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MON, OCT 19 · EDT
Countries›Nepal (NP)

Nepal.

Nepal · Kathmandu · 31.3M people · south-asia

Governmentfederal parliamentary republicLanguagesNepali (official) 44.9%, Maithali 11.1%, Bhojpuri 6.2%Area147.2K km²Active conflicts3Mentions 7d12 ▼ 52%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
66.6
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Nepal becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Nepal · 90-day event volume
482
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
REFUGEE FLOW2026-07-222026-09-052026-10-19
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
OCT 18
2026
Tatopani Border Reopens
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
Nepal Floods
flood · severity 8
Critical
OCT 18
2026
Tatopani Border Crossing
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Nepal-China Visa Dispute
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
IOM Aid to Nepal
humanitarian_aid · severity 6
Elevated
OCT 17
2026
Climate Displacement
refugee_flow · severity 9
Critical
OCT 17
2026
Budhi Gandaki Hydropower
energy_project · severity 5
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Nepal PM to Visit India
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Nepal-Tibet Floods
flood · severity 8
Critical
OCT 17
2026
South Asia Floods
flood · severity 8
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 22,236
Arms Activity
53/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 14total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.68%inflation pct: 4.69%unemployment pct: 10.50%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
65/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 70.6literacy rate: 68.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
36Moderate
Security
44Moderate
Economic
35Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
35Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South Asia
Rank 6 of 9
01Islamic Republic of Pakistan
37.9
02Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (prior to 15 August 2021); current country name disputed
38.2
03Republic of India
49.9
04British Indian Ocean Territory
58.2
05People's Republic of Bangladesh
61.9
06Nepal· this country
66.6
07Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka
82.2
08Republic of Maldives
96.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$43.3B
▲ $2.2B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.5K
▲ $78 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.7%
▼ 2.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
10.5%
▲ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
29.7M
▼ 43.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.02%
▼ 0.10% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
70.6 yrs
▲ 0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
46.3%
▲ 0.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
482
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
11695
High-severity events
2026-10-18
SEV 2
Tatopani Border Reopens
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-18
SEV 8
Nepal Floods
Flood1,400 killed
2026-10-18
SEV 2
Tatopani Border Crossing
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 4
Nepal-China Visa Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 6
IOM Aid to Nepal
Humanitarian Aid
2026-10-17
SEV 9
Climate Displacement
Refugee Flow
2026-10-17
SEV 5
Budhi Gandaki Hydropower
Energy Project
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Nepal PM to Visit India
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Nepal
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 68036 dispatches
Critical · 100
India-Pakistan conflict
Proxy · 42193 dispatches
Critical · 100
Nepal civil war
Civil War · 13 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Safe & Happy Dasain

Nepali Times wishes readers a safe and happy Dasain, promoting kindness and compassion.

Nepali TimesNepal
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Nepal floods &apos;defining moment&apos; for climate action: UN
The korea Herald News Rss
Geopolitical Economics
यस्तो छ आजको लागि विदेशी मुद्राको विनिमयदर
Ujyaalo Nepal
Other
बडादशैंको आठौँ दिन आज महागौरीको पूजा गरिँदै
Ujyaalo Nepal
Other
खोटाङ जाँदै गरेको सुमो सुनकोशी नदीमा खस्यो: ३ जनाको मृत्यु, तीन बेपत्ता र चार घाइते
Ujyaalo Nepal
कस्तो रहनेछ आजको मौसम?
Ujyaalo Nepal
महाअष्टमीलाई भगवतीको प्राकट्य दिवसका रूपमा विशेष महत्व दिइन्छ : डा.नारायण प्रसाद निरौला
Ujyaalo Nepal
लगानी बोर्डका पूर्व सीईओ सुशील भट्ट पक्राउ
Ujyaalo Nepal
दशैंमा बजार चलायमान, निजी क्षेत्र अझै ‘पर्ख र हेर’कै अवस्थामा छ : हेमराज ढकाल
Ujyaalo Nepal
यस्तो छ आजको तरकारी तथा फलफूलको मूल्य
Ujyaalo Nepal
Think tanks · this country3 articles from research institutions tracking Nepal
Atlantic Council
South Asian governments should look east for opportunities for young workers
Pakistan and Bangladesh possess 260 million young people, a strategic advantage as aging East Asian nations increasingly require workers, prompting analysts to urge South Asian governments to pursue labor export opportunities in Southeast Asia beyond traditional Gulf markets.
Oct 8, 2026
Chatham House
Nepal’s floods put the global loss and damage system to the test
A devastating 2026 glacial flood in Nepal killed over 1,400 people, causing billions in damage despite the nation contributing minimal greenhouse gas emissions. Nepal's appeal to the international loss and damage fund tests whether climate finance mechanisms can deliver urgent support to vulnerable countries affected by climate change.
Oct 5, 2026
Lowy Institute
SARIC: the acronym Australia should revive with India
Australia should revive its SARIC program with India to strengthen South Asian infrastructure connectivity and energy security, leveraging a tested model that generated eight billion dollars in World Bank programs from modest initial funding.
Aug 14, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Nepal-tagged articles · last 30 days
Balendra Shah
personlast · Oct 18
440
Shisir Khanal
personlast · Oct 5
140
Balen Shah
personlast · Oct 11
112
KP Sharma Oli
personlast · Sep 23
100
Shishir Khanal
personlast · Oct 17
84
Ramesh Lekhak
personlast · Sep 23
79
Sudan Gurung
personlast · Oct 17
62
Sushila Karki
personlast · Sep 23
56
pregnant women
personlast · Oct 17
45
Govinda
personlast · Oct 4
38
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Nepal will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.