International Relations
China hits back at Australia-Vanuatu treaty - AFR
China responds to a treaty between Australia and Vanuatu, hitting back at the agreement.
AFRChina · Australia · Vanuatu
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Vanuatu.
Republic of Vanuatu · Port-Vila (on Efate) · 318.0K people · australia-oceania
Governmentparliamentary republicArea12.2K km²Sanctioned entities17Active conflicts1Mentions 7d3 ▲ 200%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
87.8
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Vanuatu becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Vanuatu · 90-day event volume
17
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 8
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
JUN 29
2026
Vanuatu-China Deal
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
JUN 29
2026
Australia-Vanuatu Pact
diplomatic_visit · severity 5
Moderate
JUN 29
2026
Vanuatu-Australia Security Pact
defense_pact · severity 5
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 97
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
72/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 0.94%inflation pct: 11.18%unemployment pct: 4.99%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
97/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 17is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
78/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.7literacy rate: 88.00%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political22Stable
Security0Stable
Economic37Moderate
Regulatory3Stable
Operational11Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · australia-oceania
Rank 12 of 30
0157.8
0266.2
0371.9
0475.6
0579.2
0683.6
0784.5
0886.1
1287.8
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$1.1B
▲ $2.1M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$3.4K
▼ $72 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 202311.2%
▲ 4.5% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20245.0%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024327.8K
▲ 7.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB—
Life expectancy
WB· 202471.7 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202345.7%
▲ 0.1% YoY
Security8 recent events · 1 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
17
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-06-29
Vanuatu-China Deal
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-29
Australia-Vanuatu Pact
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-29
Vanuatu-Australia Security Pact
Defense Pact
2026-06-19
Climate Resolution Adopted
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-06
Vanuatu-France Island Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-06-06
Macron's 2023 Visit to Vanuatu
Diplomatic Visit
2026-06-03
Vanuatu lobbies for support
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-26
Young Pacific Leaders
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Vanuatu
Algeria-France war
War · 852 dispatches
High · 61.9
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations
China hopes co-op between relevant country and Pacific nations should not target any third party or be used for geopolitical contest: FM on Australia-Vanuatu pact - Global Times
Global Times
International Relations
China warns Australia against 'geopolitical games' over Vanuatu pact | Morning News Bulletin 30 June 2026 - SBS Australia
SBS Australia
Geopolitical Politics
Australia politics live: McIntosh doubles down on call for Liberal ‘rebrand’; PM backs Hogan on Hanson
The Guardian
International Relations
China warns Australia against 'geopolitical games' after Vanuatu security deal - 24NewsHD
24NewsHD
China Warns Australia Against Geopolitical Games Over Vanuatu Pact - Deccan Chronicle
Deccan Chronicle
China warns Australia against 'geopolitical games' after Vanuatu security deal - LBCI Lebanon
LBCI Lebanon
Vanuatu rules out allowing Chinese military base in $500m Australia pact
The Age - Politics / Federal
Australia signs long-awaited Vanuatu security deal. Here's what's in it
World News
Australia and Vanuatu sign deal to block foreign military bases
Al Jazeera
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Vanuatu-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Vanuatu will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.