Geopolitical Conflict
Raging deadly conflict in Sahel: The challenge of juntas - WION
Conflict rages in Sahel, posing a challenge to governing juntas in the region.
WIONMali · Niger · Burkina Faso
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Mali.
Republic of Mali · Bamako · 22.6M people · africa
Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea1.2M km²Sanctioned entities62Active conflicts3Mentions 7d1 ▼ 86%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
62.5
High risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Mali becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Mali · 90-day event volume
116
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
AUG 29
2026
Abzinawa Rebels Release Mali Soldiers
conflict_escalation · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
15/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 3domestic conflicts: 1max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
76/100 · 15% wt
target events: 21actor only events: 2domestic events: 1severe domestic: 3instability rate: 6.10%article coverage 90d: 384
Arms Activity
50/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 15total value usd: $462.7Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
86/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 5.02%inflation pct: 3.21%unemployment pct: 2.92%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
88/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 62is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
33/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 60.7literacy rate: 35.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political67Elevated
Security60Elevated
Economic28Moderate
Regulatory12Stable
Operational48Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 10 of 56
0137.1
0241.8
0344.8
0445.3
0548.4
0653.7
0758.4
0859.9
1062.5
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$26.8B
▲ $2.0B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$1.1K
▲ $51 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20243.2%
▲ 1.1% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20242.9%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202424.5M
▲ 709.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20244.20%
▲ 0.42% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202460.7 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202436.8%
▲ 0.8% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
116
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
473
High-severity events
2026-08-29
Abzinawa Rebels Release Mali Soldiers
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-24
Mali Conflict
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-23
FLA and JNIM attack
Battle
2026-08-23
FLA and Azawad rebels
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-22
Jihadist Factions Seize Cities
Battle
2026-08-22
Sahel Terrorism
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-22
MNLA Offensive
Ground Offensive
2026-08-22
Malian Coup
Coup
Active conflicts involving Mali
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22904 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sahel insurgency
Insurgency · 16745 dispatches
High · 72.6
Mali conflict
Insurgency · 2493 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Conflict
Africa Corps von Russland: Russland soll Niger bei Niederschlagung von Meuterei geholfen haben
Die Zeit
Geopolitical Conflict
Niger says it regains control of airbase after soldiers mutiny
The Hindu
Geopolitical Conflict
Gunfire, explosions reported near military base in Niger capital
CGTN
Geopolitical Conflict
Niger's security forces battle mutinous soldiers in the capital
Washington Times
'Soldiers attempted mutiny': Niger's defence min after gunfire, blasts rock Niamey
Times of India
Niger authorities regain control after soldiers stage apparent mutiny in Niamey
Saudi Gazette
Gwamnatin sojin Nijar ta ce ta murkushe masu bore a birnin Yamai
© AFP - (Capture d'écran)
Ƴan tawayen Abzinawa sun sako sojojin Mali 60 bayan sakar musu wani jagoran su
Michele Cattani/AFP/Getty Images
Gunfire and explosions in Niger’s capital as state TV cut offline
The Independent
Think tanks · this country3 articles from research institutions tracking Mali
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Mali-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Mali will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.