GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesEritrea (ER)

Eritrea.

State of Eritrea · Asmara · 6.4M people · africa

GovernmentauthoritarianArea117.6K km²Sanctioned entities16Active conflicts5CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
81.7
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Eritrea becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Eritrea · 90-day event volume
19
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 10
ERITREA RISKS2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 1actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.70%article coverage 90d: 185
Arms Activity
97/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
80/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: inflation pct: unemployment pct: 5.95%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 1negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
97/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 16is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
64/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 68.9literacy rate:
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
36Moderate
Security
31Moderate
Economic
12Stable
Regulatory
3Stable
Operational
22Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 35 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
34.8
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Federal Republic of Somalia
44.0
04Republic of South Sudan
44.8
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.3
06State of Libya
51.2
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
58.8
35State of Eritrea· this country
81.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 7 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB
GDP per capita
WB
Inflation (CPI)
WB
Unemployment
WB· 2024
5.9%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
3.5M
65.2K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
68.9 yrs
0.3 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2023
20.0%
1.3% YoY
Security10 recent events · 5 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
19
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-16
SEV 5
Egypt-Eritrea Partnership
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-13
SEV 6
Eritrea Neighbour Tensions
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-12
SEV 4
Eritrea Diplomatic Talks
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-09
SEV 6
Mutual Intervention in Horn of Africa
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-09
SEV 8
Eritrea Risks Dragging Horn
Conflict Escalation
2026-08-08
SEV 3
Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia Strengthen Ties
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-08
SEV 4
Eritrea Counters Ethiopia
Diplomatic Tension
2026-08-08
SEV 8
Eritrea Invasion
Border Incursion
Active conflicts involving Eritrea
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22903 dispatches
Critical · 100
Sudan civil war
Civil War · 13325 dispatches
Critical · 100
Ethiopia conflict
Civil War · 839 dispatches
Critical · 100
Tigray conflict
Civil War · 181 dispatches
Elevated · 38.3
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Economics

Indians lead UK immigration, but also top voluntary returns list

Indians dominated UK immigration across legal pathways, receiving the most work visas at 47,009 and study visa applications at 89,763, while also leading voluntary returns at 10,226, reflecting complex migration patterns amid policy changes.

Times of IndiaIndia · United Kingdom · China
Geopolitical Economics
Ranking 14 East Africa Countries from Richest to Poorest Based on GDP Per Capita in 2026 - Tuko News
Tuko News
Geopolitical Economics
Foreign workers earn nearly a quarter less than Germans
The Local Germany
Geopolitical Conflict
Interconnectedness of Conflict in the Horn of Africa and its Trajectories - horn review
horn review
Geopolitical Conflict
Somalian pirates and their role in war | Explained
The Hindu
Bab el-Mandeb Under Siege: A Geopolitical Gamble - نورنیوز
Nour News
20 sailors kidnapped by Somali pirates near Yemen on US-sanctioned ship
South China Morning Post
22 Indian sailors on two cargo ships hijacked off Yemen, Somalia are safe: Govt
Hindustan Times
Two tankers with 22 Indians on board hijacked by pirates off Yemen, Somalia
Times of India
Armed men seize tanker and steer towards Somalia
Arabian Post
Think tanks · this country2 articles from research institutions tracking Eritrea
Council on Foreign Relations
Violent Extremism in the Sahel
Violent extremist groups including JNIM, ISGS, and ISWAP have expanded significantly across the Sahel region due to weakening international counterterrorism support and regional leadership, intensifying humanitarian crises and security threats to the United States and Europe.
May 2, 2026
European Council on Foreign Relations
Anatomy of a chokepoint: Mapping power and conflict in the Red Sea
Anatomy of a chokepoint: Mapping power and conflict in the Red Sea
Apr 19, 2026
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Eritrea-tagged articles · last 30 days
Isaias Afwerki
personlast · Aug 24
31
Biniam Girmay
personlast · Aug 23
10
Isaias Afewerki
personlast · Aug 19
6
Osman Saleh
personlast · Aug 24
4
Yemane Gebremeskel
personlast · Aug 20
3
Henok Mulubrhan
personlast · Aug 24
2
Yirgalem Fisseha
personlast · Aug 28
1
Haregu Habtemaryam
personlast · Aug 23
1
Wudanese
personlast · Aug 19
1
Sarah Tekhlu
personlast · Aug 19
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Eritrea will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.