GeoMemo
WED, MAY 13 · EDT
CountriesLithuania (LT)

Lithuania.

Republic of Lithuania · Vilnius · 2.8M people · europe

Governmentsemi-presidential republicLanguagesLithuanian (official) 85.3%, Russian 6.8%, Polish 5.1%Area65.3K km²Sanctioned entities23Active conflicts1Mentions 7d3 ▲ 0%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
68.0
High risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Lithuania becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Lithuania · 90-day event volume
58
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
RUSSIA INVADES2026-02-122026-03-292026-05-12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
MAY 7
2026
Polish President Visits Lithuania
diplomatic_visit · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Lithuania-US Diplomatic Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Lithuania-Belarus Relations
diplomatic_tension · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
20/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 3domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
90/100 · 15% wt
target events: 9actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 2.90%article coverage 90d: 317
Arms Activity
57/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 13total value usd: $709.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
80/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.77%inflation pct: 0.72%unemployment pct: 6.85%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
95/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 23is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
83/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 77.2literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
17Stable
Security
52Elevated
Economic
32Moderate
Regulatory
5Stable
Operational
41Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 16 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
47.6
02Ukraine
50.2
03Federal Republic of Germany
55.1
04Hellenic Republic
58.0
05Kingdom of Spain
59.8
06French Republic
61.6
07Republic of Cyprus
62.8
08Romania
67.3
16Republic of Lithuania· this country
70.5
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$84.9B
$5.1B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$29.4K
$1.6K YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.7%
8.4% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
6.9%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
2.9M
16.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
3.12%
0.41% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
77.2 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
89.2%
0.7% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
58
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-05-07
SEV 4
Polish President Visits Lithuania
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-07
SEV 2
Lithuania-US Diplomatic Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-07
SEV 4
Lithuania-Belarus Relations
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-04
SEV 4
Baltic States Refuse Airspace
Diplomatic Tension
2026-04-30
SEV 2
Lithuania-Angola Talks
Diplomatic Visit
2026-04-29
SEV 8
Russia Invades Lithuania
Border Incursion
2026-04-26
SEV 6
Lithuania Calls for Sanctions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-04-26
SEV 6
Lithuania Calls for Sanctions
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Lithuania
World War II
War · 10797 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Lunch between Parliamentary Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs ERI Arfiya and H.E. Dr. Aurelijus ZYKAS, Ambassador of the Republic of Lithuania to Japan - mofa.go.jp

Parliamentary Vice-Minister ERI Arfiya had lunch with Lithuania's Ambassador to Japan, Dr. Aurelijus ZYKAS.

mofa.go.jpJapan · Lithuania
Defense & Arms Transfers
Mapped: Where U.S. Troops Are Stationed in Europe
Visual Capitalist
Defense & Arms Transfers
U.S. Special Operations Command Europe launches Trojan Footprint 2026 multinational SOF exercise
Defence Industry Europe
Geopolitical Conflict
NATO Ally Defense Chief Quits After Drones Breach Russian Border
Newsweek
International Relations
Nicușor Dan to Host NATO and Ukrainian Leaders in Bucharest
bgnes.com
Eurovision 2026: Αύριο ο Α’ ημιτελικός με τη συμμετοχή του Ακύλα
Protothema
Allies Urge Congress to Cut Red Tape on Global Arms Exports
Newsmax
'Single, unmarried doctor': Former US diplomat says he faced multiple visa rejections even in 1984
Times of India
Ukraine war briefing: Who is Putin’s suggested mediator to ‘end the war’?
The Independent
EU Prepares First Major Move Against Russian Orthodox Church After Orbán’s Defeat
UNITED24 Media
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Lithuania
Atlantic Council
Waiting for the Big Bang: Executing the European defense build-up in Germany
Germany has fundamentally transformed its defense spending approach since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, committing to five percent GDP on security through 2035 and establishing new financing mechanisms to build a military-industrial complex from scratch.
Apr 3, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Lithuania-tagged articles · last 30 days
Andrius Kubilius
personlast · May 13
81
Kęstutis Budrys
personlast · May 6
29
Gitanas Nauseda
personlast · May 13
18
Gitanas Nausėda
personlast · May 12
16
Robertas Kaunas
personlast · May 13
15
Gediminas Simkus
personlast · May 12
13
Rasa Juknevičienė
personlast · May 13
9
Budrys
personlast · May 8
8
Kestutis Budrys
personlast · May 13
7
Audra Plepytė
personlast · May 7
6
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
World War II100
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Lithuania will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.