GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesPapua New Guinea (PG)

Papua New Guinea.

Independent State of Papua New Guinea · Port Moresby · 10.3M people · east-n-southeast-asia

Governmentparliamentary democracy under a constitutional monarchy; a Commonwealth realmArea462.8K km²Active conflicts1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
79.7
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Papua New Guinea becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Papua New Guinea · 90-day event volume
24
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
2 of 7
PNG CLOSESEARTHQUAKE2026-06-012026-07-162026-08-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 288
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
87/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.89%inflation pct: 0.60%unemployment pct: 2.62%
Market Stress
21/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 14negative signals 30d: 11
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 0is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
71/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 66.3literacy rate: 87.00%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
29Moderate
Security
30Moderate
Economic
40Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
37Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · east-n-southeast-asia
Rank 15 of 22
01Taiwan
54.4
02Union of Burma
55.1
03People's Republic of China
57.1
04Japan
58.6
05Democratic People's Republic of Korea
63.5
06Republic of Indonesia
64.6
07Kingdom of Thailand
68.2
08Socialist Republic of Vietnam
68.8
15Independent State of Papua New Guinea· this country
79.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 16 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$30.8B
$12.4M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$2.9K
$54 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
0.6%
1.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.6%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
10.6M
186.9K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.31%
0.03% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
66.3 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
18.8%
0.3% YoY
Security7 recent events · 1 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
24
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-17
SEV 1
Marles-Kapavore meeting
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-15
SEV 6
Earthquake in Papua New Guinea
Earthquake
2026-08-12
SEV 2
Papua New Guinea Support
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-11
SEV 5
Pacific Islands Divided
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-05
SEV 6
PNG Closes Taiwan Trade Office
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-04
SEV 2
Pukpuk Treaty
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-01
SEV 6
Underwater Eruption
Volcanic Eruption
Active conflicts involving Papua New Guinea
World War II
War · 11036 dispatches
Critical · 100
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

NRL recruits face narrowing path to Rugby World Cup

NRL recruits face challenges to make the Wallabies Rugby World Cup team.

Sydney Morning Herald - Latest NewsAustralia · Argentina · New Zealand
Other
NRL recruits face narrowing path to Rugby World Cup
The Age - Latest News
International Relations
Indonesia invites universities to expand education ties with PNG
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
Geopolitical Economics
Indonesia eyes deeper cocoa, palm value chain ties with Malaysia, PNG
ANTARA News - Latest Indonesia News
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
PNG Governor Warns Parliament Drought Response Is Failing - streamlinefeed.co.ke
streamlinefeed.co.ke
Great Power Competition in the South Pacific: Security Pacts, Strategic Signals, and Institutional Deadlock - Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF)
Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF)
Manu's talks with PNG PM helped lock in Chiefs deal
ABC Grandstand Sport
‘Walk a day in my shoes’: Luai hits back after ‘most overpaid player ever’ criticism
Sydney Morning Herald - Latest News
‘Walk a day in my shoes’: Luai hits back after ‘most overpaid player ever’ criticism
The Age - Latest News
Former Roosters premiership star unveiled as PNG Chiefs' '007' signing
ABC Grandstand Sport
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Papua New Guinea-tagged articles · last 30 days
James Marape
personlast · Aug 24
41
Justin Tkatchenko
personlast · Aug 22
10
Peter O’Neill
personlast · Aug 23
4
Michael Somare
personlast · Aug 23
3
Gairo Voro
personlast · Aug 23
3
Morea Morea
personlast · Aug 23
3
Finley Glare
personlast · Aug 23
2
Paul Barker
personlast · Aug 20
2
Elias Kapavore
personlast · Aug 24
1
Arron Culling
personlast · Aug 23
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
World War II100
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Papua New Guinea will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.