GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesGuatemala (GT)

Guatemala.

Republic of Guatemala · Guatemala City · 18.3M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 69.9%, Maya languages 29.7% (Q'eqchi' 8.3%, K'iche 7.8%Area108.9K km²Sanctioned entities124Active conflicts3Mentions 7d2 ▼ 50%CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
94.2
Stable risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guatemala becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guatemala · 90-day event volume
27
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-06-012026-07-162026-08-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
100/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 0domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 0
Event Volatility
100/100 · 15% wt
target events: 0actor only events: 1domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 0.10%article coverage 90d: 438
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 1total value usd: $0conflict amplified: no
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.72%inflation pct: 2.87%unemployment pct: 2.61%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
75/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 124is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
75/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 72.7literacy rate: 82.10%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
25Stable
Security
0Stable
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
25Stable
Operational
15Stable
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$113.2B
$8.9B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$6.2K
$396 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.9%
3.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.6%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
18.4M
281.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.37%
0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
72.7 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
60.2%
3.5% YoY
Security0 recent events · 3 conflicts · 1 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
27
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Guatemalain this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Active conflicts involving Guatemala
US-China conflict
Cold War · 28400 dispatches
Critical · 100
El Salvador-Guatemala-Honduras conflict
Civil War · 63 dispatches
Low · 12
Guatemalan Civil War
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Geopolitical Politics

US ICE agency to spend $16.7m on electric shock gloves

US ICE agency spends $16.7m on 6,000 electric shock gloves to control detainees and protesters.

Al JazeeraUnited States · Mexico · Guatemala
International Relations
Raúl Romero*: Don Pablo, Cuba y el comandante Fidel
La Jornada
Other
Vô địch ASEAN Cup 2026, Việt Nam tích lũy bao nhiêu điểm trên bảng xếp hạng FIFA?
Thanh Nien
Other
Đội tuyển Việt Nam tăng bậc trên bảng xếp hạng FIFA
Thanh Nien
Geopolitical Conflict
Mỹ tập kích xuồng nghi chở ma túy ở Caribbean khiến 4 người thiệt mạng
Thanh Nien
Llega a los cines, remasterizado y con tomas inéditas, concierto de Juan Gabriel en Bellas Artes
La Jornada
Migrante hondureño murió tras ser herido en riña en Escuintla, Chiapas
La Jornada
Watch: US military's 'lethal kinetic strike' destroys drug boat in Caribbean; 4 killed
Times of India
US military says it killed four in strike on alleged drug-smuggling boat in the Caribbean
The Independent
Guatemala abre una nueva etapa en su logística por agua
News
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Guatemala will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.