GeoMemo
WED, JUL 1 · EDT
Countries›El Salvador (SV)

El Salvador.

Republic of El Salvador · San Salvador · 6.3M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official), Nawat (among some indigenous)Area21.0K km²Sanctioned entities63Active conflicts3Mentions 7d2 ▼ 33%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
85.0
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. El Salvador becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
El Salvador · 90-day event volume
55
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 12
REFUGEE FLOWREFUGEE FLOWEARTHQUAKE2026-04-032026-05-182026-07-01
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
JUN 29
2026
El Salvador Offers Aid
humanitarian_aid · severity 6
Elevated
JUN 25
2026
El Salvador Earthquakes
earthquake · severity 9
Critical
JUN 25
2026
El Salvador Offers Aid
humanitarian_aid · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
89/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 1.4
Event Volatility
96/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 591
Arms Activity
83/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 5total value usd: $500.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
84/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.60%inflation pct: 0.85%unemployment pct: 3.26%
Market Stress
0/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 2
Sanctions Exposure
87/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 63is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
80/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 72.3literacy rate: 89.80%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
21Stable
Security
10Stable
Economic
50Moderate
Regulatory
13Stable
Operational
27Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 6 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
47.0
02Republic of Haiti
58.0
03Republic of Panama
69.5
04Barbados
80.8
05Virgin Islands
84.6
06Republic of El Salvador· this country
85.0
07Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
85.3
08Country of Sint Maarten
86.6
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$35.4B
▲ $1.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$5.6K
▲ $214 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.9%
▼ 3.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.3%
▲ 0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
6.3M
▲ 28.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.19%
▼ 0.15% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
72.3 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
66.5%
▲ 3.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 5 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
55
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
5
High-severity events
2026-06-29
SEV 6
El Salvador Offers Aid
Humanitarian Aid
2026-06-25
SEV 9
El Salvador Earthquakes
Earthquake1,200 killed
2026-06-25
SEV 4
El Salvador Offers Aid
Humanitarian Aid
2026-06-20
SEV 7
Human Rights Concerns
Humanitarian Aid
2026-06-19
SEV 5
El Salvador Bitcoin Reserve
Economic Indicator
2026-06-19
SEV 4
El Salvador-IMF Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-16
SEV 8
Deportation Flight
Refugee Flow
2026-06-15
SEV 8
Arbitrary Detentions
Refugee Flow
Active conflicts involving El Salvador
US-Venezuela conflict
Proxy · 21199 dispatches
Critical · 100
El Salvador-Guatemala-Honduras conflict
Civil War · 62 dispatches
Low · 1.4
Salvadoran Civil War
Civil War · 3 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Trio of MS-13 gang members convicted in monthslong murder spree that killed 9

A Las Vegas jury convicted three MS-13 members of racketeering and murder charges for nine killings in Nevada and California.

Washington TimesUnited States · El Salvador
Other
Another 60 Minutes veteran leaves Bari Weiss’ CBS News as exodus of talent continues
The Independent
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Venezuela survivors pulled from rubble days after quakes
South China Morning Post
Other
The full list of the 2026 class of ‘Great Immigrants, Great Americans’
The Independent
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Mexican rescuers in Venezuela call it one of the largest tragedies they have faced
MercoPress
A regional shift to the right frames the wave of congratulations to Fujimori
MercoPress
Declaran a Keiko Fujimori ganadora en Perú
La Jornada
Erdbeben in Venezuela: Retter in Venezuela finden noch immer Überlebende
Die Zeit
Millions of sterile male Mexican fruit flies to be released in San Diego County
California
Venezuela quakes death toll rises to 1,719, thousands still missing
Al Jazeera
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in El Salvador-tagged articles · last 30 days
Nayib Bukele
personlast · Jun 30
312
Kilmar Abrego Garcia
personlast · Jun 20
49
Vladimir
personlast · Jun 15
19
Iván Barton
personlast · Jun 25
17
Deisy Rivera Ortega
personlast · Jun 13
11
Dolores
personlast · Jun 10
11
Rony Yahir Alvarenga Rivera
personlast · Jun 3
7
Ruth López
personlast · Jun 15
5
Bukele
personlast · Jun 4
5
Ivan Barton
personlast · Jun 26
4
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of El Salvador will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.