GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
Countries›Uganda (UG)

Uganda.

Republic of Uganda · Kampala · 50.9M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicArea241.0K km²Sanctioned entities46Active conflicts4Mentions 7d5 ▼ 17%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
100.0
Stable risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Uganda becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Uganda · 90-day event volume
77
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
REFUGEE FLOWOIL AND2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 5 milestones · hover for context
MAY 13
2026
Rising Heat
heatwave · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 13
2026
Saudi Deputy Minister visits Uganda
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Oil and Gas Projects
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Uganda halts NK cooperation
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
France-Uganda Economic Growth
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 5domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.40%article coverage 90d: 329
Arms Activity
99/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
88/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 6.06%inflation pct: 3.32%unemployment pct: 2.74%
Market Stress
90/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 31negative signals 30d: 3
Sanctions Exposure
91/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 46is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
67/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 68.5literacy rate: 77.00%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
33Moderate
Security
0Stable
Economic
11Stable
Regulatory
9Stable
Operational
4Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 56 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
38.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
42.6
03Republic of South Sudan
48.7
04Arab Republic of Egypt
48.8
05State of Libya
49.0
06Federal Republic of Somalia
58.8
07Democratic Republic of the Congo
59.6
08Western Sahara
60.7
56Republic of Uganda· this country
100.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$53.9B
▲ $5.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.1K
▲ $76 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.3%
▼ 2.0% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.7%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
50.0M
▲ 1.4M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.88%
▲ 0.07% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
68.5 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
8.9%
▼ 0.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
77
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
137
High-severity events
2026-05-13
SEV 6
Rising Heat
Heatwave
2026-05-13
SEV 2
Saudi Deputy Minister visits Uganda
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 5
Oil and Gas Projects
Economic Indicator
2026-05-11
SEV 4
Uganda halts NK cooperation
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-09
SEV 2
France-Uganda Economic Growth
Economic Indicator
2026-05-05
SEV 6
Digital Defenders
Humanitarian Aid
2026-05-05
SEV 6
US-Cuba Tensions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-01
SEV 4
Uganda Debt Rise
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Uganda
DR Congo-Rwanda conflict
Civil War · 18693 dispatches
Critical · 100
Gaza conflict
Civil War · 17859 dispatches
Critical · 98
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 8077 dispatches
Critical · 100
Ugandan presidential election dispute
Civil War · 56 dispatches
Elevated · 27.3
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Uganda-tagged articles · last 30 days
Jacob Kiplimo
personlast · May 11
92
Yoweri Museveni
personlast · May 13
60
suspect
personlast · May 9
24
Smallholder farmers
personlast · May 13
17
Bobi Wine
personlast · May 13
13
Muhoozi Kainerugaba
personlast · May 13
11
Christopher Okello Onyum
personlast · May 8
10
Idi Amin
personlast · May 8
10
Mahmood Mamdani
personlast · May 11
9
Minister of State for Foreign Affairs of Uganda
personlast · Apr 17
7
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Uganda will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.