GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesChad (TD)

Chad.

Republic of Chad · N'Djamena · 19.7M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesFrench (official), Arabic (official), Sara (in south)Area1 km²Sanctioned entities6Active conflicts4Mentions 7d4 ▲ 300%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
65.3
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Chad becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Chad · 90-day event volume
57
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
REFUGEE FLOWSUDAN INCURSIO2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 4 milestones · hover for context
AUG 26
2026
Chad-Sudan Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
AUG 26
2026
Sudan Incursion
border_incursion · severity 9
Critical
AUG 26
2026
Sudan Bombs Convoy
airstrike · severity 8
Critical
AUG 24
2026
Sudanese airstrike
airstrike · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
10/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 4domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
94/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 2.80%article coverage 90d: 231
Arms Activity
73/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 8total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.95%inflation pct: 8.90%unemployment pct: 1.05%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 6is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
24/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 55.2literacy rate: 30.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
76Critical
Security
52Elevated
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
1Stable
Operational
43Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 12 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
34.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Federal Republic of Somalia
44.0
04Republic of South Sudan
44.8
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.3
06State of Libya
51.2
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
58.8
12Republic of Chad· this country
65.3
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 15 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$19.9B
$1.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$981
$31 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
8.9%
1.9% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
1.1%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
20.3M
980.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.98%
0.87% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
55.2 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
12.6%
0.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 9 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
57
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
106
High-severity events
2026-08-26
SEV 6
Chad-Sudan Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-26
SEV 9
Sudan Incursion
Border Incursion
2026-08-26
SEV 8
Sudan Bombs Convoy
Airstrike
2026-08-24
SEV 6
Sudanese airstrike
Airstrike
2026-08-22
SEV 6
Chad intercommunal clash
Battle10 killed10 wounded
2026-08-15
SEV 6
Sudanese Refugees Flee to Chad
Refugee Flow
2026-08-15
SEV 2
Refugee School Established
Humanitarian Aid
2026-08-11
SEV 3
Chad Announces Visa-Free Travel
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Chad
Iran war
War · 382794 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22904 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 13325 dispatches
Critical · 100
Chad religious conflict
Civil War · 83 dispatches
Elevated · 34.4
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Indonesia urges OIC to act on Israeli violations against Palestinians

Indonesia urges the OIC to take action against Israeli violations against Palestinians.

ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia NewsIndonesia · Israel · Palestine
Geopolitical Politics
Just In: Tinubu's minister reacts to Atiku's border promises
Legit.ng
International Relations
Organisation of Islamic Cooperation elects Mauritanian diplomat as new secretary-general
Gulf News
International Relations
Dawo da Nijar cikin Ecowas da amfani da dakarun ECOMOG: Abubuwan da Atiku ya faɗa wa BBC
BBC
Geopolitical Conflict
Chad accuses Sudan of air strike near shared border that killed 12
Al Jazeera
Nigeria launches hunt for hundreds of kidnapped mosque worshippers
Al Jazeera
ICC chief urges Japan to counter US pressure on the court
Al Jazeera
FM affirms Egypt’s pride in historical ties with Chad
Egypt Independent
Sudan Conflict Breaches Borders as Army Bombs Convoy Inside Chad - streamlinefeed.co.ke
streamlinefeed.co.ke
UK green technology firm plans major £55m Africa expansion to help create ‘energy grid of the future’
The Independent
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Chad
The Heritage Foundation
How Sudan’s Economic Collapse Creates an Opening for China
Sudan's devastating civil war, which killed 400,000 and displaced 11 million, has collapsed the economy by 37.5 percent, creating opportunities for China to expand infrastructure investments and strategic influence across Africa through Belt and Road Initiative projects.
Apr 16, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Civil War in Sudan | Global Conflict Tracker
Sudan's two warring factions have killed an estimated four hundred thousand people since April 2023, displacing over eleven million in the world's worst humanitarian crisis, while failed mediation efforts leave thirty million requiring urgent assistance.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Chad-tagged articles · last 30 days
Moussa Faki Mahamat
personlast · Aug 22
11
host communities
personlast · Aug 18
9
Mahamat Deby
personlast · Aug 19
6
Mahamat Idriss Déby
personlast · Aug 28
5
Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno
personlast · Aug 19
5
Succès Masra
personlast · Aug 19
2
Succes Masra
personlast · Aug 18
2
Abdoulaye Saber Fadoul
personlast · Aug 28
1
Rakhis Ahmat Saleh
personlast · Aug 26
1
Issakha Acheikh
personlast · Aug 25
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Chad will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.