyrin de la radio FM Liberté
Tchadinfos
Nécrologie : Mbaihilamé Zéphyrin, technicien de FM Liberté, inhumé à N’Djaména
Journal Le Pays | Tchad
‎BTS national 2026 : 4 583 candidats planchent sur les épreuves écrites à N’Djamena
Tchadinfos
Yan bindiga sun hallaka dakarun Chadi biyu a arewa maso yammacin ƙasar
AFP - JORIS BOLOMEY
دراسة إفريقية تحذر من تهريب أسلحة الميليشيات الليبية إلى دول الساحل عقب أي تسوية
صحيفة المرصد الليبية
Think tanks · this country5 articles from research institutions tracking Chad
IMCO
Global Gender Gap Report 2018 via WEF
The World Economic Forum's 2018 Global Gender Gap Report evaluates 149 countries, finding that closing worldwide gender disparity requires 108 years, with political empowerment and economic participation representing the largest obstacles. Mexico ranks 50th, closing 72 percent of its gender gap.
Sep 10, 2026
Atlantic Council
Pathways to partnership, prosperity, and security in the Sahel
The Atlantic Council and Policy Center for the New South convene experts to discuss US reengagement strategies in the Sahel region, addressing security challenges and military cooperation opportunities with African states amid diplomatic constraints.
Sep 4, 2026
Brookings
How the Iran war will change the Middle East
Experts analyze how the 2026 Iran war undermined Trump's objectives, strengthened Iran's regional position, destabilized Gulf alliances, damaged U.S. credibility, and deepened Middle Eastern divisions contrary to administration goals.
Jun 10, 2026
The Heritage Foundation
How Sudan’s Economic Collapse Creates an Opening for China
Sudan's devastating civil war, which killed 400,000 and displaced 11 million, has collapsed the economy by 37.5 percent, creating opportunities for China to expand infrastructure investments and strategic influence across Africa through Belt and Road Initiative projects.
Apr 16, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Civil War in Sudan | Global Conflict Tracker
Sudan's two warring factions have killed an estimated four hundred thousand people since April 2023, displacing over eleven million in the world's worst humanitarian crisis, while failed mediation efforts leave thirty million requiring urgent assistance.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Chad-tagged articles · last 30 days
Limane Mahamat
personlast · Oct 10
14
host communities
personlast · Oct 11
11
Mahamat Idriss Déby
personlast · Oct 17
7
Mahamat Déby
personlast · Oct 17
7
Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno
personlast · Oct 3
6
Tahir Hamid Nguilin
personlast · Oct 11
4
Succès Masra
personlast · Oct 17
3
Idriss Déby
personlast · Oct 17
2
Tahir Souleymane Arim
personlast · Oct 10
2
Mahamat Idris Deby
personlast · Sep 22
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Chad will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.