Other
Federal budget 2026: how much NRL’s PNG tax incentive will cost
The federal government will lose $5.4 million in tax revenue over four years due to the NRL's tax-free contracts for the PNG team.
National NewsAustralia · Papua New Guinea
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Papua New Guinea.
Independent State of Papua New Guinea · Port Moresby · 10.3M people · east-n-southeast-asia
Governmentparliamentary democracy under a constitutional monarchy; a Commonwealth realmArea462.8K km²Active conflicts0Mentions 7d6 ▲ 0%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
100.0
Stable risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Papua New Guinea becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Papua New Guinea · 90-day event volume
28
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 6 milestones · hover for context
MAY 10
2026
Earthquake in PNG
earthquake · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 10
2026
PNG PM Visits China
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
PNG Seeks Stronger US Ties
diplomatic_tension · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
US-PNG Strategic Partnership
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Panguna Mine Deal
economic_indicator · severity 5
Moderate
MAY 7
2026
Panguna Mine History
conflict_escalation · severity 9
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.70%article coverage 90d: 137
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
86/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.80%inflation pct: 0.60%unemployment pct: 2.62%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 8negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
71/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 66.3literacy rate: 87.00%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political29Moderate
Security0Stable
Economic8Stable
Regulatory0Stable
Operational0Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 14 of 22
0151.0
0252.3
0355.8
0458.2
0563.6
0664.1
0765.4
0866.9
1487.3
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$31.8B
▲ $984.1M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$3.0K
▲ $41 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20240.6%
▼ 1.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20242.6%
▼ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 202410.6M
▲ 186.9K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20240.31%
▼ 0.03% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202466.3 yrs
▲ 0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202418.8%
▲ 0.3% YoY
Security12 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
28
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
20034
High-severity events
2026-05-10
Earthquake in PNG
Earthquake
2026-05-10
PNG PM Visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-09
PNG Seeks Stronger US Ties
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-09
US-PNG Strategic Partnership
Diplomatic Visit
2026-05-07
Panguna Mine Deal
Economic Indicator
2026-05-07
Panguna Mine History
Conflict Escalation20,000 killed
2026-05-04
Polio Outbreak
Disease Outbreak
2026-05-03
Polio Outbreak
Disease Outbreak5 wounded
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other
Wests Tigers re-sign fourth star until 2030 after Jarome Luai’s exit
The Age - Latest News
Other
Wests Tigers re-sign fourth star until 2030 after Jarome Luai’s exit
Sydney Morning Herald - Latest News
Other
It’s no certainty Cleary will test the market. But he’s in no rush to re-sign
The Age - Latest News
Critical Tech & Minerals
US “minerals mafia” report reveals the battle with China for the next industrial era
Lowy Institute
Earthquake of magnitude 5.7 strikes Papua New Guinea, GFZ says
GMA News Online / News
STRICTLY 4 THE ISLANDS: ALL EYES ON XI
salient.org.nz
Clubs push back against salary cap concessions for Perth Bears
The Age - Latest News
Clubs push back against salary cap concessions for Perth Bears
Sydney Morning Herald - Latest News
‘It disappoints me’: Meninga breaks silence on Bears exit rumours
The Age - Latest News
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Papua New Guinea-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Papua New Guinea will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.