GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesMozambique (MZ)

Mozambique.

Republic of Mozambique · Maputo · 34.2M people · africa

Governmentpresidential republicArea799.4K km²Sanctioned entities13Active conflicts4Mentions 7d3 ▼ 25%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
90.2
Stable risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Mozambique becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Mozambique · 90-day event volume
60
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
FLOODREFUGEE FLOW2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
AUG 26
2026
Mozambique Conflict Escalation
ground_offensive · severity 8
Critical
AUG 26
2026
Displacement Crisis
refugee_flow · severity 9
Critical
AUG 25
2026
Mozambique Strengthens Medicine Regulation
health_emergency · severity 5
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 327
Arms Activity
99/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
77/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.15%inflation pct: 4.08%unemployment pct: 6.67%
Market Stress
67/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 3negative signals 30d: 1
Sanctions Exposure
97/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 13is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
53/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate: 61.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
48Moderate
Security
0Stable
Economic
27Moderate
Regulatory
3Stable
Operational
7Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 21 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
37.1
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Republic of South Sudan
44.8
04Federal Republic of Somalia
45.3
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.4
06State of Libya
53.7
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
59.9
21Republic of Mozambique· this country
74.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$22.8B
$1.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$657
$35 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
4.1%
3.0% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
6.7%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
34.6M
996.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
1.99%
0.07% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
63.8 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
20.5%
0.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 4 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
60
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-26
SEV 8
Mozambique Conflict Escalation
Ground Offensive
2026-08-26
SEV 9
Displacement Crisis
Refugee Flow
2026-08-25
SEV 5
Mozambique Strengthens Medicine Regulation
Health Emergency
2026-08-21
SEV 2
Mozambique Seeks Econ
Economic Indicator
2026-08-18
SEV 5
Mozambique Rovuma LNG
Energy Project
2026-08-18
SEV 5
Mozambique LNG Project
Energy Project
2026-08-18
SEV 8
Mozambique Insurgency
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-14
SEV 4
Mozambique UN
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Mozambique
Iran war
Civil War · 382804 dispatches
Critical · 100
Mozambique insurgency
Insurgency · 104 dispatches
Low · 23.7
Mozambican insurgency
Insurgency · 39 dispatches
Low · 4.2
Cabo Delgado conflict
Civil War · 33 dispatches
Elevated · 33.5
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

The future of diplomacy: Lessons from TZ’s High Commission in Mozambique - dailynews.co.tz

Tanzania's High Commission in Mozambique offers lessons for the future of diplomacy.

dailynews.co.tzTanzania · Mozambique
Geopolitical Politics
Mozambique Achieves WHO Level 3 Drug Regulation - Voice of Healthcare
Voice of Healthcare
Geopolitical Economics
In Mozambique, the Future May Be Built on Rwandan Security - Geopolitical Futures
Geopolitical Futures
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Why northern Mozambique’s surging violence is worsening displacement crisis
Al Jazeera
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Climate Change, Displacement and Social Cohesion: Understanding relationships between IDPs and Host Communities in Cabo Delgado and Manica, Mozambique - ReliefWeb
ReliefWeb
Kenya steps up preparations for extreme weather
CGTN
Mozambique strengthens regulation of medicines and imported vaccines, boosting health protection - WebWire
WebWire
Chevron vs. Exxon Mobil: The Better Energy Stock for the Next 5 Years
24/7 Wall St.
UN Warns Islamist Terrorists Step Up Cabo Delgado Recruitment
streamlinefeed.co.ke
South African inflation cools for first time in five months - CLUB OF MOZAMBIQUE
CLUB OF MOZAMBIQUE
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Mozambique-tagged articles · last 30 days
Daniel Chapo
personlast · Aug 27
34
Maria Lucas
personlast · Aug 23
3
Samora Machel
personlast · Aug 24
1
Jeremias Chitocueco
personlast · Aug 22
1
Chinguane Mabote
personlast · Aug 22
1
Samuel Ribeiro
personlast · Aug 21
1
Joacim Pinto
personlast · Aug 20
1
Zandamela
personlast · Aug 20
1
Lourenço Afonso José Machado
personlast · Aug 20
1
Célia Macamo
personlast · Aug 19
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Mozambique will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.