GeoMemo
MON, JUN 29 · EDT
CountriesHonduras (HN)

Honduras.

Republic of Honduras · Tegucigalpa · 9.5M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official), Amerindian dialectsArea112.1K km²Sanctioned entities56Active conflicts1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
88.8
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Honduras becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Honduras · 90-day event volume
18
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-03-312026-05-152026-06-28
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
89/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 1.4
Event Volatility
95/100 · 15% wt
target events: 3actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 0.60%article coverage 90d: 506
Arms Activity
90/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 3total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
81/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.55%inflation pct: 4.61%unemployment pct: 4.91%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
89/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 56is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
79/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 73literacy rate: 88.20%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
21Stable
Security
9Stable
Economic
32Moderate
Regulatory
11Stable
Operational
17Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 4 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
46.8
02Republic of Haiti
57.9
03Republic of Panama
69.5
04Republic of Honduras· this country
74.1
05Republic of Guatemala
76.1
06Barbados
78.2
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Republic of El Salvador
85.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$37.1B
$2.7B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$3.4K
$199 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.6%
2.1% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
4.9%
1.2% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
10.8M
180.9K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.58%
0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
73.0 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
58.6%
0.6% YoY
Security0 recent events · 1 conflicts · 3 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
18
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
20
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Hondurasin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Active conflicts involving Honduras
El Salvador-Guatemala-Honduras conflict
Civil War · 62 dispatches
Low · 1.4
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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Miami trae buenos recuerdos y se prepara para la invasión argentina
Diario El Dia -
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Este año en México, casi 12 mil desaparecidos; localizan a 59%
La Jornada
Han muerto mil 449 mujeres migrantes en 12 años: OIM
La Jornada
Sociedades polarizadas
Perfil
La nueva derecha redibuja el mapa de América Latina
Perfil
Illegal immigrant in US sentenced to 8 years for helping businesses hire undocumented workers
Times of India
Lo mas visto en Netflix Honduras: las 10 películas mas exitosas del momento, con "Mensajes de voz para Isabelle" a la cabeza
Clarin
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Honduras-tagged articles · last 30 days
Nasry Asfura
personlast · Jun 23
67
Juan Orlando Hernández
personlast · Jun 20
39
Jorge Álvarez
personlast · Jun 7
11
Ana Enamorado
personlast · Jun 7
9
Mario Flores
personlast · Jun 26
8
Juan Orlando Hernandez
personlast · Jun 23
8
Edrick Menjívar
personlast · Jun 7
8
Joseph Rosales
personlast · Jun 7
7
Kervin Arriaga
personlast · Jun 7
7
Juan López
personlast · Jun 14
6
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Honduras will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.