Geopolitical Conflict
Gunfire, explosions reported near military base in Niger capital
Gunfire and explosions were reported near a military base in Niger's capital, Niamey, overnight Saturday.
CGTNNiger · Mali · Burkina Faso
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Burkina Faso.
Burkina Faso · Ouagadougou · 23.5M people · africa
Governmentpresidential republicArea274.2K km²Sanctioned entities7Active conflicts4Mentions 7d1 ▼ 50%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
86.2
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Burkina Faso becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Burkina Faso · 90-day event volume
33
total events · 90 daily data points
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
74/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 26.3
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.40%article coverage 90d: 247
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.83%inflation pct: 4.19%unemployment pct: 3.44%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
99/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 7is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
37/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 61.3literacy rate: 41.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political63Elevated
Security13Stable
Economic29Moderate
Regulatory1Stable
Operational20Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$23.1B
▲ $3.0B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$982
▲ $109 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.2%
▲ 3.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.4%
▼ 0.2% YoY
Population
WB· 202423.5M
▲ 523.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20244.68%
▲ 0.60% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202461.3 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202428.3%
▲ 2.9% YoY
Security0 recent events · 4 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
33
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
50
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Burkina Fasoin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Active conflicts involving Burkina Faso
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22903 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sahel insurgency
Insurgency · 16745 dispatches
High · 50.3
Burkina Faso civil conflict
Civil War · 793 dispatches
Elevated · 26.3
JNIM insurgency
Insurgency · 27 dispatches
Elevated · 26.3
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict
Niger's security forces battle mutinous soldiers in the capital
Washington Times
International Relations
Nigeria Burkina Faso Bilateral Talks Ahead of New Ambassador - ng.headtopics.com
ng.headtopics
Geopolitical Conflict
'Soldiers attempted mutiny': Niger's defence min after gunfire, blasts rock Niamey
Times of India
Geopolitical Conflict
Niger authorities regain control after soldiers stage apparent mutiny in Niamey
Saudi Gazette
Gwamnatin sojin Nijar ta ce ta murkushe masu bore a birnin Yamai
© AFP - (Capture d'écran)
Gunfire and explosions in Niger’s capital as state TV cut offline
The Independent
Gunfire and explosions reported in Niger's capital, local media and witness say
The Independent
Gunfire, blasts heard in several areas of Niger capital Niamey
Al Jazeera
Gunfire and explosions shake Niamey after attackers target airport and presidency
Gulf News
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Burkina Faso will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.