GeoMemo
MON, AUG 31 · EDT
CountriesTonga (TO)

Tonga.

Kingdom of Tonga · Nuku'alofa · 104.5K people · australia-oceania

Governmentconstitutional monarchyArea747 km²Sanctioned entities1Active conflicts1Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
96.0
Stable risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Tonga becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Tonga · 90-day event volume
5
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 3
TERRITORIAL CLEARTHQUAKETONGA PM2026-06-032026-07-182026-08-31
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
AUG 25
2026
Tonga PM Visit
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.00%article coverage 90d: 107
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
82/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 1.72%inflation pct: 3.18%unemployment pct: 1.97%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
100/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 1is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
87/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 73.1literacy rate: 99.50%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
14Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
31Moderate
Regulatory
0Stable
Operational
10Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · australia-oceania
Rank 27 of 30
01Commonwealth of Australia
64.7
02Republic of the Marshall Islands
66.4
03New Zealand
68.1
04Solomon Islands
78.7
05Republic of Nauru
80.4
06Territory of New Caledonia and Dependencies
84.5
07Tuvalu
86.1
08Overseas Lands of French Polynesia
86.5
27Kingdom of Tonga· this country
96.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$647.5M
$56.3M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$6.2K
$564 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.2%
3.2% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.0%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
104.2K
422.0 YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
73.1 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
67.4%
3.3% YoY
Security3 recent events · 1 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
5
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
2026-08-25
SEV 2
Tonga PM Visit
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-12
SEV 8
Tonga Earthquake
Earthquake
2026-08-03
SEV 3
Territorial Claim
Diplomatic Tension
Active conflicts involving Tonga
World War II
War · 11044 dispatches
High · 72.4
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

It is now almost certain the world will warm past 1.5C. But ‘net-negative’ emissions are still possible | Wesley Morgan for the Conversation

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese attends Pacific Islands Forum amid China's nuclear missile tests, regional energy crisis from fossil fuel dependence, and climate warming past 1.5C, while renewable energy adoption could save Pacific nations billions annually.

The GuardianAustralia · China · United States
Geopolitical Economics
PACNEWS TWO, 25 AUGUST 2026 - Islands Business
Islands Business
Other
Samuel Mataele: A personality of steel
E-Tangata
International Relations
Rafael Grossi remains in the running for top UN post after second straw poll
Buenos Aires Times
International Relations
Siguen las consultas para elegir al secretario de la ONU
La Jornada
Storm enforcer Kamikamica forced into medical retirement after stroke
ABC Grandstand Sport
Race to replace Guterres: New candidate joins contest for UN chief
Ynetnews
Ecuadorian diplomat Ivonne A-Baki joins race for UN Secretary-General | Gulf Times
Gulf Times
Landmark geohazards meetings in Honiara aimed at strengthening and resourcing Pacific unified early warning systems
EEAS
Ecuadorianische Diplomatin: Ivonne A-Baki bewirbt sich für Amt der UN-Generalsekretärin
Die Zeit
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Tonga-tagged articles · last 30 days
Lord Fakafanua
personlast · Aug 29
4
Liam Hill
personlast · Aug 23
1
Joshua Uikilifi
personlast · Aug 22
1
Tupouto'a 'Ulukalala
personlast · Aug 20
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Active conflicts
World War II72.4
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Tonga will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.