GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
Brief›Conflicts

Algeria-France war.

Cold · 0/100Warresolved6 dispatches indexed
Escalation
0
·Stable · /100
Events · 24h
16
▼-9 vs 7d avg
Fatalities · 7d
1,500
▲no prior baseline
Media divergence
—
·Divergence
Primary belligerent
Algeria
Escalation trajectory · 90 days · composite of event frequency × severity × geographic spread
1,861
total events across belligerents · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 4
WORLD WARWWI START2026-02-122026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Fatalities · 90 days · weekly
1,536
single-side data only
2026-02-092026-05-111,500
Source · casualties_daily aggregated by ISO week14 weeks
No daily brief has been generated for this conflict yet. Briefs are produced for the highest-activity conflicts first; this one becomes eligible as coverage volume climbs.
Top 10
High-severity events
Severity-ranked events touching this conflict's belligerents · last 30 days
SeverityDateEventCountries
10.0May 3WWI startFR
9.0May 12French Woman CriticalFR
9.0Apr 30France's Nuclear StrategyFR
9.0Apr 28Algerian Civil WarDZ
9.0Apr 28Iran and North Korea ProgramsFR
9.0Apr 20Global Investment in Nuclear Fusion ReactorFR
9.0Apr 17Lafarge Faces Charges of Complicity in Crimes Against HumanityFR
9.0Apr 14Rape complaint against Patrick BruelFR
8.0May 13France-Africa InvestmentFR
8.0May 13Hantavirus quarantineFR
Top 10 shownFull dataset available via API · contact for access
Top 10
Strategic transfers
Arms, tech, and equipment flows where seller or buyer is a belligerent
DateFlowEquipmentTypeStatus
May 5FR→AMcyber_systemtech transferproposed
May 5FR→AMsemiconductortech transferproposed
May 5FR→AMai_systemtech transferproposed
May 5FR→PHfast patrol crafts (FPCs)· qty 40arms saleproposed
Apr 24FR→GRMICA IR/RF Missilesarms salecontracted
Apr 21FR→DKSAMP/T NG· qty 4arms salecontracted
Apr 17CN→DZAI-powered surveillance infrastructurecritical tech transferdelivered
Apr 16FR→INspace or missile technologytech transferdelivered
Apr 16FR→IDRafale jets· qty 42arms salecontracted
Apr 14FR→UAMirage 2000arms saledelivered
Top 10 shownFull dataset available via API · contact for access
Top 10
Critical resource flows
Oil, lithium, semiconductors, rare-earth, and other strategic commodities
MineralCountryStageReservesGlobal %
Dysprosium· CAREMAGFrancerefining—0.0%
Rare Earth magnetsFrancemanufacturing—0.0%
Rare EarthsFranceprocessing—0.0%
Terbium· CAREMAGFrancerefining—0.0%
Dysprosium-Terbium (DyTb)Franceprocessing——
heavy rare earthsFrancerefining——
NeodymiumFranceprocessing——
NeodymiumFrancerefining——
Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr)Franceprocessing——
Rare EarthFrancemanufacturing——
Top 10 shown · global share % = country’s share of worldwide production at this stageFull dataset via API · contact
No dispatches indexed for this conflict in the last 30 days.
Methodology

This brief was drafted daily by Claude Opus/Haiku under an ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft prompt: bottom line up-front, calibrated probability language (“likely,” “highly likely”), explicit confidence levels, and alternative-analysis sections. Drawn from 0 dispatches across 0 publications, stored in our ingestion pipeline across strategic_events, intelligence_events, threat_assessments, and entity_relationships.

Event volume and casualty counts key off DZ as the country anchor. Casualty figures above 100,000/day are filtered as extraction outliers pending manual review.