GeoMemo
TUE, JUN 30 · EDT
CountriesGuatemala (GT)

Guatemala.

Republic of Guatemala · Guatemala City · 18.3M people · central-america-n-caribbean

Governmentpresidential republicLanguagesSpanish (official) 69.9%, Maya languages 29.7% (Q'eqchi' 8.3%, K'iche 7.8%Area108.9K km²Sanctioned entities122Active conflicts2Mentions 7d1CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
81.1
Moderate risk
30-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guatemala becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guatemala · 90-day event volume
43
total events · 90 daily data points
Annotated milestones
3 of 6
DROUGHTCOUPEARTHQUAKE2026-04-012026-05-162026-06-29
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Event timelineLast 7 days · 2 milestones · hover for context
JUN 28
2026
Dollar Exchange Rate
economic_indicator · severity 2
Moderate
JUN 25
2026
Guatemala Earthquake
earthquake · severity 10
Critical
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
30/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 2domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
95/100 · 15% wt
target events: 2actor only events: 2domestic events: 0severe domestic: 1instability rate: 0.50%article coverage 90d: 520
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 3.65%inflation pct: 2.87%unemployment pct: 2.61%
Market Stress
100/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 2negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
76/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 122is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
75/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 72.7literacy rate: 82.10%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
25Stable
Security
37Moderate
Economic
9Stable
Regulatory
24Stable
Operational
31Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · central-america-n-caribbean
Rank 6 of 33
01Republic of Cuba
42.0
02Republic of Haiti
58.0
03Republic of Panama
67.0
04Republic of Honduras
74.1
05Barbados
78.2
06Republic of Guatemala· this country
81.1
07Virgin Islands
84.6
08Republic of El Salvador
85.0
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 18 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$113.2B
$8.8B YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$6.2K
$392 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
2.9%
3.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.6%
0.3% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
18.4M
281.5K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2024
0.37%
0.05% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
72.7 yrs
0.1 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
60.2%
3.5% YoY
Security6 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
43
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
1
High-severity events
2026-06-28
SEV 2
Dollar Exchange Rate
Economic Indicator
2026-06-25
SEV 10
Guatemala Earthquake
Earthquake5,000 killed
2026-06-23
SEV 6
Volcan de Fuego Erupts
Volcanic Eruption
2026-06-12
SEV 8
1954 Guatemala Coup
Coup
2026-06-05
SEV 2
Family Reunites in Guatemala
Refugee Flow
2026-06-03
SEV 8
Drought in Guatemala
Drought
Active conflicts involving Guatemala
El Salvador-Guatemala-Honduras conflict
Civil War · 62 dispatches
Low · 1.4
Guatemalan Civil War
Civil War · 2 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
Other

Millions of sterile male Mexican fruit flies to be released in San Diego County

Millions of sterile male Mexican fruit flies will be released in San Diego County to reduce the population.

CaliforniaMexico · United States · Belize
Other
La Justicia le dio oxígeno a Espert: postergaron su indagatoria por los vínculos con la red de "Fred" Machado
Perfil
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
Éclosions de rougeole | 22 cas recensés au Québec
La Presse
Other
Cupido apuesta al poder de los vínculos con "Amor Compartido", un disco que une a la nueva escena musical iberoamericana
Perfil
Other
Se postergó la indagatoria de José Luis Espert por lavado de dinero: su abogado pidió más tiempo para ver el expediente
Clarin
Clima hoy en Ciudad de Guatemala, Guatemala: el pronóstico del tiempo para este lunes 29 junio de 2026
Clarin
Clima hoy en Antigua Guatemala, Guatemala: el pronóstico del tiempo para este lunes 29 junio de 2026
Clarin
Clima hoy en Quetzaltenango, Guatemala: el pronóstico del tiempo para este lunes 29 junio de 2026
Clarin
Lautaro Martínez: el goleador que vive a la sombra de Messi y hace mucho más que goles
La Nacion
Dólar hoy en Guatemala: precio y cotización de la divisa este domingo 28 de junio de 2026
Clarin
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Guatemala-tagged articles · last 30 days
Ricardo Arjona
personlast · Jun 26
41
Bernardo Arévalo
personlast · Jun 26
40
Jacobo Árbenz
personlast · Jun 7
8
Luis von Ahn
personlast · Jun 24
3
Augusto Monterroso
personlast · Jun 11
3
Juan Tiul Xi
personlast · Jun 14
2
Carlos Agustin Cahuec Coc
personlast · Jun 12
2
Maritza Azucena Cahuec Coc
personlast · Jun 12
2
Manuel Estuardo Roldan Barillas
personlast · Jun 9
2
Claudia González
personlast · Jun 5
2
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Guatemala will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.