Other
River lo explicó: Por qué Coudet borró a Subiabre y Kendry Páez
River's coach Eduardo Coudet omitted Ian Subiabre and Kendry Páez from the team due to football reasons and mental factors.
El IntransigenteArgentina · Ecuador
Daily briefOperational risk · 90d →
Ecuador.
Republic of Ecuador · Quito · 18.5M people · south-america
Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (Castilian; official) 98.6%, indigenous 3.9% (Quechua 3.2%, other indigenous 0.7%)Area283.6K km²Sanctioned entities18Active conflicts2Mentions 7d3 ▼ 83%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
70.1
Elevated risk
27-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Ecuador becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Ecuador · 90-day event volume
110
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
1 of 12
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 3 milestones · hover for context
MAY 12
2026
Bombing of Raúl Reyes
airstrike · severity 8
Critical
MAY 11
2026
Ecuador Mining Sector
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
MAY 9
2026
Ecuador Leaves OPEC
economic_indicator · severity 4
Moderate
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
25/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 1max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
83/100 · 15% wt
target events: 16actor only events: 4domestic events: 1severe domestic: 3instability rate: 2.60%article coverage 90d: 735
Arms Activity
93/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 2total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
75/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: -2.00%inflation pct: 1.55%unemployment pct: 3.45%
Market Stress
62/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 29negative signals 30d: 11
Sanctions Exposure
96/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 18is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
88/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 77.6literacy rate: 93.50%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political12Stable
Security44Moderate
Economic30Moderate
Regulatory4Stable
Operational39Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · South America
Rank 5 of 14
0142.0
0247.0
0348.7
0469.0
0570.1
0671.6
0776.3
0877.7
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024$124.7B
▲ $3.5B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024$6.9K
▲ $137 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 20241.5%
▼ 0.7% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 20243.5%
▼ 0.1% YoY
Population
WB· 202418.1M
▲ 155.4K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 20242.22%
▼ 0.04% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 202477.6 yrs
▲ 0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 202477.2%
▲ 4.5% YoY
Security12 recent events · 2 conflicts · 2 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
110
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
5
High-severity events
2026-05-12
Bombing of Raúl Reyes
Airstrike
2026-05-11
Ecuador Mining Sector
Economic Indicator
2026-05-09
Ecuador Leaves OPEC
Economic Indicator
2026-05-06
Ecuador-Colombia Tariff Reduction
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-06
Ecuador Leaves OPEC
Economic Indicator
2026-05-05
Ecuador Bond Issue
Economic Indicator
2026-05-05
Ecuador-Colombia Border Tension
Diplomatic Tension
2026-05-02
Ecuador Inflation
Economic Indicator
Active conflicts involving Ecuador
Colombia-Ecuador border tensions
Trade War · 22555 dispatches
Critical · 100
Ecuadorian crime conflict
Civil War · 53 dispatches
Elevated · 33.7
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Familiares de migrantes de Sudamérica desaparecidos recorren costa de Chiapas
La Jornada
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Amazonia, devastada por minería de oro y narco; prevén colapso ecológico
La Jornada
Geopolitical Economics
Trump travels to Beijing to an emboldened China
fDi Intelligence
Other
Un futbolista brasileño sufrió una impactante lesión durante un partido en la liga de Ecuador
La Nacion
Masters 1000 de Roma 2026: partidos de hoy y cómo está el cuadro
La Nacion
Δολοφονήθηκε δικαστής στον Ισημερινό εν μέσω κατάστασης έκτακτης ανάγκης
Protothema
Another Aussie out of Giro as UAE Team Emirates hits back
ABC Grandstand Sport
Dick Advocaat to make World Cup history as he is reappointed Curacao manager three months after resigning
The Independent
Pakistan playing active mediatory role to defuse Middle East crisis: envoy tells US delegation
Pakistan Today
Think tanks · this country1 article from research institutions tracking Ecuador
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Ecuador-tagged articles · last 30 days
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
Co-mentioned countries · 30d
+Methodology · how this profile is built
This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.
Coverage of Ecuador will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.