Geopolitical Politics
Milei, cada vez más iracundo y también a la defensiva
Javier Milei is becoming increasingly irate and defensive as Argentina's problems persist.
PerfilArgentina · Colombia · Chile
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Ecuador.
Republic of Ecuador · Quito · 18.5M people · south-america
Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (Castilian; official) 98.6%, indigenous 3.9% (Quechua 3.2%, other indigenous 0.7%)Area283.6K km²Sanctioned entities75Active conflicts3Mentions 7d1 ▼ 87%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
74.1
Elevated risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Ecuador becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Ecuador · 90-day event volume
67
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 1 milestone · hover for context
AUG 24
2026
Ecuador President visits China
diplomatic_visit · severity 2
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
20/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 3domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
99/100 · 15% wt
target events: 6actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.30%article coverage 90d: 1,768
Arms Activity
93/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -1.94%inflation pct: 1.55%unemployment pct: 3.45%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
85/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 75is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
88/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 77.6literacy rate: 93.50%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political12Stable
Security42Moderate
Economic15Stable
Regulatory15Stable
Operational31Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South America
Rank 6 of 14
0139.8
0248.2
0348.5
0460.0
0573.3
0674.1
0776.5
0886.4
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$123.8B
▲ $3.0B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$6.8K
▲ $108 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20241.5%
▼ 0.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.5%
▼ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 202418.1M
▲ 155.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20242.22%
▼ 0.04% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202477.6 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202477.2%
▲ 4.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 3 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
67
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
21
High-severity events
2026-08-24
Ecuador President visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-23
Ecuador President visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-21
Ecuador President Visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-21
Ecuador President Visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-18
US commander visits Ecuador
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-18
Ecuador President Visits China
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-18
Ecuadorian Diplomat Runs
Diplomatic Visit
2026-08-17
Ecuador President Visits China
Diplomatic Visit
Active conflicts involving Ecuador
US-China conflict
Cold War · 28403 dispatches
Critical · 100
Colombia-Ecuador border tensions
Trade War · 23207 dispatches
Critical · 100
Ecuadorian crime conflict
Civil War · 53 dispatches
Low · 17.6
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Politics
Tontería natural
Perfil
Other
Clima hoy en Quito, Ecuador: el pronóstico del tiempo para este domingo 30 agosto de 2026
Clarin
Other
Clima hoy en Loja, Ecuador: el pronóstico del tiempo para este domingo 30 agosto de 2026
Clarin
Other
Clima hoy en Montañita, Ecuador: el pronóstico del tiempo para este domingo 30 agosto de 2026
Clarin
Clima hoy en Santo Domingo, Ecuador: el pronóstico del tiempo para este domingo 30 agosto de 2026
Clarin
Condenaron al expresidente ecuatoriano Lenín Moreno a cinco años de prisión por corrupción en el caso Coca Codo Sinclair
Perfil
Lenín Moreno: Ecuadors Ex-Präsident Lenín Moreno wegen Korruption verurteilt
Die Zeit
Sentencian a 5 años de prisión por cohecho al ex presidente de Ecuador Lenín Moreno
La Jornada
Ecuador sentences ex-president Moreno to five years in jail in bribery case
Al Jazeera
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Ecuador
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Ecuador-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Ecuador will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.