GeoMemo
MON, OCT 19 · EDT
Countries›Latvia (LV)

Latvia.

Republic of Latvia · Riga · 1.9M people · europe

Governmentparliamentary republicLanguagesLatvian (official) 56.3%, Russian 33.8%, other 0.6% (includes PolishArea64.6K km²Sanctioned entities73Active conflicts2Mentions 7d3 ▼ 81%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
67.6
High risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Latvia becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Latvia · 90-day event volume
88
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
US-RUSSIA SANC2026-07-222026-09-052026-10-19
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
OCT 17
2026
Armed Incident on Latvia-Belarus Border
border_incursion · severity 5
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Latvian PM nervous
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
OCT 17
2026
Latvia PM on Ukraine
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 13actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.20%article coverage 90d: 8,634
Arms Activity
37/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 19total value usd: $11.0Mconflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -0.04%inflation pct: 1.27%unemployment pct: 6.90%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 4negative signals 30d: 2
Sanctions Exposure
85/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 73is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
81/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 76.4literacy rate: —
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
19Stable
Security
43Moderate
Economic
35Moderate
Regulatory
15Stable
Operational
34Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Europe
Rank 14 of 55
01United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; note - the island of Great Britain includes England, Scotland, and Wales
45.5
02Kingdom of Spain
52.8
03Ukraine
54.5
04Federal Republic of Germany
55.9
05French Republic
57.3
06Republic of Belarus
61.9
07Republic of Cyprus
62.5
08Italian Republic
64.3
14Republic of Latvia· this country
67.6
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$44.0B
▲ $1.2B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$23.6K
▲ $869 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
1.3%
▼ 7.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
6.9%
▲ 0.4% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
1.9M
▼ 17.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
3.30%
▲ 0.36% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
76.4 yrs
▲ 1.0 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
92.7%
▲ 0.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 10 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
88
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-10-17
SEV 5
Armed Incident on Latvia-Belarus Border
Border Incursion
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Latvian PM nervous
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-17
SEV 2
Latvia PM on Ukraine
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 4
Russia-Latvia Tensions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-11
SEV 5
Latvia stops migrants
Refugee Flow
2026-10-10
SEV 6
US-Russia Sanction Dispute
Diplomatic Tension
2026-10-10
SEV 5
Latvia calls on US to strengthen sanctions
Diplomatic Visit
2026-10-10
SEV 4
Latvia warns citizens
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Latvia
Iran war
War · 454320 dispatches
Critical · 100
World War II
War · 11147 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

IMF chief economist: Without AI goods, trade would have grown by 4.6% — Dawn - UA.NEWS

IMF chief economist Tenreyro reported that global trade expanded by 8.3 percent from 2023 to 2025, with artificial intelligence goods accounting for roughly 3.7 percentage points of that growth, underscoring AI's substantial economic impact.

UA.NEWSThailand · Canada · United States
Geopolitical Politics
Latvia calls for visa ban on Russians
Financial Times
Other
Mērsraga «Buras UK» reņģes iekaro gardēžu sirdis
ReTalsi.lv
Other
Latvija pirmajā vietā pēc nositušos un nosisto skaita
Jaunākās ziņas - nra.lv
Other
Mairis Briedis grib atgriezties ringā, patiesība par Porziņģi un sēras Latvijas hokejā – aizejošā nedēļa sportā
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Māris pēc pamatīgas cīņas ieguva fantastisku darbu, kurā nopelna tūkstošus
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Zuzāniem gads laulībā, Kulberga sieva satraucas par vīra veselību, Kambalas aiziet no TV - nedēļas spilgtākie notikumi pašmāju šovbiznesā
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Vai jaunieši Latvijā kļūst agresīvāki? Valsts policija sniedz jaunākos datus par jauniešu pastrādātiem noziegumiem valstī
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Kāpēc zvirbuļus uz elektrības vadiem nesit strāva, bet stārķi var iet bojā?
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Mīlestības dēļ atteicās no slavas, bet palika ar salauztu sirdi. Džesika Alvesa, kas agrāk bija pazīstama kā dzīvais Kens, atklāj savu skaudro stāstu
Jaunākās ziņas - Jauns.lv
Think tanks · this country8 articles from research institutions tracking Latvia
Atlantic Council
The deterrence gap: How can NATO protect its front line from Russia?
Russia's ongoing Ukraine invasion and hybrid warfare threats against NATO's eastern flank states-Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Romania-expose significant deterrence gaps, as conventional military responses remain inadequate against cyber attacks, infrastructure sabotage, and disinformation campaigns.
Oct 7, 2026
Atlantic Council
Putin is escalating against NATO but a Baltic incursion remains unlikely
Putin escalates gray zone operations across Europe, but US intelligence assessments of a potential limited Baltic incursion remain speculative given the region's fortified defenses and Russia's current military constraints in Ukraine.
Sep 17, 2026
FIIA – Finnish Institute of International Affairs
The Nordic-Baltic Eight policy brief: NB8 and the drone challenge
Researchers Lingevicius and Holmgren argue that Nordic-Baltic drone incursions demand regional cooperation through standardized drone platforms, enabling market integration and economies of scale to strengthen collective security amid great power competition.
Sep 15, 2026
FIIA – Finnish Institute of International Affairs
The Nordic-Baltic Eight policy brief: Geo-economic resilience
Nordic-Baltic Eight policymakers Kristinsson and Broomé identify geopolitical vulnerabilities threatening small economies as economic coercion replaces rules-based trade, proposing collective resilience strategies for the region.
Sep 4, 2026
FIIA – Finnish Institute of International Affairs
The Nordic-Baltic Eight policy brief: Protecting critical undersea infrastructure
Researchers Loorents and McNamara highlighted that critical undersea infrastructure supporting Nordic-Baltic Eight economic cooperation faces vulnerabilities amid geopolitical tensions, recommending enhanced security cooperation and defence-industrial coordination.
Sep 4, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
In the bear’s paw: How Europeans can loosen Russia’s grip on Belarus
Russia has militarily entrenched itself in Belarus since Ukraine's 2022 invasion, positioning nuclear systems and missiles along Europe's eastern border, while EU sanctions failed to preserve Belarusian autonomy, prompting calls for pragmatic diplomatic strategy instead.
Aug 20, 2026
Atlantic Council
Looking to a decade of delivery: The Three Seas Initiative charts its course forward
The Three Seas Initiative convened its tenth anniversary summit in Dubrovnik in April 2026, attracting 1,200 participants from forty-five countries to advance Central European connectivity through energy, transport, and digital infrastructure development across the Baltic, Black, and Adriatic regions.
Jul 1, 2026
Atlantic Council
'Zeitenwende' is anchoring Germany’s role as a Baltic Sea Power
Under Chancellor Merz, Germany is repositioning itself as a Baltic Sea security leader through increased defense spending and military strategy emphasizing Russian threats, fundamentally shifting from decades of military restraint following Russia's 2022 Ukraine invasion.
May 5, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Latvia-tagged articles · last 30 days
Valdis Dombrovskis
personlast · Oct 17
112
Andris Kulbergs
personlast · Oct 9
81
Baiba Braže
personlast · Oct 11
76
Edgars Rinkēvičs
personlast · Oct 18
41
Jelena Ostapenko
personlast · Oct 17
41
Andris Sprūds
personlast · Oct 5
34
Martins Kazaks
personlast · Sep 20
34
Edgars Rinkevics
personlast · Oct 5
30
Evika Siliņa
personlast · Oct 8
28
Baiba Braze
personlast · Sep 24
26
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Latvia will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.