GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
CountriesEl Salvador (SV)

El Salvador.

Republic of El Salvador · San Salvador · 6.3M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official), Nawat (among some indigenous)Area21.0K km²Sanctioned entities42Active conflicts2Mentions 7d7 ▲ 250%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
100.0
Stable risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. El Salvador becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
El Salvador · 90-day event volume
47
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
EL SALVADORESPIONAGE2026-02-152026-04-012026-05-15
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
MAY 10
2026
El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve
economic_indicator · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve
economic_indicator · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
El Salvador Bitcoin Holdings
economic_indicator · severity 1
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 257
Arms Activity
99/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 3total value usd: $500.0Mconflict amplified: no
Economic Health
84/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.60%inflation pct: 0.85%unemployment pct: 3.26%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 11negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
92/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 42is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
80/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 72.3literacy rate: 89.80%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
21Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
10Stable
Regulatory
8Stable
Operational
2Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 30 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
43.2
02Republic of Haiti
54.6
03Republic of Panama
67.0
04Barbados
72.2
05Republic of Honduras
77.8
06Republic of Guatemala
83.8
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Country of Sint Maarten
86.7
30Republic of El Salvador· this country
100.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$35.4B
$1.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$5.6K
$214 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.9%
3.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.3%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.3M
28.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.19%
0.15% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
72.3 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
66.5%
3.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 3 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
47
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-10
SEV 3
El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve
Economic Indicator
2026-05-09
SEV 3
El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve
Economic Indicator
2026-05-09
SEV 1
El Salvador Bitcoin Holdings
Economic Indicator
2026-05-08
SEV 5
El Faro Spyware Attack
Espionage
2026-05-04
SEV 5
National BTC Adoption
Economic Indicator
2026-04-28
SEV 5
El Salvador Bitcoin Law
Economic Indicator
2026-04-28
SEV 4
Bitcoin Law Reform
Economic Indicator
2026-04-28
SEV 3
El Salvador-Google Agreement
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving El Salvador
El Salvador-Guatemala-Honduras conflict
Civil War · 32 dispatches
Critical · 100
Salvadoran Civil War
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Politics

Trump promised to hold 30,000 migrants at Guantanamo. But a year later it’s almost empty, report claims

Trump's plan to hold 30,000 migrants at Guantanamo Bay has only six detainees currently.

The IndependentUnited States · Cuba · Haiti
International Relations
U.S. deportations to El Salvador double as Bukele aligns himself with Trump agenda
Washington Times
Geopolitical Conflict
Mexican national sentenced to 11 years for armed human smuggling operation
Washington Times
Geopolitical Politics
Encuesta en América Latina: Javier Milei entre los presidentes con peor imagen de la región
Perfil
Geopolitical Politics
Kash Patel grilled over allegations of 'excessive drinking': 'If you want to pop bottles...'
Times of India
'Slinging margaritas': FBI head Kash Patel in heated senate exchange over drinking claims
Top Stories
Kash Patel Denies Allegations of Drinking During Senate Budget Hearing
NDTV
Kash Patel Denies Lying and Excessive Drinking in Heated Exchanges With Democrats
The New York Times
FBI Director Kash Patel denies drinking allegations in heated Senate exchange
Washington Times
Dominican Republic Agrees to Take Third-Country Migrants Deported by U.S.
The New York Times
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in El Salvador-tagged articles · last 30 days
Nayib Bukele
personlast · May 13
179
Carlos Ivan Mendoza Hernandez
personlast · May 12
36
Rony Yahir Alvarenga Rivera
personlast · May 11
6
Horacio Castellanos Moya
personlast · May 10
6
Sugey Amaya
personlast · May 4
6
Gustavo Villatoro
personlast · May 4
6
Deisy Rivera Ortega
personlast · Apr 29
6
Samuel Ramirez
personlast · May 10
5
Carlos Dada
personlast · May 9
5
Mario Guevara
personlast · May 12
4
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of El Salvador will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.