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Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
São Tomé.
Democratic Republic of Sao Tome and Principe · Sao Tome · 223.6K people · africa
Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea964 km²Sanctioned entities10Active conflicts0CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
85.6
Moderate risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. São Tomé becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
São Tomé · 90-day event volume
2
total events · 90 daily data points
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 23
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
66/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.48%inflation pct: 14.35%unemployment pct: 9.06%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
98/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 10is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
75/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 69.9literacy rate: 87.40%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political25Stable
Security0Stable
Economic40Moderate
Regulatory2Stable
Operational10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 14 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$825.0M
▲ $134.5M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$3.5K
▲ $512 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 202414.4%
▼ 6.9% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20249.1%
▲ 0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024235.5K
▲ 4.7K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB—
Life expectancy
WB· 202469.9 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202459.1%
▲ 0.4% YoY
Security0 recent events · 0 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
2
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for São Toméin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
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+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of São Tomé will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.