GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
Countries›Indonesia (ID)

Indonesia.

Republic of Indonesia · Jakarta · 283.6M people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesBahasa Indonesia (official, modified form of Malay), EnglishArea1.9M km²Sanctioned entities133Active conflicts10Mentions 7d241 ▲ 28%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
63.5
High risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Indonesia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Indonesia · 90-day event volume
3,127
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
HANTAVIRUS OUT2026-02-132026-03-302026-05-13
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
MAY 12
2026
Indonesia Aligns Marine Planning
energy_project · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Indonesia Emissions
drought · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Indonesia Expands Meal Program
humanitarian_aid · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Danantara Investment
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Godzilla El Niño
drought · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 11
2026
Halal Certification
diplomatic_tension · severity 3
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Indonesia, Bangladesh
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Papua Human Rights Concerns
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 11
2026
Indonesia's Latin America pivot
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
ASEAN Petroleum Security
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
5/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 4domestic conflicts: 1max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
92/100 · 15% wt
target events: 11actor only events: 9domestic events: 1severe domestic: 2instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 5,871
Arms Activity
0/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 104total value usd: $53.04Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
87/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 5.03%inflation pct: 2.18%unemployment pct: 3.30%
Market Stress
74/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 994negative signals 30d: 260
Sanctions Exposure
73/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 133is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
82/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 71.3literacy rate: 96.00%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
18Stable
Security
70Elevated
Economic
19Stable
Regulatory
27Moderate
Operational
46Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 6 of 22
01Union of Burma
49.4
02Taiwan
50.8
03Democratic People's Republic of Korea
54.7
04People's Republic of China
58.3
05Japan
60.2
06Republic of Indonesia· this country
63.6
07Republic of Korea
66.7
08Republic of the Philippines
67.9
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$1.4T
▲ $25.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$4.9K
▲ $49 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.2%
▼ 1.5% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
3.3%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
283.5M
▲ 2.3M YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.78%
▼ 0.04% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
71.3 yrs
▲ 0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
72.8%
▲ 3.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 10 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
3127
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
8015
High-severity events
2026-05-12
SEV 2
Indonesia Aligns Marine Planning
Energy Project
2026-05-11
SEV 5
Indonesia Emissions
Drought
2026-05-11
SEV 2
Indonesia Expands Meal Program
Humanitarian Aid
2026-05-11
SEV 5
Danantara Investment
Economic Indicator
2026-05-11
SEV 6
Godzilla El Niño
Drought
2026-05-11
SEV 3
Halal Certification
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-11
SEV 2
Indonesia, Bangladesh
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-11
SEV 6
Papua Human Rights Concerns
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Indonesia
Persian Gulf conflict
Maritime · 60428 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-China conflict
Cold War · 26832 dispatches
Critical · 100
Piracy in South East Asia
Insurgency · 1538 dispatches
Critical · 100
Papua conflict
Civil War · 1510 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis

14 missing, 23 rescued after migrant boat sinks off Malaysia

A migrant boat sank off Malaysia, leaving 14 missing and 23 rescued after departing from Indonesia with 37 on board.

Gulf NewsIndonesia · Malaysia
Geopolitical Politics
Top e-visa travel list for Indian travellers as passport update shifts rankings in May
Gulf News
Geopolitical Conflict
AFP: No Chinese aggressive actions during Balikatan 2026 exercises
GMA News Online / News
International Relations
China’s Foreign Minister to skip BRICS Delhi meet for ‘scheduling reasons’
The Hindu
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Malaysia rescues 23 migrants after boat capsizes, 14 still missing
Al Jazeera
Adela Kadir Dilantik Jadi Anggota DPR Gantikan Adies Kadir
Tempo.co Berita Nasional Terbaru Indonesia Hari Ini
BGN Ancam Suspend SPPG yang Minim Penerima Kelompok 3B
Tempo.co Berita Nasional Terbaru Indonesia Hari Ini
Pegadaian Raih Predikat Best of the Best di BUMN Entrepreneurial Marketing Awards 2026
Tempo.co Berita Nasional Terbaru Indonesia Hari Ini
Pemkab Bogor Siap Laksanakan Putusan PTUN Bandung
Tempo.co Berita Nasional Terbaru Indonesia Hari Ini
Golkar: Adela Kadir Ditugaskan di Komisi III DPR
Tempo.co Berita Nasional Terbaru Indonesia Hari Ini
Think tanks · this country11 articles from research institutions tracking Indonesia
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
The Geopolitical Debates Over Controlling Cloud Compute
U.S. policymakers debate restricting cloud compute access to prevent China from circumventing semiconductor export controls, as Chinese entities legally access advanced chips through Southeast Asian data centers via cloud services worth billions annually.
May 6, 2026
Atlantic Council
Chinese electric vehicle exports rise amid the oil crisis, posing a dilemma for importing countries
China's surging electric vehicle exports, driven by oil crisis concerns, present democracies a difficult choice between addressing energy shortages and managing cybersecurity risks from internet-connected Chinese vehicles that could exploit vulnerabilities or enable remote disablement of fleets.
May 4, 2026
Brookings
A Look at Hu Jintao’s Visit to Washington D.C.
Chinese President Hu Jintao visited Washington for his first state summit with President Obama, seeking to repair strained U.S.-China relations after a difficult previous year marked by mutual distrust, trade concerns, and military tensions.
May 3, 2026
Brookings
The testing ground: China’s rising influence in Southeast Asia and regional responses
China advances economic integration through the Belt and Road Initiative while pursuing South China Sea territorial claims, positioning Southeast Asia as a testing ground for great power status, though regional nations independently balance interests through selective engagement.
Apr 16, 2026
Clingendael
Indonesia’s Parallel Engagement with BRICS, the OECD and the EU
Indonesia pursues institutional diversification by simultaneously joining BRICS and acceding to the OECD, prioritizing economic governance reform while risking diplomatic overextension and diluted regional leadership capacity.
Apr 16, 2026
Clingendael
Indonesia’s Parallel Engagement with BRICS, the OECD and the EU
Indonesia simultaneously engages with BRICS, OECD, and EU frameworks, balancing relations among major geopolitical blocs to advance strategic interests across economic, trade, and development partnerships.
Apr 16, 2026
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Southeast Asia’s Agency Amid the New Oil Crisis
Southeast Asia faces an energy security crisis amid the new oil crisis due to dependence on Middle Eastern oil.
Apr 8, 2026
Center for Global Development
A Coming Clash Over Critical Minerals?
The US convened a critical minerals ministerial meeting to reduce dependence on China for mining and processing of vital minerals.
Apr 6, 2026
Carnegie Endowment
Pivotal States: Revamping the U.S.-Indonesia Partnership
Carnegie Endowment experts examined revamping U.S.-Indonesia relations, addressing how Washington can strengthen ties with the strategically vital Southeast Asian nation amid China's growing influence and Jakarta's independent foreign policy stance.
Apr 4, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Indonesia →
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Indonesia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.