GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesNepal (NP)

Nepal.

Nepal · Kathmandu · 31.3M people · south-asia

Governmentfederal parliamentary republicLanguagesNepali (official) 44.9%, Maithali 11.1%, Bhojpuri 6.2%Area147.2K km²Active conflicts3Mentions 7d12 ▼ 25%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
78.3
Elevated risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Nepal becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Nepal · 90-day event volume
295
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
NEPAL EXPORT2026-02-122026-03-292026-05-12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 13
2026
Nepal protests India's plan
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 13
2026
Nepal Strengthens Diplomatic Missions
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 12
2026
US Diplomatic Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Plane Fire
energy_project · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 11
2026
Nepal Border Issues
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Nepal Foreign Exchange
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Airplane Fire
humanitarian_aid · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 10
2026
Nepal Snubs US Envoy
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 10
2026
Nepal Export Decline
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 9
2026
West Asia Tensions
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 98.8
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.20%article coverage 90d: 658
Arms Activity
97/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.67%inflation pct: 4.69%unemployment pct: 10.50%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 552negative signals 30d: 2
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
65/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 70.6literacy rate: 68.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
36Moderate
Security
31Moderate
Economic
15Stable
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
21Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South Asia
Rank 7 of 9
01Islamic Republic of Pakistan
40.0
02Republic of India
50.9
03Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (prior to 15 August 2021); current country name disputed
51.6
04British Indian Ocean Territory
58.2
05People's Republic of Bangladesh
75.8
06Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka
82.2
07Nepal· this country
93.5
08Kingdom of Bhutan
94.3
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$42.9B
$1.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.4K
$65 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.7%
2.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
10.5%
0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
29.7M
43.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.98%
0.09% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
70.6 yrs
0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
46.3%
0.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
295
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
3085
High-severity events
2026-05-13
SEV 4
Nepal protests India's plan
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-13
SEV 2
Nepal Strengthens Diplomatic Missions
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-12
SEV 2
US Diplomatic Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 6
Plane Fire
Energy Project
2026-05-11
SEV 2
Nepal Border Issues
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-11
SEV 2
Nepal Foreign Exchange
Economic Indicator
2026-05-11
SEV 6
Airplane Fire
Humanitarian Aid
2026-05-10
SEV 2
Nepal Snubs US Envoy
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Nepal
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60428 dispatches
Critical · 100
India-Pakistan conflict
Proxy · 26362 dispatches
Critical · 98.8
Nepal civil war
Civil War · 6 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

173 Indians among foreigners arrested in latest cyber crime crackdown in Sri Lanka

Sri Lankan police arrested 173 Indians and 25 Nepalese for alleged cybercrime operations.

The HinduIndia · Nepal · Sri Lanka
Other
‘Policy document roadmap for reform’ - The Rising Nepal
The Rising Nepal
International Relations
Balen Shah is changing Nepal’s India-China balancing act. It’s a risky foreign policy - ThePrint
ThePrint
International Relations
Is Nepal Redefining Its Diplomatic Identity? - myRepublica
myRepublica
Geopolitical Economics
Pakistan passport ranking May 2026 update: Full visa-free list revealed as travel map shifts
Gulf News
UAE 'secretly carrying out strikes on Iran' including huge oil refinery attack
The Mirror
The Gulf crisis reveals Nepal's dependency trap
Nikkei Asia
Bulletin world briefing: People fall ill on train in Japan and plane catches fire at airport
The Independent
Qatar widens labour reform platform
Arabian Post
Comprehensive Book on Nepal’s Foreign Policy Released - The Rising Nepal
The Rising Nepal
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Nepal-tagged articles · last 30 days
Balendra Shah
personlast · May 12
248
KP Sharma Oli
personlast · May 12
85
Ramesh Lekhak
personlast · May 12
74
Balen Shah
personlast · May 11
67
K.P. Sharma Oli
personlast · May 11
56
Sushila Karki
personlast · May 3
50
Sudan Gurung
personlast · May 12
35
Bikram Lama
personlast · May 11
35
Shishir Khanal
personlast · May 8
33
Shisir Khanal
personlast · May 5
25
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Nepal will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.