International Relations
Ruto’s Anti-Coup Rhetoric Tested by Madagascar Junta Visit - Kenyan Foreign Policy
Ruto's anti-coup rhetoric is tested by a visit from Madagascar's junta.
Kenyan Foreign PolicyKenya · Madagascar
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Madagascar.
Republic of Madagascar · Antananarivo · 31.3M people · africa
Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea587.0K km²Sanctioned entities1Active conflicts1Mentions 7d2 ▼ 60%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
94.7
Stable risk
26-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Madagascar becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Madagascar · 90-day event volume
33
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 2 milestones · hover for context
MAY 11
2026
Madagascar Lifts Mining Permit Freeze
legislative_action · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 11
2026
Madagascar Mining Permit
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 123
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.20%inflation pct: 7.61%unemployment pct: 3.05%
Market Stress
63/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 8negative signals 30d: 3
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 1is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
61/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate: 74.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political39Moderate
Security0Stable
Economic26Moderate
Regulatory0Stable
Operational8Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 48 of 56
0138.8
0242.6
0348.7
0448.8
0549.0
0658.8
0759.6
0860.7
4894.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$17.4B
▲ $1.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$545
▲ $36 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20247.6%
▼ 2.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.1%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202432.0M
▲ 769.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.71%
▲ 0.06% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202463.8 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202418.7%
▲ 0.4% YoY
Security12 recent events · 1 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
33
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
100
High-severity events
2026-05-11
Madagascar Lifts Mining Permit Freeze
Legislative Action
2026-05-11
Madagascar Mining Permit
Economic Indicator
2026-05-04
Plumpy'Nut Aid
Humanitarian Aid
2026-05-04
Madagascar Mining
Economic Indicator
2026-05-03
Rare Earth Investment
Economic Indicator
2026-05-03
Vara Mada Mining
Economic Indicator
2026-05-03
Investment Approval
Economic Indicator
2026-04-29
Madagascar expels French
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Madagascar
Madagascar protests
Insurgency · 16 dispatches
Elevated · 29
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
A Framework for Breaking the Food–Climate–Water–Conflict Nexus in Africa
orfonline.org
Critical Tech & Minerals
EVG adds fluorspar to critical minerals push
The Australian
Critical Tech & Minerals
EVG adds fluorspar to critical minerals push
The Mercury
Geopolitical Economics
Pakistan passport ranking May 2026 update: Full visa-free list revealed as travel map shifts
Gulf News
Future Center - China, Taiwan, and the Contest for Africa
مركز المستقبل
'Single, unmarried doctor': Former US diplomat says he faced multiple visa rejections even in 1984
Times of India
Future Center - China, Taiwan, and the Contest for Africa
مركز المستقبل
Combatientes extranjeros enrolados por la fuerza en el ejército ruso para luchar contra Ucrania
Perfil
Madagascar Mining Permit Freeze Lifted: Investment Implications 2026
discoveryalert.com.au
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Madagascar-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Madagascar will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.