GeoMemo
SUN, AUG 30 · EDT
CountriesGuinea-Bissau (GW)

Guinea-Bissau.

Republic of Guinea-Bissau · Bissau · 2.1M people · africa

Governmentsemi-presidential republicArea36.1K km²Sanctioned entities21Active conflicts2CIA· Jan 2026
Stability Score?How the stability score is computedA weighted composite of seven pillars— conflict intensity, event volatility, arms activity, economic health, market stress, sanctions exposure, and humanitarian proxy. Each pillar is scored 0–100 (higher = healthier). The composite is weighted (conflict 25%, economy 20%, events 15%, the rest 10% each) and recomputed daily from strategic events, World Bank indicators, arms-transfer data, and sanctions records.

Risk tier: Critical < 25 · High 25–50 · Elevated 50–75 · Stable≥ 75.
79.1
Elevated risk
31-day trend
Intelligence briefNo brief published today
Daily intelligence brief is generated for the highest-activity countries. Guinea-Bissau becomes eligible as dispatch volume climbs.
Guinea-Bissau · 90-day event volume
2
total events · 90 daily data points
2026-06-022026-07-172026-08-30
Source · intelligence_events · all severity tiersHover any annotated dot for full milestone
Stability components7-pillar breakdown · each 0–100, higher = healthier · 30-day trend per pillar
Conflict Intensity
40/100 · 25% wt
target conflicts: 1domestic conflicts: 0max escalation score: 100
Event Volatility
96/100 · 15% wt
target events: 2actor only events: 0domestic events: 0severe domestic: 0instability rate: 1.80%article coverage 90d: 112
Arms Activity
100/100 · 10% wt
arms imports: 0total value usd: $0conflict amplified: yes
Economic Health
85/100 · 20% wt
gdp growth pct: 4.41%inflation pct: 3.77%unemployment pct: 2.65%
Market Stress
50/100 · 10% wt
total signals 30d: 0negative signals 30d: 0
Sanctions Exposure
96/100 · 10% wt
sanctioned entities: 21is sanctioning power: no
Humanitarian Proxy
54/100 · 10% wt
life expectancy: 64.3literacy rate: 63.90%
Risk matrix5 enterprise-decision dimensions · derived from the 7 stability pillars · higher = more risk
Political
46Moderate
Security
31Moderate
Economic
29Moderate
Regulatory
4Stable
Operational
33Moderate
Risk dimensions are derived from the 7 stability pillars. Higher score = more risk (inverted from the stability score, where higher = healthier). Operational is a weighted composite intended for enterprise-decision use.
Open the 90-day operational risk view →
Peer comparisonSame-region countries by stability score · this country highlighted
Peer comparison · Africa
Rank 28 of 56
01Republic of the Sudan
37.1
02Federal Republic of Nigeria
41.8
03Republic of South Sudan
44.8
04Federal Republic of Somalia
45.3
05Arab Republic of Egypt
48.4
06State of Libya
53.7
07Republic of South Africa
58.4
08Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
59.9
28Republic of Guinea-Bissau· this country
79.1
EconomyWorld Bank · 10-year series · 17 indicators
GDP (current USD)
WB· 2024
$2.2B
$121.0M YoY
GDP per capita
WB· 2024
$998
$34 YoY
Inflation (CPI)
WB· 2024
3.8%
3.3% YoY
Unemployment
WB· 2024
2.6%
0.0% YoY
Population
WB· 2024
2.2M
48.0K YoY
Military spend %GDP
WB· 2023
1.23%
0.16% YoY
Life expectancy
WB· 2024
64.3 yrs
0.2 yrs YoY
Internet users %
WB· 2024
29.8%
1.1% YoY
Security0 recent events · 2 conflicts · 0 transfers
Event volume · 90 days
2
Casualties (killed) · 90 days
0
High-severity events
No high-severity events for Guinea-Bissauin this window. Either there genuinely isn’t much — or our sources haven’t caught it yet.
Active conflicts involving Guinea-Bissau
Boko Haram insurgency
Insurgency · 22903 dispatches
Critical · 100
Guinea-Bissau civil unrest
Civil War · 3 dispatches
Cold · 0
Latest dispatches10 in country corpus · sources come online as coverage grows
International Relations

Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Meets Guinea-Bissau Foreign Minister - وكالة الأنباء السعودية

A Saudi vice minister of foreign affairs met with Guinea-Bissau's foreign minister.

Saudi Press AgencySaudi Arabia · Guinea-Bissau
Climate & Humanitarian Crisis
WHO ta ayyana ƙasashen Afrika 5 a sahun waɗanda suka kawo ƙarshen annobar Polio
AFP/File
Geopolitical Economics
How realistic is ECOWAS proposed single currency?
TRT Afrika
Geopolitical Conflict
Criminal-Threat Convergence: How Illicit Economies Are Fueling Instability Across West Africa and the Sahel
Homeland Security Today
Geopolitical Economics
2025 Australian Sanctions Office Annual Report
Mirage News
Matakin ECOWAS na samar da kudin bai ɗaya na ECO ya tayar da muhawara
RFI
Ukraine’s military hits one of Russia’s biggest oil refineries in long-range drone attack
CNBC
Russian strikes kill six in Ukraine as Moscow intercepts hundreds of drones
Al Jazeera
Jobs
UNICEF
Clima en Ciudad de Buenos Aires: neblina matinal y una máxima que alcanzará los 15°C este martes
Perfil
Top entitiesMost-mentioned actors in Guinea-Bissau-tagged articles · last 30 days
Umaro Sissoco Embalo
personlast · Aug 20
8
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
personlast · Aug 19
7
Amílcar Cabral
personlast · Aug 24
4
General Horta Inta-A Na Man
personlast · Aug 30
1
Saïd Larifou
personlast · Aug 24
1
Janar Horta N'Tam
personlast · Aug 20
1
Forward calendar · relatedUpcoming scheduled events · co-mentioned countries · conflicts · recent reports
Related
+Methodology · how this profile is built

This profile draws from four data tiers. Baseline facts (geography, languages, religion) are from the CIA World Factbook snapshot of January 2026 — the final snapshot before the website was retired. Economic indicators refresh daily from the World Bank. Events, conflicts, dispatches, and entity mentions flow continuously from our continuous intelligence graph — sources come online as we add them. Intelligence briefs are generated daily under ICD 203 analytic-tradecraft standards.

Coverage of Guinea-Bissau will sharpen as we add local-language sources. Every field above carries a provenance chip so you can judge freshness for yourself.