Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
South Africa declares natural disaster as flooding kills at least 10
South Africa declares a natural disaster due to severe flooding that killed at least 10 people.
The IndependentSouth Africa · Mozambique · Zimbabwe
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Mozambique.
Republic of Mozambique · Maputo · 34.2M people · africa
Governmentpresidential republicArea799.4K km²Sanctioned entities11Active conflicts3Mentions 7d8 ▲ 100%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
83.7
Moderate risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Mozambique becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Mozambique · 90-day event volume
35
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 7 milestones · hover for context
MAY 9
2026
Mozambique Mining Law
legislative_action · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
Mozambique Debt Restructuring
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 8
2026
EU ends support
diplomatic_tension · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 8
2026
Mozambique Mining Law
legislative_action · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Bond Returns
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Mozambique Mining Reform
economic_indicator · severity 6
Elevated
MAY 7
2026
Mozambique Mining Law Reform
legislative_action · severity 6
Elevated
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
70/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 32.7
Event Volatility
98/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.00%article coverage 90d: 128
Arms Activity
93/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
77/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 2.15%inflation pct: 4.08%unemployment pct: 6.67%
Market Stress
85/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 20negative signals 30d: 3
Sanctions Exposure
98/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 11is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
53/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 63.8literacy rate: 61.70%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political48Moderate
Security17Stable
Economic20Stable
Regulatory2Stable
Operational15Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 29 of 56
0138.6
0243.2
0348.3
0449.0
0549.1
0657.1
0758.8
0859.6
2984.1
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 19 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$22.7B
▲ $1.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$657
▲ $35 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20244.1%
▼ 3.0% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20246.7%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202434.6M
▲ 996.6K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20241.99%
▲ 0.07% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202463.8 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202420.5%
▲ 0.6% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
35
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
8
High-severity events
2026-05-09
Mozambique Mining Law
Legislative Action
2026-05-09
Mozambique Debt Restructuring
Economic Indicator
2026-05-08
EU ends support
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-08
Mozambique Mining Law
Legislative Action
2026-05-07
Bond Returns
Economic Indicator
2026-05-07
Mozambique Mining Reform
Economic Indicator
2026-05-07
Mozambique Mining Law Reform
Legislative Action
2026-05-06
Mozambique Mining Law
Legislative Action
Active conflicts involving Mozambique
Iran war
War · 228266 dispatches
Critical · 100
Mozambican insurgency
Insurgency · 24 dispatches
Elevated · 31.2
Mozambique insurgency
Insurgency · 14 dispatches
Elevated · 32.7
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
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Geopolitical Conflict
France arrests Tunisian suspected of plotting jihadist-inspired attack
The Local France
Geopolitical Conflict
ISIS moves operations to W’Africa, US warns
Punch Newspapers
Geopolitical Conflict
ISIS moves operations to W’Africa, US warns
Punch Newspapers
Future Center - China, Taiwan, and the Contest for Africa
مركز المستقبل
ISIS moves operations to W’Africa, US warns
Punch Newspapers
Africa: With Smart Investments, African Oil Could Fill Half the Supply That Usually Goes Through the Strait of Hormuz
allAfrica
Why Africa’s oil wealth has failed to end poverty – report
People Daily
Future Center - China, Taiwan, and the Contest for Africa
مركز المستقبل
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Mozambique-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Mozambique will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.