GeoMemo
FRI, MAY 15 · EDT
CountriesKenya (KE)

Kenya.

Republic of Kenya · Nairobi · 55.8M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesEnglish (official), Kiswahili (official), numerous indigenous languagesArea580.4K km²Sanctioned entities70Active conflicts4Mentions 7d118 ▲ 162%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
77.2
Elevated risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Kenya becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Kenya · 90-day event volume
438
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-02-142026-03-312026-05-14
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 15
2026
Macron visits Kenya
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 15
2026
Kenya-Sudan Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 15
2026
Ruto at Africa Forward Summit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 15
2026
Debt Burden
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 14
2026
Kenya-Sudan Tension
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 14
2026
Quad Cooperation
diplomatic_visit · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 14
2026
Kenya Denies RSF Support
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 14
2026
Kenya Supports Sudan
humanitarian_aid · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 14
2026
Refugees' Job Offers Cancelled
refugee_flow · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 14
2026
Macron Visit to Kenya
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 5actor only events: 8domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.70%article coverage 90d: 1,032
Arms Activity
90/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 3total value usd: $220.4Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.72%inflation pct: 4.49%unemployment pct: 5.49%
Market Stress
71/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 241negative signals 30d: 69
Sanctions Exposure
86/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 70is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
53/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
47Moderate
Security
32Moderate
Economic
22Stable
Regulatory
14Stable
Operational
30Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 21 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
38.6
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
42.6
03Arab Republic of Egypt
48.8
04State of Libya
49.6
05Republic of South Sudan
51.1
06Western Sahara
57.1
07Republic of South Africa
60.6
08Federal Republic of Somalia
61.3
21Republic of Kenya· this country
77.2
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$120.3B
$12.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$2.1K
$190 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.5%
3.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.5%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
56.4M
1.1M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.00%
0.02% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
63.8 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
35.0%
2.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 3 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
438
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
805
High-severity events
2026-05-15
SEV 2
Macron visits Kenya
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-15
SEV 6
Kenya-Sudan Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-15
SEV 2
Ruto at Africa Forward Summit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-15
SEV 6
Debt Burden
Economic Indicator
2026-05-14
SEV 6
Kenya-Sudan Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-14
SEV 6
Quad Cooperation
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-14
SEV 4
Kenya Denies RSF Support
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-14
SEV 3
Kenya Supports Sudan
Humanitarian Aid
Active conflicts involving Kenya
Iran war
War · 253375 dispatches
Critical · 100
Somalia conflict
Civil War · 24221 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 8210 dispatches
Critical · 100
Kenya protests
Civil War · 242 dispatches
High · 70.3
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Foreign affairs PS responds to President Macron's angry lecture to noisemakers: "Fairly respectful"

Foreign Affairs PS Korir Sing'Oei defends President Macron's intervention as fairly respectful.

MSNFrance · Kenya
Geopolitical Economics
Bond Markets Are Bracing for UK PM Starmer's Political Rivals to Break Cover
streamlinefeed.co.ke
Geopolitical Conflict
President Ruto denies backing RSF, calls for Sudan ceasefire
The Kenyan Diaspora Media
Geopolitical Conflict
Kenya: Ruto Rejects 'Babysitting' Sudan Generals, Defends Neutral Role in Conflict
allAfrica
Geopolitical Economics
flydubai adds new direct route with fares from Dh4,500
Gulf News
Microsoft's $1 Billion Kenya Data Centre Project Halts Over Payment: Report
NDTV
Zantawa da Macron a ƙarshen taron ci gaban Afirka
RFI
These refugees in Kenya were promised jobs in Canada. At the 11th hour, the employer cancelled the offer
CBC | Top Stories News
Ruto dismisses claims Kenya is supporting RSF in Sudan conflict
Citizen Digital
"My position on Sudan": Ruto slams RSF, denies backing them
Tuko News
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Kenya
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Food Insecurity and Terrorism: What Famine Means for Somalia
Somalia faces a severe food crisis threatening 26 million people by February 2023, driven by persistent drought, internal conflict, and Ukraine's war disrupting wheat imports, requiring urgent humanitarian intervention and long-term governance reforms.
Apr 4, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Kenya-tagged articles · last 30 days
William Ruto
personlast · May 15
198
Sabastian Sawe
personlast · May 14
107
retail investors
personlast · May 15
99
Musalia Mudavadi
personlast · May 13
63
Kelvin Kiptum
personlast · May 11
57
Emily
personlast · May 14
56
Eliud Kipchoge
personlast · May 14
46
Andrew Wasike
personlast · May 11
39
John Korir
personlast · May 10
33
Sharon Lokedi
personlast · May 1
28
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Kenya will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.