GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesMalawi (MW)

Malawi.

Republic of Malawi · Lilongwe · 21.8M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicArea118.5K km²Sanctioned entities4Active conflicts0CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
66.6
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Malawi becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Malawi · 90-day event volume
26
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 9
FLOODMALAWI INFLATI2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
95/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 0.40%article coverage 90d: 228
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
59/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.67%inflation pct: 32.18%unemployment pct: 5.05%
Market Stress
44/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 9negative signals 30d: 5
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 4is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
62/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 67.6literacy rate: 70.20%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
38Moderate
Security
31Moderate
Economic
47Moderate
Regulatory
1Stable
Operational
34Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 14 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
34.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Federal Republic of Somalia
44.0
04Republic of South Sudan
44.8
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.3
06State of Libya
51.2
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
58.8
14Republic of Malawi· this country
66.6
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$11.3B
$2.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$522
$111 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
32.2%
3.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.1%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
21.7M
550.8K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.02%
0.14% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
67.6 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
19.0%
1.0% YoY
Security9 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
26
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-12
SEV 2
Mercuria Expands
Economic Indicator
2026-08-08
SEV 4
Malawi Inflation Rate
Economic Indicator
2026-08-07
SEV 3
Malawi Inflation
Economic Indicator
2026-08-07
SEV 2
Malawi Mining Sector
Economic Indicator
2026-08-07
SEV 3
Mercuria Expands
Economic Indicator
2026-08-05
SEV 2
Kasiya Project Feasibility
Economic Indicator
2026-07-30
SEV 4
Malawi Flood Relief
Humanitarian Aid
2026-07-30
SEV 8
Cyclone Freddy
Flood
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Malawi-tagged articles · last 30 days
Temwa Chawinga
personlast · Aug 23
9
Tabitha Chawinga
personlast · Aug 22
5
Malawian
personlast · Aug 19
2
Deborah Mtenje
personlast · Aug 22
1
Mercy Singano
personlast · Aug 22
1
Phillip Emmanuel
personlast · Aug 22
1
Chikondi Kathewera
personlast · Aug 21
1
Fleetwood Haiya
personlast · Aug 21
1
Ufulu Kampinga
personlast · Aug 20
1
Thoko Tembo
personlast · Aug 20
1
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Malawi will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.