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ObserverUnited States · Australia · Madagascar
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Madagascar.
Republic of Madagascar · Antananarivo · 31.3M people · africa
Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea587.0K km²Sanctioned entities1Active conflicts1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
98.5
Stable risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Madagascar becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Madagascar · 90-day event volume
19
total events · 90 daily data points
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 183
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $4.8Mconflict amplified: no
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.32%inflation pct: 7.61%unemployment pct: 3.05%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 3negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 1is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
61/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate: 74.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political39Moderate
Security0Stable
Economic11Stable
Regulatory0Stable
Operational0Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$17.6B
▲ $1.6B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$550
▲ $36 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20247.6%
▼ 2.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.1%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202432.0M
▲ 769.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.71%
▲ 0.06% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202463.8 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202418.7%
▲ 0.4% YoY
Security0 recent events · 1 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
19
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Madagascarin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Active conflicts involving Madagascar
Madagascar protests
Insurgency · 21 dispatches
Low · 4.4
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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America pours over $62.8 million into 4 African rare-earth projects as private investors avoid China-dominated market
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Mining
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
Madagascar protests4.4+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Madagascar will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.