Geopolitical Conflict
Manyan ƙungiyoyin ta'addanci 3 sun ƙarfafa ikonsu a ƙasashen Sahel - Rahoto
Three major terrorist groups have strengthened their presence in the Sahel region of West Africa.
© AP/STRMali · Chad · Afghanistan
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Chad.
Republic of Chad · N'Djamena · 19.7M people · africa
Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesFrench (official), Arabic (official), Sara (in south)Area1 km²Sanctioned entities5Active conflicts4Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
70.2
Elevated risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Chad becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Chad · 90-day event volume
87
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
JUN 25
2026
Darfur Refugees
refugee_flow · severity 7
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
10/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 4domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
93/100 · 15% wt
target events: 11actor only events: 6domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 3.50%article coverage 90d: 354
Arms Activity
73/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 8total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.95%inflation pct: 8.90%unemployment pct: 1.05%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 5negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 5is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
24/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 55.2literacy rate: 30.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political76Critical
Security52Elevated
Economic9Stable
Regulatory1Stable
Operational33Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 17 of 56
0140.0
0242.1
0347.2
0447.2
0548.0
0648.3
0756.6
0860.7
1770.2
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 15 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$19.9B
▲ $1.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$981
▲ $31 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20248.9%
▼ 1.9% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20241.1%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202420.3M
▲ 980.1K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20242.98%
▲ 0.87% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202455.2 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202412.6%
▲ 0.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 9 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
87
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
483
High-severity events
2026-06-25
Darfur Refugees
Refugee Flow
2026-06-17
Developing Countries' Debt
Economic Indicator
2026-06-17
Boko Haram Attacks Chadian Base
Battle24 killed46 wounded
2026-06-16
Chadian Refugees Return
Refugee Flow
2026-06-16
Chadians Return from Sudan
Refugee Flow
2026-06-16
MSF Abuse Scandal
Humanitarian Aid
2026-06-14
Aid funding crisis at Chad-Sudan border
Humanitarian Aid
2026-06-14
Chadians fleeing Sudan
Refugee Flow
Active conflicts involving Chad
Iran war
War · 324854 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22791 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 10545 dispatches
Critical · 100
Chad religious conflict
Civil War · 57 dispatches
Elevated · 30
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
Jet-black Sahara volcano and skull-shaped crater captured in stunning NASA astronaut photo
Times of India
Geopolitical Conflict
Me ya sa aka kasa kawar da Boko Haram shekaru 24 bayan ɓullarta?
BBC
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Sudan crisis deepens as cholera spreads and clashes continue, UN warns
CGTN
International Relations
These are all the countries currently on the Foreign Office ‘do not travel’ list
The Independent
Voices: Boko Haram’s war on education shows why cutting aid is a false economy
The Independent
NGOs demand international action to avert 'atrocities' in Obeid
CGTN
Escaping Darfur: Mothers face starvation under trees in Chad
Al Jazeera
Gwamnatin Chadi ta ƙaddamar da shirin ƙidaya a ƙasar
AFP - ISSOUF SANOGO
Africa's refugee crisis deepens as solutions fail to keep pace
CGTN
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Chad
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Chad-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Chad will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.