GeoMemo
MON, OCT 19 · EDT
Countries›Thailand (TH)

Thailand.

Kingdom of Thailand · Bangkok · 70.0M people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentconstitutional monarchyLanguagesThai (official) only 90.7%, Thai and other languages 6.4%, only other languages 2.9% (includes MalayArea513.1K km²Sanctioned entities420Active conflicts4Mentions 7d25 ▼ 61%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
66.7
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Thailand becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Thailand · 90-day event volume
348
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
BATTLE2026-07-222026-09-052026-10-19
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 12 milestones · hover for context
OCT 18
2026
Thailand Flood Warning
flood · severity 6
Elevated
OCT 18
2026
IMF-World Bank AI Meeting
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
Korea Deputy PM Visits
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
Thailand Fiscal Discipline
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
Thailand Financial Hub
financial_regulation · severity 3
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
IMF-World Bank Meetings
diplomatic_visit · severity 3
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
World Bank Flood Study
humanitarian_aid · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 18
2026
IMF Flags Optimism
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
IMFC Meeting
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
IMF-World Bank Meeting
summit_meeting · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 8actor only events: 8domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 10,410
Arms Activity
10/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 27total value usd: $3.45Bconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
87/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.95%inflation pct: 0.40%unemployment pct: 0.78%
Market Stress
71/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 41negative signals 30d: 12
Sanctions Exposure
16/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 420is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
85/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76.6literacy rate: 91.10%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
15Stable
Security
53Elevated
Economic
19Stable
Regulatory
84Critical
Operational
47Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 7 of 22
01Union of Burma
49.6
02Japan
57.2
03Taiwan
57.9
04Democratic People's Republic of Korea
59.2
05Republic of Indonesia
60.2
06People's Republic of China
61.0
07Kingdom of Thailand· this country
66.4
08Republic of Korea
67.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$529.4B
▲ $12.4B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$7.4K
▲ $176 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.4%
▼ 0.8% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
0.8%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
71.7M
▼ 34.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.05%
▼ 0.08% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.6 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
90.9%
▲ 1.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
348
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
404
High-severity events
2026-10-18
SEV 6
Thailand Flood Warning
Flood
2026-10-18
SEV 2
IMF-World Bank AI Meeting
Economic Indicator
2026-10-18
SEV 2
Korea Deputy PM Visits
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-18
SEV 2
Thailand Fiscal Discipline
Economic Indicator
2026-10-18
SEV 3
Thailand Financial Hub
Financial Regulation
2026-10-18
SEV 3
IMF-World Bank Meetings
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-18
SEV 4
World Bank Flood Study
Humanitarian Aid
2026-10-18
SEV 4
IMF Flags Optimism
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Thailand
Iran war
War · 454320 dispatches
Critical · 100
US-China conflict
Cold War · 28485 dispatches
Critical · 100
Thailand-Cambodia border clashes
Maritime · 539 dispatches
Critical · 100
Thai Muslim separatist insurgency
Insurgency · 173 dispatches
High · 63.5
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

IMF Director Choi Jiyoung: "South Korea Is the Only Country with Growing Fiscal Space... 'Positive Differentiation' Enviable Even Within the IMF" - 아시아경제

IMF Director Choi Jiyoung highlighted that South Korea uniquely expands fiscal capacity among advanced economies, driven by semiconductor demand and artificial intelligence growth, while nearly all other nations face austerity pressures amid global economic uncertainty.

Asia EconomySouth Korea · Thailand
Geopolitical Economics
International Monetary Fund (IMF) President Kristalina Georgieva noted that the future response fund.. - 매일경제
Maeil Business Newspaper
Geopolitical Economics
The IMF warns that the resilience of the global economy is weakening. - Vietnam.vn
Vietnam.vn
Geopolitical Economics
IMF chief economist: Without AI goods, trade would have grown by 4.6% — Dawn - UA.NEWS
UA.NEWS
Geopolitical Economics
IMF-World Bank meetings on the potential benefits and risks of AI
CGTN
Cardoso: We Would Stay the Course on Reforms to Sustain Investor Confidence
THISDAYLIVE
Rs 1.85cr foreign cannabis seized
Odisha News, Odisha Latest news, Odisha Daily – OrissaPOST
中, 태국 여행 주의보 또 발령…“연예인도 취업사기 주의” 당부
세계일보
「命どぅ宝」を世界に届けたい　ミセス日本一の宜野湾出身・西村香りさん、アジア大会に出場 - 沖縄タイムス＋プラス　ニュース
沖縄タイムス＋プラス | 沖縄の最新ニュースサイト
IMF 총재 "韓 통화·재정 운용 적절…미래기금으로 경기 대비"
뉴시스 속보
Think tanks · this country17 articles from research institutions tracking Thailand
Atlantic Council
Live updates from the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Thailand as financial leaders take on AI, debt, and geopolitical upheaval
Finance ministers and central bank governors convened in Bangkok for IMF-World Bank meetings to address artificial intelligence, escalating public debt, and geopolitical tensions, with the fund publishing policy reviews recommending more realistic analysis and stronger implementation across debt sustainability, program design, surveillance, and financial assessments.
Oct 12, 2026
Lowy Institute
Aid from traditional bilateral partners has further to fall
Traditional bilateral development partners including Japan and South Korea are reducing official development assistance, projecting a $1.76 billion decline for Southeast Asia in 2025 amid domestic fiscal pressures prioritizing defense spending over development aid.
Oct 11, 2026
Center for Global Development
Annual Meetings 2026: What We're Watching
Policymakers gather in Bangkok to discuss debt, jobs, and climate amidst rising oil and food prices.
Oct 9, 2026
Atlantic Council
South Asian governments should look east for opportunities for young workers
Pakistan and Bangladesh possess 260 million young people, a strategic advantage as aging East Asian nations increasingly require workers, prompting analysts to urge South Asian governments to pursue labor export opportunities in Southeast Asia beyond traditional Gulf markets.
Oct 8, 2026
Council on Foreign Relations
Asia Program
The Council on Foreign Relations' Asia Program, led by analysts including Alyssa Ayres, examines the region's critical role in shaping global affairs through research and advisory work, addressing tensions between major powers and their implications for American interests.
Sep 21, 2026
Atlantic Council
Atlantic Council’s 2026 IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Thailand
The Atlantic Council's GeoEconomics Center will broadcast live coverage from Bangkok's 2026 IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings, featuring interviews with economic leaders and expert analysis to inform global policy discussions.
Sep 9, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
Polysilicon and the Merits of Trade Measures as Industrial Policy
President Trump imposed minimum import prices and tariffs on foreign polysilicon in August to boost domestic production, which collapsed from 50 percent global market share in 2005 to under 2 percent today, though prior trade measures alone proved ineffective without additional domestic support.
Sep 9, 2026
Pew Research Center
What do people in middle-income countries think about cuts to U.S. humanitarian aid?
The Trump administration shuttered USAID and cut humanitarian aid to 16 middle-income countries by over 75 percent, reducing funding from $5 billion to $500 million. Most surveyed populations view the cuts negatively, though many remain uncertain about specific impacts.
Sep 4, 2026
CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies
The Uncertain Future of Thailand’s Gas Sector
Thailand's declining domestic natural gas reserves since the early 2010s have forced costly liquefied natural gas imports, reducing electricity demand and straining state utility finances, though U.S. data center investment could revitalize idle gas power plants and improve asset utilization.
Sep 1, 2026
View all think-tank coverage of Thailand →
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Thailand will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.