GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesGuinea (GN)

Guinea.

Republic of Guinea · Conakry · 14.4M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicArea245.9K km²Sanctioned entities13Active conflicts3Mentions 7d3CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
94.4
Stable risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guinea becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guinea · 90-day event volume
16
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
4 of 12
COUPGUINEA DEPLOYSJIHADIST GROUPGUINEA BAUXITE2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.70%article coverage 90d: 68
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
81/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 5.35%inflation pct: 8.12%unemployment pct: 5.13%
Market Stress
95/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 20negative signals 30d: 1
Sanctions Exposure
97/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 13is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
36/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 60.9literacy rate: 39.60%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
65Elevated
Security
0Stable
Economic
13Stable
Regulatory
3Stable
Operational
2Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 48 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
38.6
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
45.8
03Republic of South Sudan
48.2
04State of Libya
49.4
05Arab Republic of Egypt
49.7
06Western Sahara
59.2
07Federal Republic of Somalia
59.5
08Democratic Republic of the Congo
61.9
48Republic of Guinea· this country
94.4
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 15 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$25.0B
$2.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$1.7K
$139 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
8.1%
0.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.1%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
14.8M
349.3K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
2.05%
0.08% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
60.9 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
33.3%
1.0% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
16
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-04-29
SEV 5
Guinea Bauxite Export
Economic Indicator
2026-04-23
SEV 2
3TREES Provides Anti-Corrosion Solution in Guinea
Trade Deal
2026-04-20
SEV 6
Jihadist Groups Gain Strength
Conflict Escalation
2026-04-12
SEV 6
Cash shortages in Guinea Conakry
Currency Crisis
2026-04-07
SEV 4
Iron Ore Investment Uncertainty
Currency Crisis
2026-04-07
SEV 5
Rio Tinto Railway Infrastructure Deal
Pipeline Project
2026-03-17
SEV 8
Guinea Deploys Tanks and Heavy Weapons to Border
Military Exercise
2026-03-17
SEV 6
Guinea Deploys Troops to Border with Liberia
Ground Offensive
Active conflicts involving Guinea
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22636 dispatches
Critical · 100
Guinea-Liberia-Sierra Leone border conflict
· 16 dispatches
Low · 24.8
Guinea conflicts
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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International Relations
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Geopolitical Economics
China’s Zhaojin Mining eyes overseas gold assets as M&A heats up
Mining
Geopolitical Economics
China’s Zhaojin Mining Eyes Overseas Gold Assets as M&A Heats Up
Bloomberg
Global Markets
ASX Mining Sector Faces Commodity Split as Gold Surges and Lithium Weakens
Kalkine
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Bez Kabli
AngloGold Ashanti Q1 31 March 2026 Earnings Release and Dividend Declaration
City AM
Miners lead strong recovery in Africa’s Top 250 companies
African Business
Sheehy introduces legislation targeting foreign mining labor standards
Bozeman Daily Chronicle
USD/CHF - US Dollar Swiss Franc
Investing
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Guinea
Brookings
Unlocking Africa’s critical minerals for broad-based prosperity and global competitiveness
Africa can unlock its critical minerals to drive prosperity and global competitiveness by leveraging its resources.
Apr 6, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Guinea-tagged articles · last 30 days
Mamadou Dian Balde
personlast · May 1
16
Serhou Guirassy
personlast · May 10
9
Keita Baldé
personlast · May 3
6
Mamadi Doumbouya
personlast · Apr 13
5
Mamady Doumbouya
personlast · Apr 13
5
Bensouda
personlast · May 8
3
Naby Keita
personlast · Apr 30
3
Bintou Keita
personlast · Apr 16
3
Seydou Camara
personlast · May 9
2
Hassoum Ceesay
personlast · Apr 18
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Guinea will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.