GeoMemo
TUE, JUN 30 · EDT
CountriesKenya (KE)

Kenya.

Republic of Kenya · Nairobi · 55.8M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesEnglish (official), Kiswahili (official), numerous indigenous languagesArea580.4K km²Sanctioned entities76Active conflicts6Mentions 7d3 ▼ 90%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
77.0
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Kenya becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Kenya · 90-day event volume
682
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
REFUGEE FLOW2026-04-022026-05-172026-06-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
JUN 27
2026
Protesters Tortured
refugee_flow · severity 8
Critical
JUN 24
2026
Kenya Airport Deal
energy_project · severity 5
Moderate
JUN 24
2026
Kenya halts US Ebola
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 6domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.40%article coverage 90d: 2,103
Arms Activity
90/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 3total value usd: $220.4Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.72%inflation pct: 4.49%unemployment pct: 5.49%
Market Stress
69/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 101negative signals 30d: 31
Sanctions Exposure
85/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 76is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
53/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
47Moderate
Security
32Moderate
Economic
23Stable
Regulatory
15Stable
Operational
30Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 47 of 56
01Federal Republic of Nigeria
42.1
02Republic of the Sudan
43.6
03Arab Republic of Egypt
47.8
04State of Libya
48.3
05Republic of South Sudan
49.7
06Federal Republic of Somalia
52.2
07Democratic Republic of the Congo
59.1
08Republic of Zimbabwe
62.5
47Republic of Kenya· this country
93.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$120.3B
$12.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$2.1K
$190 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.5%
3.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.5%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
56.4M
1.1M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.00%
0.02% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
63.8 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
35.0%
2.9% YoY
Security12 recent events · 6 conflicts · 4 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
682
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
149
High-severity events
2026-06-27
SEV 8
Protesters Tortured
Refugee Flow6 wounded
2026-06-24
SEV 5
Kenya Airport Deal
Energy Project
2026-06-24
SEV 4
Kenya halts US Ebola
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-23
SEV 6
US-Kenya Ebola Facility Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-23
SEV 4
Ebola Preparedness
Disease Outbreak
2026-06-23
SEV 6
Kenya Protests US Ebola Facility
Protest Movement3 killed
2026-06-23
SEV 4
US Ebola Facility Halt
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-23
SEV 4
US-Kenya Health Project
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Kenya
Iran war
War · 324280 dispatches
Critical · 100
Somalia conflict
Civil War · 24292 dispatches
Critical · 100
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22785 dispatches
Critical · 100
DRC conflict
Civil War · 17314 dispatches
Elevated · 46.6
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

Kenya’s inflation eases to 6.4pc as fuel, power costs fall - Capital FM Kenya

Kenya's inflation rate eased to 6.4 percent as fuel and power costs decreased.

Capital FM KenyaKenya
Geopolitical Economics
New trade routes reshape GCC logistics
Gulf News
Other
The full list of the 2026 class of ‘Great Immigrants, Great Americans’
The Independent
Geopolitical Economics
World Bank Approves Multi-Billion Loan to Boost Kenya’s Fight Against Corruption - Kenyans.co.ke
Kenyans.co.ke
Other
This is how much money we need to be happy, according to science
The Independent
"Truth matters": MP Koech vows transparency amid UK's military misconduct - Tuko News
Tuko News
Electric vehicles accelerate shift in Cote d'Ivoire
CGTN
Prime CS Mudavadi Warns Middle East Conflict Will Prolong Kenya’s Economic Squeeze - streamlinefeed.co.ke
streamlinefeed.co.ke
Kenya inflation data to test food price pressures - Africa Business Communities
Africa Business Communities
Peace is Kenya’s greatest economic asset, says Mudavadi - KBC Digital
KBC Digital
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Kenya
Foreign Policy Research Institute
Food Insecurity and Terrorism: What Famine Means for Somalia
Somalia faces a severe food crisis threatening 26 million people by February 2023, driven by persistent drought, internal conflict, and Ukraine's war disrupting wheat imports, requiring urgent humanitarian intervention and long-term governance reforms.
Apr 4, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Kenya-tagged articles · last 30 days
William Ruto
personlast · Jun 26
334
Sabastian Sawe
personlast · Jun 26
117
Musalia Mudavadi
personlast · Jun 17
69
Eliud Kipchoge
personlast · Jun 13
52
Ruto
personlast · Jun 18
49
Lupita Nyong’o
personlast · Jun 30
31
Kamau Thugge
personlast · Jun 10
24
Aden Duale
personlast · Jun 24
23
Sebastian Sawe
personlast · Jun 8
22
Monica Juma
personlast · Jun 26
18
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Kenya will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.