GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesPanama (PA)

Panama.

Republic of Panama · Panama City · 4.5M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official), Indigenous languages (including Ngabere (Guaymi), BuglereArea75.4K km²Sanctioned entities571Active conflicts2Mentions 7d7 ▼ 46%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
69.4
High risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Panama becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Panama · 90-day event volume
62
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
REFUGEE FLOW2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 4 milestones · hover for context
MAY 10
2026
Panama Canal Revenues Surge
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 10
2026
Panama Canal Revenue Boost
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 8
2026
Panama-China Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Herzog visits Panama
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
97/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.60%article coverage 90d: 398
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
78/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.75%inflation pct: 0.69%unemployment pct: 8.45%
Market Stress
61/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 28negative signals 30d: 11
Sanctions Exposure
0/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 571is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
92/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 79.8literacy rate: 96.20%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
8Stable
Security
31Moderate
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
100Critical
Operational
50Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 3 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
43.2
02Republic of Haiti
54.6
03Republic of Panama· this country
67.0
04Barbados
72.2
05Republic of Honduras
77.8
06Republic of Guatemala
83.8
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Country of Sint Maarten
86.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$86.5B
$2.7B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$19.2K
$364 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.7%
0.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
8.5%
1.9% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
4.5M
56.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
79.8 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
72.8%
4.2% YoY
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
62
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-10
SEV 6
Panama Canal Revenues Surge
Economic Indicator
2026-05-10
SEV 6
Panama Canal Revenue Boost
Economic Indicator
2026-05-08
SEV 4
Panama-China Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-07
SEV 2
Herzog visits Panama
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-06
SEV 2
Herzog visits Panama
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-05
SEV 2
Panama-China Diplomatic Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-04
SEV 6
Inverse Migration Flow
Refugee Flow
2026-05-04
SEV 8
Migration Flow in Latin America
Refugee Flow
Active conflicts involving Panama
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26832 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-Panama conflict
Maritime · 3 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

Trump's Friendship Isn't Enough For Investors: His Closest Allies Run Some Of Latin America's Riskiest Countries

Trump-allied Latin American leaders including Argentina's Milei, Ecuador's Noboa, and El Salvador's Bukele face elevated investor risk premiums despite Washington alignment, as markets prioritize debt, inflation, and institutional stability over political ideology.

InklArgentina · Venezuela · Ecuador
Other
Luftverkehr: Sex im Flugzeug: Paar in Argentinien nach Landung gefasst
Die Zeit
Geopolitical Economics
Conflict is biggest disruptor at maritime chokepoints
MSN
Geopolitical Economics
Panama Canal oil shipments soar 70% as Asian buyers turn to US crude
Nikkei Asia
Geopolitical Politics
Arthur Cyr - The War Powers Act regarding Iran
The Crescent-News
La advertencia de un expiloto sobre la pareja que tuvo sexo en pleno vuelo: “El avión es un espacio público”
La Nacion
Quiénes son el hombre y la mujer que fueron detenidos por tener sexo en un avión: el relato de una testigo
La Nacion
Trump says he’s ‘seriously considering’ making Venezuela the 51st U.S. State
Florida’s Voice
Quiénes son los dos pasajeros demorados en Rosario, acusados de tener sexo en un avión
La Gaceta On Line
Donald Trump 'seriously considering' making Venezuela the 51st state of US
Times of India
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Panama
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
The Next Generation of Global Infrastructure Partnerships | The Futures Summit
CSIS convened a panel discussion exploring how the U.S. can coordinate public-private capital to develop critical overseas infrastructure more effectively than competitors, addressing maritime, digital, and transportation sectors.
Apr 16, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
A Look Back at 2025: The Year in Foreign Policy
Trump eschewed isolationism in 2025, instead establishing a personalized American internationalism marked by unprecedented diplomatic engagement across nine international conflicts, including Gaza and Ukraine.
Apr 12, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Panama-tagged articles · last 30 days
José Raúl Mulino
personlast · May 11
27
Jose Raul Mulino
personlast · May 10
13
Rodrigo Noriega
personlast · May 10
12
Arsenio Domínguez
personlast · May 8
11
Ricaurte Vásquez
personlast · May 10
10
Panama's Foreign Minister
personlast · Apr 18
8
Manuel Noriega
personlast · May 13
7
Isaac Antonio Villegas Molina
personlast · May 9
6
Omar Torrijos
personlast · May 1
6
Javier Martinez-Acha
personlast · May 13
5
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Panama will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.